Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Baltimore Orioles (13-28) vs Boston Red Sox (28-12)

Date : 05/17/2018
Time : 7:10 pm EST
Location : Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts

Pick, Prediction, & Preview:

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Game 1 of a 4-game set against the visiting Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox will take place at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts, on Thursday, 7:10 pm EST.  the Orioles currently occupy 5th place in the AL East while the Red Sox are in 2nd place within the division.  This will be the 2nd meeting amongst these two squads, however, the Red Sox took the last meeting 3-games-to-0, with the final game of the 4-game set being postponed due to weather.

Baltimore Orioles's Latest Performance :

The Baltimore Orioles come into this matchup winners of 5 of their last 6 games to where the O/U was 4-2. After a 3-game road series sweep against the Oakland Athletics on 5-6-2018, the Orioles have since won a 3-game home set versus the Kansas City Royals along with a 4-game home set versus the Tamp Bay Rays on 5-13-2018.  The Orioles are seemingly coming out of their season long slump and it will be interesting to see how this changes their focus and consistency in the future.

For the season, the Orioles average only 4.22 runs per game (19th) with a team batting average of .236 (22nd), 53 homers (7th) along with 15 stolen bases on the year (23rd).  Their pitching staff possesses an ERA of 5.08 (27th) with 322 strikeouts (29th) along with 18 quality starts (9th).

Manny Machado (.350 BA, 157 AB) has been the most effective offensive option for the Orioles this year.  Meanwhile, Trey Mancini (.275 BA, 153 AB) and Adam Jones (.259 BA, 166 AB) have also been effective for the offensive attack.

Dylan Bundy (2-5, 47.2 IP, 51 H, 30 R, 10 HR, 17 BB, 55 SO) and Kevin Gauseman (3-2, 51 IP, 49 H, 18 R, 8 HR, 12 BB, 42 SO) have pitched the most innings for the Orioles this season while Andrew Cashner (1-4, 44.2 IP, 46 H, 27 R, 10 HR, 21 BB, 40 SO) has also been serviceable for Baltimore this season.

Boston Red Sox's Latest Performance :

The Boston Red Sox come into this game winners of 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 1-4.  Recently, the Red Sox had won 2 straight series against the Kansas City Royals and a 4-game home set against the Texas Rangers on 5-6-2018.  They did, however, drop a 3-game home set to division foe New York Yankees on 5-10-2018.  Nonetheless, they rebounded in their following series by winning a 3-game road set versus the Toronto Blue Jays on 5-13-2018.

For the season, the Red Sox are averaging 5.45 runs per game (3rd) with a team batting average of .267 (2nd), 54 homers (5th), along with 25 stolen bases (9th).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.58 (9th) with 408 strikeouts (4th) along with 21 quality starts on the year (4th).

Mookie Betts (.360 BA on 136 AB), J.D. Martinez (.342 BA on 149 AB), Hanley Ramirez (.286 BA on 140 AB), Rafael Devers (.257 BA on 152 AB) and Andrew Benintendi (.255 BA on 145 AB) have all been consistent at the plate this year for the Red Sox and are their primary offensive leaders.  Eduardo Nunez (.239 BA on 138 AB) is also a key offensive component for Boston.

Chris Sale (3-1, 58 IP, 15 R, 41 H, 6 HR, 11 BB, 78 SO, 2.17 ERA), Rick Porcello (5-0, 51.2 IP, 16 R, 41 H, 6 HR, 11 BB, 78 SO, 2.79 ERA) and David Price (3-4, 42.1 IP, 26 R, 41 H, 5 HR, 19 BB, 38 SO, 4.89) have held it down for the Red Sox pitching staff all season.  Hector Velasquez (5-0, 25.2 IP, 6 R, 27 H, 3 HR, 5 BB, 18 SO, 2.10 ERA has also been a shining star for the Boston pitching staff.

How Baltimore Orioles & Boston Red Sox Matchup.

Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:

For the season, the Baltimore Orioles are 17-24 ATS while the O/U is 21-20.  On the other hand, the Red Sox are 19-21 ATS while the O/U is 19-20-1.

In-Depth Analysis of each team:

This matchup pits the solid, consistent Red Sox versus the Inconsistent, yet, resilient Orioles in a 4-game set.  The Orioles have finally caught fire winning 5 of their last 6 and would love to get a game 1 victory over their AL East division foe.  However, the Red Sox would also love to extend their winning streak at home against a team that they have dominated in the past.  In all, this will certainly be a great matchup of two teams that have certainly enjoyed the benefits that come along with playing great baseball lately.

Against The Spread Selection: Boston Red Sox

My reason for the pick :

While the Orioles have played well lately, the Red Sox have been dominant at home this season (11-4 ML), while their opponent is only 3-16 (ML).  it would be important to note that I factored in the way the Orioles have been playing lately, and I am certainly able to provide them their congrats in somehow looking like an MLB team, however, the Red Sox are on another level, altogether.  Combine this with a pitching staff that is solid and able to make it a long night for any offense, I see Boston winning game 1 in winner’s fashion.

Betting trends for Baltimore Orioles:

  • Betting Trends for Baltimore Orioles

    • The Orioles are 3-16 in last 19 road games
    • The Orioles are 5-8 in last 13 games
    • The Over is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 games

Betting trends for Boston Red Sox:

  • Betting Trends for Boston Red Sox

    • The Red Sox are 7-3 in last 10 home games
    • The Red Sox are 9-6 in last 15 games
    • The Under is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 games


A sports analyst and enthusiast, Filipa enjoys writing articles for NHL, NBA, NCAAB, and, of course, for NCAAF. In addition, he enjoys the true art of breaking down games in such as way as to locate certain trends that can impact future contests. With a willingness to research, construct, and relay information that any reader can understand, Filipa aims to provide the reader with interesting & indepth knowledge for upcoming sporting events.