Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds, 5-6-18 – Pick & Preview

Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds, 5-6-18 – Pick & Preview

Miami Marlins (11-19) vs Cincinnati Reds (7-22)

Date : 05/06/2018
Time : 4:10 PM
Location : Great American Ball Park

Pick, Prediction, & Preview:

Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds are set to close out a 3 game home series against National League foe in the Miami Marlins as they are looking at a 4:10 first pitch at Great American Ball Park. These two teams will not meet again until September 20th as Cincinnati will travel down to Miami for a 4 game series.

Miami Marlins's Latest Performance :

Better Form As Of Recent

The Miami Marlins may not be anywhere near the .500 mark but the young Marlins have been fairly good as they entered this series winning 4 of their last 5 matchups which is a high achievement for a starless team. The Marlins have been really good in the starting pitching department as the young guys have started to gain more confidence through the season. One of the most relieving things for this team is to see Jose Urena picking up his slack as he had another great start to close out their recent series against the Phillies where he went 7 innings striking out 6 guys. Urena might be 0-5 on the season but he has improved over his last two games as he has only given up 1 earned run in each game which is a drastic turnaround from his first start where he gave up 5. The Marlins hitters haven’t lit up the stat sheet as they only have 3 hitters with 10+ RBIs. The small production from the Marlins offense can be accredited to two of the longest tenure players as Justin Bour and J.T. Realmuto have a combined 9 HRs and 22 RBIs. Rookie Brian Anderson has also done a really good job for this Marlins team as he leads the team in RBIs with 16 which is a relieving sight for Derek Jeter as his other rookies have struggled in the early going.

Cincinnati Reds's Latest Performance :

Same Results Every Game

The Cincinnati Reds are statistically the worse team in baseball as they have not only the worse winning percentage but also sit at the bottom of almost every major statistical category in baseball. The Reds did not enter this series on a high note as they were swept by the Brewers and although they closed out the series in a close 3-1 lost, the stats will tell you a different story. The Reds may have only given up 3 runs to the Brewers, but they were dominated all game as they gave up 12 hits as most of the damage was done by starter Luis Castillo. Castillo has been awful all season as he entered this matchup with a 1-4 record as well a 6.51 ERA and nothing changed in this matchup. Castillo may have only given up 2 earned runs in this game which is well below his 6.51 ERA but he gave up 9 hits alone in the 6 innings as he was giving the Brewers pitches to hit left and right. The Reds also need to receive a little more offense from the bat of Adam Duvall as he has not been very good this season. Duvall may lead the team with 4 HRs and 15 RBIs but he has not done very much other than giving the Reds a couple of runs here and there as he has one of the worst batting averages on the team (.163). Duvall has never been an amazing contact hitter for the Reds but when your cleanup hitter has only recorded 17 hits in 104 ABs you have to worry.

How Miami Marlins & Cincinnati Reds Matchup.

Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:

Miami is 11-19, 4-8 on the road.

Cincinnati is 7-24, 3-12 at home.

In-Depth Analysis of each team:

The probable starting pitchers for this matchup is as follows: Dan Straily (0-0, 9.00 ERA) for the Miami Marlins vs. Brandon Finnegan (0-2, 7.27 ERA) for the Miami Marlins.

Straily last started on 4/30 against the Phillies where he went 4 innings giving up 4 earned runs on 6 hits in a ND.

Finnegan last started on 4/30 against the Brewers where he went 5 innings giving up 3 earned runs on 5 hits in a ND.

Miami and Cincinnati both rank in the bottom 10 in team runs.

Miami and Cincinnati both rank in the bottom 10 in team ERA.

Against The Spread Selection: Miami Marlins

My reason for the pick :

The Miami Marlins just showed us that they can take 2 out of 3 games against two potential playoff teams as they beat up on the Rockies and Phillies, and they now get to bring that same confidence against one of the worst teams in the MLB. Straily had a bad outing in his first start since returning from his injury but the injury gives him an excuse to be rusty, but Finnegan on the other hand has started in 4 games this season and has no excuse for giving the Reds another bad start. Straily has been above .500 in the win department his past 2 seasons which tells me he has the ability to do it this year and he will start this trek now. Miami is the better team and roll to a win.

Betting trends for Miami Marlins:

  • Miami is 4-4 in day games this season.

  • The under is 14-10 with no rest this season.

Betting trends for Cincinnati Reds:

  • Cincinnati is 5-23 against National League teams this season.

  • The over is 13-10 after a loss this season.


I am a sports enthusiast and watch every sport from the NFL to the NHL with everything in between. I have followed sports since I was a young kid and have studied deep into statistics for teams, and players. I am always looking for transactions within sports and find in an interest in every game. Playing every sport growing up has led me to understand every game and look for certain trends and stats.