Philadelphia Phillies (17-13) vs Washington Nationals (15-16)Date : 05/06/2018
Time : 1:35 pm EST
Location : Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals
The finale of a 3-game set between the visiting Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals will take place on Saturday at 4:05 pm EST at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C… Currently, the Philadelphia Phillies are ranked 3rd in the NL East while the Nationals are in 4th place within the division. This will be the first matchup of the year amongst these two teams, however, the Phillies have won 5 of the last 8 matchups, yet, have lost 5 of their last 7 games at Nationals Park.
Philadelphia Phillies's Latest Performance :
One would have thought that the Phillies were well on their way to solidifying their impact within the NL East so far this season; However, what happened was the Phillies returning home only to lose a 3-game set to the Arizona Diamondbacks and to the Atlanta Braves. They have not looked good in their current series against the Miami Marlins after losing the first 3-games of a 3-game set. As I stated, the Phillies need to recapture the fire they possessed earlier in the season which starts with their offense. In fact, in their last 4 losses, the Phillies were outscored 27-7.
For the season, the Phillies are averaging 4.52 runs per game (17th) with a team batting average of .232 (25th), 26 homers (26th), along with 16 stolen bases on the year (11th). Their pitching staff possesses an ERA of 3.73 (10th) with 249 strikeouts (16th), along with 14 quality starts (9th).
Odubel Herrera (.337 BA on 104 AB), Rhys Hoskins (.301 BA on 93 AB), and Cesar Hernandez (.279 BA on 104 AB) have been the stalwarts for this Phillies offensive attack. Maikel Franco (.250 BA on 84 Ab) and Scott Kingery (.217 BA on 92 AB) are also critical to the Philadelphia offense.
Aaron Nola (3-1) has pitched 38.1 innings this year while allowing 11 runs on 27 hits, 2 homers, 10 walks, and 28 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.58 while Nick Pivetta (1-1) has pitched 33 innings while allowing 12 runs on 30 hits, 2 homers, 7 walks, and 34 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.27 for the season.
Washington Nationals's Latest Performance :
The Washington Nationals have lost 3-straight series’ to the Dodgers, Giants, and Diamondbacks on their most recent west coast trip along with yet another 3-game series loss to the dangerous Arizona Diamondbacks on April 29th. They have, however, won the first 3 games of a 4-game set against the Pittsburgh Pirates. This seems to suggest that they have thrown off the shackles of those earlier losses and are beginning to play with the necessary cohesiveness in which to win games consistently. In all, the Nationals are winners of 5 of their last 10, however, have won their last 4 and looking to continue their success against a Phillies team that they have matched up well against in the past.
For the season, the Nationals are averaging 4.39 runs per game (18th) with a team batting average of .239 (16th), 31 homers, 12th) along with 31 stolen bases (1st). their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.96 (14th) with 280 strikeouts (5th) along with 13 quality starts on the year (9th).
Howie Kendrick (.299 BA on 97 AB), Trea Truner (.268 BA on 112 AB), Bryce Harper (.253 BA on 87 AB), and Michael A. Turner (.221 BA on 95 AB) have been the offensive leaders for this Washington Nationals squad thus far.
Max Scherzer (5-1, 39 IP, 10 R, 23 H, 2 HR, 9 BB, 57 SO, 1.62 ERA) and Gio Gonzales (3-2, 33.2 IP, 11 R, 34 H, 1 HR, 14 BB, 37 SO, 2.67 ERA) have been the most consistent on the pitching staff while Stephen Strasburg (2-3, 39.2 IP, 18 R, 31 H, 7 HR, 10 BB, 43 SO, 3.63 ERA) and Tanner Roark (1-2, 31 IP, 14 R, 20 H, 5 HR, 11 BB, 28 SO, 3.77 ERA) have also been solid on the mound for the Nationals this year.
How Philadelphia Phillies & Washington Nationals Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Washington Nationals are 14-16 ATS while the O/U is 13-15-2. On the other hand, the Phillies are 16-13 ATS while the O/U is 14-12-3.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This matchup will pit together two teams that have gone through rough patches this season, however, looking for wins in which to increase their position within a competitive division. The Phillies have been awful lately and look to pick up some wins in a park to where they have not been very successful at playing. Washington hopes to take advantage of this in attempting to gather even more momentum from their recent winning streak.
Totals Selection: Under
My reason for the prediction :
These teams have been so shaky in the past, I would not feel comfortable in backing either, however, when judging both teams along with the budding inconsistencies recently shown by the Phillies offense and defense, I will expect the under to be the play on Sunday in that the Nationals pitching staff is very talented and are able to lock down their opponent(s) after they have obtained a comfortable lead and eliminate their chances of staying competitive for 9 innings. In other words, as long as Philly continues to show no life on offense, I will pick the under to come through.
Betting trends for Philadelphia Phillies:
- Betting Trends for Philadelphia Phillies
- The Phillies are 1-4 in last 5 road games
- The Phillies are 2-6 in last 8 games
- The Over is 6-2 in Phillies last 8 games
Betting trends for Washington Nationals:
- Betting Trends for Washington Nationals
- The Under is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 games
- The Under is 8-4 in Nationals last 12 home games