NY Mets vs San Diego Padres 4-27-18

NY Mets vs San Diego Padres 4-27-18

NY Mets (14-6) vs San Diego Padres (9-15)

Date : 04/27/2018
Time : 10:10 pm EST
Location : PetCo Park, San Diego, California

Pick, Prediction, & Preview:

NY Mets vs San Diego Padres

Game 1 of a 3-game set between the visiting NY Mets and the San Diego Padres will take place at PetCo Park in San Diego, California, beginning on Friday at 10:10 pm EST.  Currently, the NY Mets are 1st place in the NL East with a slim lead over the Phillies while the San Diego Padres are ranked last in the NL West.  This will be the 1st meeting of the year amongst these two squads, however, their last meeting dates to 7/27/2017 when the Mets suffered the 7-5 road loss at PetCo Park.  In recent matchups, the Mets have won 6 of the last 9 contests.

NY Mets's Latest Performance :

The NY Mets are also losers of 3 of their last 5 games.  They began the season winning 12 of the first 14 games, however, the Mets came crashing back down to earth due to a series loss to the Washington Nationals on 4/18 along with a not-so-great series versus the Braves to where they were down 2-1 within a 4-game set before the postponement of the series due to weather conditions.  They do, however, possess strong and solid pitching in which to fall back on, yet, one must think that the offense, at some point, will certainly need to consistently crank things up in which to make it much easier on their staff in the future.

For the year, the Mets are averaging 4.80 runs per game (11th) with a team batting average of .238 (17th), 19 homers (23rd), along with 8 stolen bases (22nd).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.61 (11th) with 212 strikeouts (3rd) along with 7 quality starts (18th).

Asdrubal Cabrera (.354 BA on 79 AB), Todd Frazier (.258 BA on 66 AB), Amed Rosario (.250 BA on 60 AB), and Michael Conforto (.213 BA on 47 AB) have been the most consistent batters within the Mets lineup this season.

On the other hand, Jacob deGrom (2-0) has pitched 32 innings while allowing 10 runs on 25 hits, 2 homers, 8 walks, and 40 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.53 while Noah Syndergaard (2-0) has 27.1 innings to his credit while allowing 12 runs on 24 hits, 3 homers, 5 walks, and 29 K’s on the year with an ERA of 3.29.  Matt Harvey (0-2) has struggled thus far pitching 21 innings while allowing 14 runs on 26 hits, 4 homers, 4 walks, and 17 strikeouts.

San Diego Padres's Latest Performance :

The Padres come into this matchup losers of 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U has been 2-2-1.  They won their last series at home against the San Francisco Giants on 4/15.  Since then, the Padres have been swept by the Dodgers at home in a 3-game set while losing out on a road series against the Arizona Diamondbacks.  The have recovered since then with a 13-5 road win versus the Colorado Rockies on Monday night, but, lost 8-0 to the Rockies on Tuesday night.  In all, one could say that Padres have been relatively solid on the mound thus far, however, their offense has struggled mightily all year.  They will need to somehow correct these issues if they are to make some noise in their respective division.

For the season, San Diego averages 3.81 runs per game (22nd) with a team batting average of .222 (27th), 22 homers (10th) and 8 stolen bases on the year (21st).  Their pitching staff possesses an ERA of 3.72 (12th) with 193 strikeouts (6th) and 7 quality starts thus far (17th).

Jose Pirela (.264 BA on 91 AB), Eric Hosmer (.263 BA on 76 AB), and Freddy Galvis (.253 BA on 75 AB) have been the few bright spots for this San Diego squad.  Carlos Asuaje (.203 BA on 74 AB) has been relatively solid during the current campaign as well.

Joey Lucchesi (2-0) has been most solid of pitchers for the Padres this season as he has pitched 21.2 innings while allowing 4 runs on 17 hits, 1 homer, 4 walks, and 25 strikeouts while Tyson Ross (2-1) has pitched 25.2 innings while allowing 9 runs on 19 hits, 2 homers, 7 walks, and 24 strikeouts.  Clayton Richard (1-1) has been very much inconsistent for the Padres this season, however, has pitched 22 innings while allowing 14 runs on 26 hits, 4 homers, 10 walks, and only 4 strikeouts.

How NY Mets & San Diego Padres Matchup.

Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:

For the season, the NY Mets are 12-8 ATS while the O/U is 10-10.  On the other hand, the San Diego Padres are 9-14 ATS while the O/U is 10-11-2.

In-Depth Analysis of each team:

Just in case one did not know, San Diego is terrible on offense.  As a result, the Padre defense along with its pitching staff have overcompensated for this deficiency, thus allowing the squad to remain somewhat competitive.  On the other hand, while the Mets have been capable in certain stretches of putting points on the board en masse, they have not been performing in this way recently.  Nonetheless, I continue to believe the Mets will perform well in this matchup in that they have been much more consistent this year (as opposed to the Padres) and possess one of the top pitching staffs in league.  This, combined with the solid pitching staff for the Padres, has all the makings of being a defense contest on Friday.

Totals Selection: Under

My reason for the prediction :

I chose the Under in this instance simply because of the overall makeup for these two teams.  On one hand, the Padres are very inconsistent on the offensive end and rely on solid pitching to keep games close.  On the other hand, though the Mets are capable to putting points on the board, they tend to rely heavily on their stellar pitching staff in which to limit scoring opportunities of other opponents.  Because both pitching staffs have been pretty solid in this role for most of this young season, I will go against the trends and pick the under in this contest.

Betting trends for NY Mets:

  • Betting Trends for NY Mets

    • The Mets are 6-1 in last 7 games versus Padres
    • The Mets ae 7-2 in last 9 road games
    • The Over is 4-2 in last 6 games

Betting trends for San Diego Padres:

  • Betting trends for San Diego Padres

    • The Over is 6-1 in Padres last 7 games versus Mets
    • The Padres are 1-5 in last 6 games
    • The Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 games


A sports analyst and enthusiast, Filipa enjoys writing articles for NHL, NBA, NCAAB, and, of course, for NCAAF. In addition, he enjoys the true art of breaking down games in such as way as to locate certain trends that can impact future contests. With a willingness to research, construct, and relay information that any reader can understand, Filipa aims to provide the reader with interesting & indepth knowledge for upcoming sporting events.