Atlanta Braves (28-17) vs Philadelphia Phillies (26-18)Date : 05/23/2018
Time : 7:05 PM
Location : Citizens Bank Park
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
The Philadelphia Phillies are set to return back to Citizens Bank Park for the finale of a 3 game home series against NL East rival in the Atlanta Braves, first pitch is slated for 7:05 PM ET. After this matchup, these two teams will have met 12 times through the first 2 months of baseball which will give them a break from each other as they will not meet again until 9/20 when Philadelphia will travel to Atlanta for a 3 game series.
Atlanta Braves's Latest Performance :
Come From Behind W
The Atlanta Braves were able to use a 6-run bottom of the 9th inning to close out their recent series against the Miami Marlins to give them their 7th win in as many as 10 games, but the Braves cannot depend on late-game rallies in most games to win ballgames as that is not the recipe for success in a deep division. The Braves on the pitching end of things were shaky especially in the starting portion as 27-year-old Julio Teheran struggled in his 10th start of the season. Teheran has been solid for the Braves as of recent as the right-handed pitcher has gone 3-0 over his last 3 starts while only giving up 4 earned runs, but 5/20 was a different story. Teheran should have been able to extend on his solid stretch of games as he was going against arguably the worst offensive team in baseball in the Miami Marlins but the righty got roughed up for 6 earned runs on 7 hits in only 5 innings of work. Lucas Sims and A.J. Minter weren’t a solution to the run problem either as the duo gave up 3 earned runs in their short 3 inning appearance. The bats were awesome for the Braves especially in the 9th inning as they rattle across 6 runs to give them a solid win in what put them 1.5 games ahead of the Phillies in the standings. The young guys for the Braves were excellent as the combination of Dansby Swanson, Ronald Acuna, and Ozzie Albies went 5 for 13 from the plate with 5 RBIs. Acuna has not missed a beat since he was called up as the #1 prospect in the MLB as he entered this series with 4 HRs and 11 RBIs in only 23 games.
Philadelphia Phillies's Latest Performance :
Shutout To Close Series
The Philadelphia Phillies have been solid over the recent stretch of games as they have won 7 of their last 10 matchups but after the end to their most recent series against the St. Louis Cardinals the Phillies have to go back to the drawing board and do some re-evaluating. The Phillies elected to start their ace in Aaron Nola who has been very good in 2018 as the former first-round pick entered his 10th start of the season with 6-1 record and a 1.99 ERA but 5/20 was not as kind to the right-handed pitcher. Nola was not as dominant as he has been all season as the 4th-year pitcher gave up 4 earned runs on 7 hits in only 6 innings of work which translated into his 2nd loss of the season. The bullpen was able to stop the bleeding as the combination of Victor Arano and Hector Neris closed out the final 2 innings by only giving up 3 hits but it was too little too late. A positive that the Phillies can move forward on is the dominance from closer Hector Neris who needed a good game after posting a 9.00 ERA over his last 7 appearances. The bats were able to generate nothing in their 5-1 loss as they were only able to bring across 1 run on 2 hits. 25-year-old Rhys Hoskins was able to connect on a ball in the top of the 4th inning to contribute to his 6th HR of the 2018 season, but this HR may be the most important one yet as the 2nd-year OF has struggled as of recent as he is only batting .148 over his last 7 games. The Phillies need to also get Carlos Santana back on track as the veteran has not found his swing in his new home as he is only batting .189.
How Atlanta Braves & Philadelphia Phillies Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Atlanta is 28-17, 17-8 on the road.
Philadelphia is 26-18, 16-6 at home.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The probable starting pitchers for this matchup is as follows: Luiz Gohara (0-0, 1.29 ERA) for the Atlanta Braves vs. Jake Arietta (3-2, 2.82 ERA) for the Philadelphia Phillies.
Gohara last pitched on 5/18 against the Marlins where he went 1.2 hitless innings in relief.
Arietta last started on 5/18 against the Cardinals where he went 3 innings giving up 2 earned runs on 5 hits in a L.
Atlanta ranks in the top 3 in runs scored while Philadelphia ranks outside the top 10.
Atlanta ranks in the top 5 in team ERA while Philadelphia ranks in the top 10.
Against The Spread Selection: Philadelphia Phillies
My reason for the pick :
The Philadelphia Phillies are now looking up at the Atlanta Braves in the standings after their recent series, but the Phillies have a perfect opportunity to capitalize on a win to close out their series in what could be a pivotal matchup considering how close these teams will be in the standings. Arietta has been solid all year for the Phillies and given that he gets to return back to his home ballpark he should turn up the heat. The Braves are throwing Luiz Gohara who has been pretty good in his 3 appearances out of the bullpen but the 21-year-old has yet to start a game in 2018 which could be problematic for him as he may not give the Braves as many innings as possible. The Phillies have also been sensational at home this season as they have one of the better records in baseball which gives them a slight advantage over a young Braves ballclub.
Betting trends for Atlanta Braves:
- Atlanta is 22-14 with no rest this season.
- The over is 14-10-3 after a win this season.
Betting trends for Philadelphia Phillies:
- Philadelphia is 17-11 in night games this season.
- The under is 15-11-1 as the favorite this season.