New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres, 4-28-18 – Pick & Preview

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres, 4-28-18 – Pick & Preview

New York Mets (15-6) vs San Diego Padres (9-17)

Date : 04/28/2018
Time : 8:40 PM
Location : PETCO Park

Pick, Prediction, & Preview:

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres

The young San Diego Padres look to rebound from some rough road series as they dropped series to both the Rockies and Diamondbacks. The Padres get to return home for a home series against the New York Mets in game 2 of a 3 game series before having to travel out to another NL West opponent. After this series, these two teams won’t meet again until 7/23 for a 3 game series in New York.

New York Mets's Latest Performance :

Cespedes and Bruce Show

The New York Mets have been good all season as they have shown no remorse from their 2017 season, and although this team has been based on their deep starting rotation the Mets have shown their abilities to win with their offense. In their 4/24 matchup against the St. Louis Cardinals, the Mets received great games from both Yoenis Cespedes and Jay Bruce as they contributed 5 out of the 6 runs. Bruce hit a solo shot in extra innings which would eventually be the deciding factor in a 6-5 win for the Mets. The Mets also received a 3-run home run from their slugger Yoenis Cespedes which put him at 5 HRs and 21 RBIs on the season, but the story for Cespedes has been his strikeout problem. Cespedes leads the MLB in strikeouts as he now has over 40 on the season which accounts for 50% of his ABs. The Mets were able to receive another save out of closer Jeruys Familia as he struck out 2 out of the 3 batters in the bottom of the 9th inning to pick up his 9th save of the season which is good for 2nd in all of the MLB. Robert Gsellman showed Mickey Callaway that the move to the bullpen was a smart one as he has been excellent this season as he has pitched in 13.1 innings posting an ERA of 2.03 and more remarkably has more wins than most the starting rotation with a 3-0 record.

San Diego Padres's Latest Performance :

Rough Road Series

The San Diego Padres don’t expect to win many series this year especially on the road against NL West opponents, and we saw an example of just that this past week as the Padres dropped 2 out of the 3 games against the Rockies. The Padres have been led by two rookies in Christian Villanueva and Franchy Cordero who have been the only sense of offensive production. As we have talked about many times this season Villanueva isn’t only one of the best rookies, but one of the best players in all of the MLB. Villanueva ended the series against the Rockies leading the team in every major statistical category on the season as he has 7 HRs, 16 RBIs and a batting average of .355. Franchy Cordero has been the only other guy on this Padres team to provide HRs in bunches as he has 4 on the season. Cordero has shown his power all season as he has hit HRs off scoreboards and he doesn’t only own the furthest HR all season (498 ft) but has hit 2 of the fastest HRs in terms of the ball leaving the bat. The Padres want to find a little more power out of the bats of Will Myers and Eric Hosmer who combined for 55 HRs in 2017 but have only gone yard only 3 times in 2018. With everyone heating up in the division the Padres don’t want to find themselves too deep in the standings as you want to give these younger guys some confidence in their playing abilities.

How New York Mets & San Diego Padres Matchup.

Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:

New York is 15-6, 8-2 on the road.

San Diego is 9-17, 4-10 at home.

In-Depth Analysis of each team:

The probable starting pitchers for this matchup is as follows: Jason Vargas (0-0, 0.00 ERA) for the New York Mets vs. Joey Lucchesi (2-1, 2.70 ERA) for the San Diego Padres.

Vargas is starting his first game of 2018 after spending the beginning of the year on the DL.

Lucchesi last started on 4/22 against the Diamondbacks where he went 5 innings giving up 4 earned runs on 5 hits in a L.

New York ranks in the top 15 in runs scored while San Diego ranks in the bottom 15.

New York ranks in the top 10 in team ERA while San Diego ranks in the bottom 15.


Against The Spread Selection: New York Mets

My reason for the pick :

Vargas is coming off a career year in 2017 where he posted 18 wins and with him being out for almost a month now he is hungry to get back on the field and pick up where he left off this time with a new team. The Padres aren’t a good team as outside Villanueva and Cordero they don’t have many guys who are deep ball threats which gives Vargas more confidence in his first start. New York wins on the road.

Betting trends for New York Mets:

  • New York is 5-2 against teams outside the NL East this season.

  • The over is 6-4 on the road this season.

Betting trends for San Diego Padres:

  • San Diego is 5-11 against right-handed pitchers this season.

  • The under is 8-3-1 at home this season.


I am a sports enthusiast and watch every sport from the NFL to the NHL with everything in between. I have followed sports since I was a young kid and have studied deep into statistics for teams, and players. I am always looking for transactions within sports and find in an interest in every game. Playing every sport growing up has led me to understand every game and look for certain trends and stats.