Chicago Cubs (22-17) vs Cincinnati Reds (14-29)Date : 05/18/2018
Time : 7:10 PM
Location : Great American Ball Park
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
The Cincinnati Reds are set to return back to Great American Ball Park after a road series as they will host NL Central rival Chicago Cubs in a 4 game home series, first pitch is slated for 7:10 PM ET. Before this series, these two teams were only able to meet for 1 game due to rainouts but the Reds were able to claim the 1 matchup, 1-0.
Chicago Cubs's Latest Performance :
Late Game Rally Wins It
The Chicago Cubs have started to play a lot better as of recent as they find themselves only a game out of first place, and the 2016 World Series champs were able to show some grit in a recent matchup against the Atlanta Braves as they used a 9th inning rally to beat one of the best teams in the National League. The Cubs elected to start Yu Darvish who was slightly improved in his 7th start of the season as the 31-year-old brings a 0-3 record with a 5.56 ERA into this series. Darvish was one of the most sought-after players during this past offseason and he showed that in his last start as the righty was able to give the Cubs 4 quality innings where he only gave up 1 earned run on 3 hits. Darvish could have lasted 2 or more innings but he was pulled after grasping for his leg which fortunately for the Cubs was only a leg cramp. The bullpen was solid in Darvish’s exit as the combination of Mike Montgomery, Pedro Strop, Carl Edwards, and Brandon Morrow gave up only 2 hits in the remaining 5 innings. Brandon Morrow has been fantastic in his first full season as a closer as the 33-year-old recorded his 10th save of the season which is already a career high. Addison Russell was able to deliver an RBI double in the top of the 9th inning which has brought his season total up to 9 on the season which is well below his 2016 total of 95. The Cubs were able to squeeze out a win in this 5/15 matchup despite terrible games from Javier Baez, Anthony Rizzo, and Kyle Schwarber as the trio were not able to record a hit in their 11 ABs.
Cincinnati Reds's Latest Performance :
Young Guy Roughed Up
The Cincinnati Reds have officially gone into turmoil as their best player in Joey Votto came out to the media about the terrible start the ballclub has gotten off to and nothing looks like it will change as the Reds continuously add to their bad start with losses. The Reds followed up a game 1 loss against the Giants in their previous series with yet another loss as they struggled once again in the starting pitching aspect of the game as they dropped the game 5-3. The Reds elected to start rookie Tyler Mahle who has shown both high and low points during his short career. Mahle added to one of his bad starts as the right-handed 23-year-old got roughed up for 4 earned runs on 7 hits in only 3.1 innings. Mahle received his 5th loss of the season in as many as 9 starts and although he has the best ERA out of any starter he still sits at a 4.34 which tells us a lot about the rotation. If there was one positive for the Reds to take out of the pitching area its the revival of reliever Amir Garrett who struggled in his brief stay in the starting rotation in 2017. Garrett was given the chance to show his gunslinging arm as a starter in his rookie year but he struggled mightily as he went 3-8 with a 7.39 ERA but fortunately the youngster was able to overcome 2017 as he has appeared in 19 games and only has a 1.57 ERA. The Reds were able to receive production from their typical source int heir 5-3 loss as Eugenio Suarez was able to hit a 2-run HR in the top of the 3rd inning which gave him a team-high 7th HR of the season.
How Chicago Cubs & Cincinnati Reds Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Chicago is 22-17, 9-9 on the road.
Cincinnati is 14-29, 6-15 at home.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The probable starting pitchers for this matchup is as follows: Kyle Hendricks (3-3, 3.20 ERA) for the Chicago Cubs vs. Homer Bailey (1-5, 5.59 ERA) for the Cincinnati Reds.
Hendricks last started on 5/13 against the White Sox where he went 6 innings giving up 3 earned runs on 6 hits in a L.
Bailey last started on 5/12 against the Dodgers where he went 5 innings giving up 3 earned runs on 10 hits in a W.
Chicago ranks in the top 5 in runs scored while Cincinnati ranks in the bottom 15.
Chicago ranks in the top 10 in team ERA while Cincinnati ranks in the bottom 10.
Against The Spread Selection: Chicago Cubs
My reason for the pick :
The Chicago Cubs are better than their record tells us which still isn’t bad as the Cubbies should be a favorite to make the World Series once again, but the Cubs rank in the top 5 in almost every major statistical category and not to mention they get to climb even high as they get a matchup against one of the worst teams in the MLB. Me backing the Cubs in this matchup isn’t due to the solid start Hendricks has endured (3.20 ERA) but more so due to how awful Bailey has been this season as I can’t trust him to give the Reds a solid outing against one of the best offenses in baseball. Chicago showed their abilities to beat a top 10 pitching team in the Atlanta Braves even without the production of 3 of their best hitters. Chicago wins on the road.
Betting trends for Chicago Cubs:
- Chicago is 20-13 as the favorite this season.
- The under is 13-7-1 after a win this season.
Betting trends for Cincinnati Reds:
- Cincinnati is 3-15 against NL Central opponents this season.
- The over is 9-7 as the home underdog this season.