San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates

San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates

San Diego Padres (16-26) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (23-17)

Date : 05/17/2018
Time : 7:05 pm EST
Location : PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Pick, Prediction, & Preview:

San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Game 1 of a 4-game set between the visiting San Diego Padres and the Pittsburgh Pirates will take place at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, on Thursday at 7:05 pm EST.  The Padres currently occupy last place in the NL West while the Pirates are currently in 3rd place within the NL Central division.  This will be the 1st meeting of the year between these two teams, however, both teams have split the past 6 contests with the Pirates taking 2 of 3 games in their last meeting at PNC Park.

San Diego Padres's Latest Performance :

The Padres come into this matchup winners of 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U has been 1-4.  Recently, the Padres picked up a huge series win over their divisions foe Los Angeles Dodgers in a 3-game home set on 5-6-2018.  They preceded to lose a 3-game home set versus the Nationals on 5-9-2018 while tying the St. Louis Cardinals in the following 4-game home set 2-games-to-2 on 5-13-2018.

For the season, San Diego averages 3.71 runs per game (29th) with a team batting average of .227 (28th), 36 homers (27th) and 23 stolen bases on the year (11th).  Their pitching staff possesses an ERA of 4.22 (16th) with 388 strikeouts (6th) and 13 quality starts thus far (24th).

Jose Pirela (.271 BA on 166 AB), Eric Hosmer (.262 BA on 145 AB), and Freddy Galvis (.223 BA on 148 AB) have been the few bright spots for this San Diego squad.  Carlos Asuaje (.198 BA on 106 AB) has also pitvotal to the Padres offense as well.

Joey Lucchesi (3-2) has been the most solid pitcher for the Padres this season as he has pitched 42.1 innings while allowing 16 runs on 37 hits, 6 homers, 14 walks, and 46 strikeouts while Tyson Ross (2-3) has pitched 47.2 innings while allowing 20 runs on 37 hits, 4 homers, 18 walks, and 53 strikeouts.  Clayton Richard (2-5) has been very much inconsistent for the Padres this season, however, has pitched 53.2 innings while allowing 32 runs on 57 hits, 6 homers, 21 walks, and 50 strikeouts.

Pittsburgh Pirates's Latest Performance :

The Pittsburgh Pirates have won 5 of their last 7 games to where the O/U was 4-1-1.  After a 4-game road sweep to the Washington Nationals on 5-3-2018, the Pirates went on to win a 3-game road set versus the Brewers while sweeping a 2-game set versus the White Sox on 5-9-2018.  They followed this up with a 3-game home series win versus the struggling San Francisco Giants on 5-13-2018.

For the season, the Pittsburgh Pirates average 5.02 runs per game (6th) with a team batting average of .261 (5th), 48 homers (14th) along with 17 stolen bases (20th).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.18 (15th) with 329 strikeouts (19th) along with 17 quality starts on the year (11th).

Corey Dickerson (.319 BA on 141 AB), Francisco Cervelli (.305 BA on 105 AB), Starling Marte (.304 BA on 158 AB), and Colin Moran (.288 BA on 111 AB) have been the most consistent hitters in the lineup for the Pirates this year.  Jordy Mercer (.244 BA on 131 AB) and Josh Bell (.252 BA on 147 AB) have also been solid for Pittsburgh this year at the plate.

Trevor Williams (4-2, 46 IP, 16 R, 34 H, 5 HR, 20 BB, 29 SO, 3.13 ERA) and Ivan Nova (2-3, 50.1 IP, 31 R, 60 H, 8 HR, 8 BB, 39 SO, 5.01 ERA) have been shining stars on the mound for the Pirates this year while Steven Brault (3-1, 30.1 IP, 19 R, 28 H, 3 HR, 18 BB, 28 SO, 4.72 ERA) has also been solid in the rotation.

How San Diego Padres & Pittsburgh Pirates Matchup.

Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:

For the season, the Padres are 19-23 ATS while the O/U is 18-22-2.  On the other hand, the Pirates are 21-19 ATS while the O/U is 21-14-5.

In-Depth Analysis of each team:

This matchup will pit a team that has slowly been picking up momentum and confidence versus a team that has won 2 in a row while looking for yet another solid win on the season to increase their current standings within their respective division.  The Pirates have won 7 of their last 9 games at home while the Padres have lost 8 of their last 11 road games.  It will be interesting to see how the Padres perform on Thursday against a Pittsburgh squad that they have played very well against.

Against The Spread Selection: Pittsburgh Pirates

My reason for the pick :

While the Padres have picked up some wins here and there, I continue to feel as if the Pirates are the better team in this contest.  Also, when I consider that the Padres are a mere 6-9 (ML) away from PetCo Park this year as opposed to the Pirates being 12-6 (ML) at home in 2018, there is even more reason to back the Pirates in what will be an interesting game 1, thus setting the pace for the remainder of the series.

Betting trends for San Diego Padres:

  • Betting Trends for San Diego Padres

    • The Padres are 3-6 in last 9 road games
    • The Padres are 9-16 in last 25 games
    • The Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 games

Betting trends for Pittsburgh Pirates:

  • Betting Trends for Pittsburgh Pirates

    • The Pirates are 7-1 in last 8 home games
    • The Pirates are 11-6 in last 17 games
    • The Over is 7-3-1 in Pirates last 11 games


A sports analyst and enthusiast, Filipa enjoys writing articles for NHL, NBA, NCAAB, and, of course, for NCAAF. In addition, he enjoys the true art of breaking down games in such as way as to locate certain trends that can impact future contests. With a willingness to research, construct, and relay information that any reader can understand, Filipa aims to provide the reader with interesting & indepth knowledge for upcoming sporting events.