Cincinnati Reds (5-18) vs Minnesota Twins (8-10)Date : 04/27/2018
Time : 8:10 PM
Location : Target Field
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins
The Minnesota Twins are happy to return home after a rough series against the New York Yankees as they will host the Cincinnati Reds in an interleague matchup for a 3 game series. The Twins will look to rebound as there is no room for error in a deep American League and the Reds will look to continue growing as a ballclub as there is not much hope for this team.
Cincinnati Reds's Latest Performance :
Terrible Starting Pitching
The Cincinnati Reds weren’t on anyone’s radar to be a competitor this season and with the stacked NL Central the Reds roster looks like a minor league roster compared to the Cubs, Cardinals, and Brewers. The bats have been nowhere to be found to start the season as Adam Duvall and Joey Votto have not had their typical season, but the starting pitching has been the main reason that the Reds are in the position they are in. The Reds #1 guy in the rotation is 12-year veteran Homer Bailey who has been average over his tenure, and with all things considered Bailey has been the best starter for Cincinnati. Bailey might post a record of 0-3, but he leads the starters in ERA as he has a 3.68 and innings pitched with 29.1, but outside of Bailey the Reds have little going. The next 4 guys in the rotation are all youngsters as they are all under the age of 25 and that includes Luis Castillo, Tyler Mahle, Sal Romano, and Brandon Finnegan and although they might be guys that will have solid careers down the road, 2018 has not been favorable. The 4 guys combine for a record of 3-10 and an ERA of 6.84 which is never the answer to win games especially considering the power that resides in the NL Central. This season has become more of a confidence builder for some of these young guys as the Reds will want to make sure that these 4 young starters take something out of nothing and improve.
Minnesota Twins's Latest Performance :
The Minnesota Twins have the roster to get back to the playoff’s but given a recent skid the Twins find themselves falling in the AL Central which is not ideal considering the Yankees, Blue Jays, and Angels are all Wild Card hopefuls. The Twins have been led by Brian Dozier, Miguel Sano, and Max Kepler in the hitting department as all three guys have 4 HRs a piece and have combined for 28 RBIs, but outside of this trio, the Twins haven’t been able to find very much success. The Twins started the year enjoying the offensive production from veteran Joe Mauer who at one point led the MLB in batting average with a .412, but Mauer has been in a funk as of recent and the Twins want to get him out of it sooner rather than later. Mauer over his last 7 games is 3 for 24 from the plate which has dropped his batting average under a .300 to a .293 which is unusual for a guy that averages over .300 for his career. The Twins are also hoping that their newly acquired 1B in Logan Morrison finds his stroke as he has struggled all season. Morrison enters this series with 58 ABs but has only connected for a hit 6 times which leaves him at a .103 batting average. The Twins hope these two guys in Morrison and Mauer get their swing back as they are vital pieces of the Twins success moving forward.
How Cincinnati Reds & Minnesota Twins Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Cincinnati is 5-18, 2-11 on the road.
Minnesota is 8-10, 5-3 at home.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The probable starting pitchers for this matchup is as follows: Luis Castillo (1-3, 6.51 ERA) for the Cincinnati Twins vs. Phil Hughes (0-0, 5.40 ERA) for the Minnesota Twins.
Castillo last started on 4/22 against the Cardinals where he went 5 innings giving up 3 earned runs on 7 hits in a L.
Hughes last started on 4/22 against the Rays where he went 3.1 innings giving up 2 earned runs on 5 hits in a ND.
Cincinnati and Minnesota both rank in the bottom 10 in runs scored.
Cincinnati and Minnesota both rank in the bottom 10 in team ERA.
Against The Spread Selection: Minnesota Twins
My reason for the pick :
The Twins had a rough couple of series on the road as they have had to travel to Puerto Rico, Tampa Bay, and New York in a week’s worth and although though that doesn’t excuse their poor play you have to imagine that they will have to rebound eventually and this might be the game. The Twins have been good at home in the 8 games they have played in and Hughes was able to shake all the jitters off in his season debut last go around. Hughes has been a solid MLB pitcher the last few years and I believe he will win this game for them.
Betting trends for Cincinnati Reds:
- Cincinnati is 4-16 against right-handed pitchers this season.
- The under is 8-4 as road underdogs this season.
Betting trends for Minnesota Twins:
- Minnesota is 22-20 against National League opponents since 2016.
- The under is 4-2 at home this season.