Seattle Mariners (11-10) vs Cleveland Indians (12-8)Date : 04/26/2018
Time : 6:10 PM
Location : Progressive Field
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Indians
The Cleveland Indians will open another home series this time against American League opponent in the Seattle Mariners in game 1 of a 3 game series. This will be the 3rd game of an 11 game homestand as they will play in Cleveland up until May 3rd. This is the only series this year between the two teams.
Seattle Mariners's Latest Performance :
Rough Day For Mariners
The Seattle Mariners should have been able to sweep both the last place Rangers and White Sox and gain some footing back in the AL Central, but as we have seen the Mariners have been dropping games as they have lost 6 out of their last 10. Seattle most recently faced the Chicago White Sox who entered the series with only 1 win in their last 10 games but looking at the stat line you may think Chicago was a World Series contender as they had their way against the Seattle Mariners. Mike Leake was traded over to Seattle midway through the season in 2017 and showed promise as a good starter as he started 5 games for Seattle where he went 3-1 with an ERA of 2.53, but 2018 has been rough for Leake. Mike Leake got the start in their 4/23 matchup against the White Sox where he got destroyed in 3.1 innings of work as he gave up 8 earned runs on 12 hits. Leake is now 2-2 on the year and has one of the worst ERAs out of Seattle’s starters as he is posting a 6.59. Wade LeBlanc was solid in his first two outings, but as of recent LeBlanc has struggled as he went from a 1.80 ERA to a 6.43 ERA in a matter of games. LeBlanc came in to relieve Leake, but he wasn’t able to stop the bleeding as he came in for the remainder of the game which is out of his comfort zone. LeBlanc has been a solid 2 inning reliever in his career, but 5 innings is a lot for a guy who isn’t a long reliever.
Cleveland Indians's Latest Performance :
Pitching Leading The Way
The Cleveland Indians have been in close games all year as they enter this series having 9 games decided by 1 run and that is because their offense has not been able to explode for an abundance of runs. The pitchers have had to be dominant all year to give their team a chance to win as they have played in close games against teams like the Orioles and Royals with scores of 2-1, 1-0, and 3-2 which shows how bad their bats have been. The Indians on 4/23 showed how good they can be on the pitching end of things as they have stayed true to their 1-2-3 punch. The Indians have been able to ride their starters for 7 innings all year and bring in Andrew Miller and Cody Allen for the 8th and 9th innings. The Indians gave the start to Carlos Carrasco who has been awesome all year as he went 7.1 innings giving up only 1 earned run. This amazing outing boosted Carrasco to 4-0 this season with an ERA of 2.31 which is good for one of the best stat lines on the Indians. The Indians were able to bring Andrew Miller into the ballgame to record 2 outs which is a cake walk for the 2x all-star followed up by the sure-handed closer, Cody Allen. Cody Allen picked up his 4th save of the season after he struck out all 3 batters he faced in the bottom of the 9th. The only offense came from the bat of Yonder Alonso who hit a 2-run jack in the top of the 2nd inning to propel the Indians to a 2-1 win.
How Seattle Mariners & Cleveland Indians Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Seattle is 11-10, 6-5 on the road.
Cleveland is 12-8, 6-2 at home.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The probable starting pitchers for this matchup are as follows: James Paxton (1-1, 5.61 ERA) for the Seattle Mariners vs. Mike Clevinger (2-0, 1.75 ERA) for the Cleveland Indians.
Paxton last started on 4/21 against the Rangers where he went 4 innings giving up 5 earned runs on 6 hits in a ND.
Clevinger last started on 4/21 against the Orioles where he went 9 shutout innings giving up only 2 hits in a W.
Cleveland and Seattle both rank in the bottom 10 in team runs.
Cleveland ranks in the top 3 in team ERA while Seattle ranks in the bottom 10.
Against The Spread Selection: Cleveland Indians
My reason for the pick :
Cleveland may struggle with their bats but Seattle isn’t much better so the difference in this one lies with the better pitching staff which clearly is Cleveland. Clevinger straight dominated in his last matchup while Paxton struggled which is the main reason that I will back the Indians. Cleveland will have to wake up their bats eventually and given the struggles of Seattle this is a perfect opportunity.
Betting trends for Seattle Mariners:
- Seattle is 24-20 against AL Central opponents since 2017.
- The over is 13-7 this season.
Betting trends for Cleveland Indians:
- Cleveland is 4-1 against left-handed pitchers this season.
- The under is 6-2 at home this season.