Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks 5-28-2018




Cincinnati Reds (18-34) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (26-24)

Date : 05/28/2018
Time : 4:10 pm EST
Location : Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona

Pick, Prediction, & Preview:

Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Game 1 of a 3-game set versus the visiting Cincinnati Reds and the Arizona Diamondbacks will take place at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona, on Monday at 4:10 pm EST.  The Reds are currently in last place in the NL Central while the Arizona Diamondbacks are in 2nd place within the NL West division.  This will be the 1st matchup of the year amongst these two squads, however, both teams have split the last 6 meetings while the Reds winning 2 of the last 3 at Chase Field.

Cincinnati Reds's Latest Performance :

The Reds have lost 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 1-4.  Recently, after losing a 3-game road set to the Giants on 5-16-2018 along with a 4-game home set to the Chicago Cubs on 5-20-2018, the Reds would win a 3-game home set versus the Pittsburgh Pirates on 5-24-2018.  They would, however, follow this effort up with a slim 5-4 loss in game 1 of a 3-game road set against the Colorado Rockies on 5-25-2018.

For the season, the Cincinnati Reds are averaging 4.06 runs per game (20th) with a team batting average of .239 (17th), 49 home runs (23rd), along with 24 stolen bases (14th).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.83 (25th) with 407 strikeouts (21st), and 15 quality starts (27th).

Jesse Winker (.252 BA on 147 AB), Scooter Gennett (.319 BA on 188 AB), Tucker Barnhart (.271 BA on 144 AB), and Joey Votto (.279 BA on 179 AB) have been valuable to the offense this year.  Jose Peraza (.243 BA on 202 AB) has also been a pivotal piece in the offensive puzzle for the Reds.

Homer Bailey (1-6) has pitched 58 innings for the Reds while allowing 41 runs on 75 hits, 13 homers, 23 walks, and 35 strikeouts with an ERA of 6.21 while Tyler Mahle (3-6) has pitched 53.2 innings and has allowed 28 runs on 55 hits, 13 homers, 18 walks, and 52 strikeouts along with an ERA of 4.53.  Finally, Luis Castillo (4-4) has pitched 57.1 innings while allowing 35 runs on 61 hits, 11 home runs, 22 walks, and 55 strikeouts with an ERA of 5.34.

Arizona Diamondbacks's Latest Performance :

The Arizona Diamondbacks have lost 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 2-3.  Recently, after a 4-game home sweep at the hands of the Washington Nationals on 5-13-2018 while also losing a 3-game home set versus the Milwaukee Brewers on 5-15-2018, the D’backs would take their sluggish play into their next series against the Minnesota Twins on the road and would lose the 3-game set on 5-20-2018.  They would, however, win game 1 of a 3-game road set against the Oakland A’s by a score of 7-1.

For the season, the D’backs average 3.74 runs per game (28th) with a team batting average of .216 (30th), 50 homers (21st) along with 32 stolen bases (9th).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.35 (3rd) with 448 strikeouts (9th) along with 21 quality starts for the season (15th).

David Peralta (.269 BA on 175 AB) and A.J. Pollock (.293 BA on 150 AB) have been the offensive stars for the Diamondbacks thus far.  Paul Goldschmidt (.206 BA on 180 AB) and Nick Ahmed (.212 BA on 156 AB) have also been solid offensively for Arizona this season.

Patrick Corbin (5-1, 69.1 IP, 19 R, 43 H, 8 HR, 19 BB, 88 SO, 2.47 ERA) and Zack Greinke (3-3, 60.2 IP, 25 R, 53 H, 10 HR, 7 BB, 67 SO, 3.71 ERA) have pitched the most innings for the D’backs this season while Zack Godley (4-4, 55.1 IP, 33 R, 58 H, 7 HR, 29 BB, 52 SO, 4.53 ERA) has also been solid on the mound thus far.

How Cincinnati Reds & Arizona Diamondbacks Matchup.

Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:

For the season, the Reds are 27-25 ATS while the O/U is 23-27-2.  On the other hand, the Diamondbacks are 24-26 ATS while the O/U is 22-26-2.

In-Depth Analysis of each team:

While both teams have struggled throughout 2018, the Reds come into this game with a bit more momentum.  The bad part of this is that Homer Bailey will get the start in game 1 of this series, which means that the Reds have reason to worry.  Bailey has been wholly inconsistent on the mound this year for Cincinnati while the Diamondback’s lineup has dominated him in recent matchups.  It will be interesting to see how Arizona, who has struggled to score runs recently, responds to the opposing pitcher.

Against The Spread Selection: Arizona Diamondbacks

My reason for the pick :

It is true that the Diamondbacks have struggled recently in losing 12 of their last 14, however, they have played well against the Reds.  On the other hand, the Reds have won 3 of their last 5 games and have also played Arizona well, particularly at Chase Field.  It all comes down to pitching in this game 1 matchup, and Homer Bailey has indeed struggled against the lineup for Arizona.  With that being said, I will gladly back Arizona to get the victory and set the tone for the series.

Betting trends for Cincinnati Reds:

  • Betting trends for Cincinnati Reds

    • The Reds are 5-2 in last 7 road games
    • The Reds are 10-6 in last 16 games
    • The Under is 8-6-2 in Reds last 16 games

Betting trends for Arizona Diamondbacks:

  • Betting Trends for Arizona Diamondbacks

    • The Under is 4-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games
    • The Diamondbacks are 1-6 in last 7 home games
    • The Diamondbacks are 1-12 in last 13 games

Falepa

A sports analyst and enthusiast, Filipa enjoys writing articles for NHL, NBA, NCAAB, and, of course, for NCAAF. In addition, he enjoys the true art of breaking down games in such as way as to locate certain trends that can impact future contests. With a willingness to research, construct, and relay information that any reader can understand, Filipa aims to provide the reader with interesting & indepth knowledge for upcoming sporting events.