Chicago Cubs vs NY Mets 6-3-2018




Chicago Cubs vs NY Mets 6-3-2018

Chicago Cubs (29-23) vs NY Mets (27-26)

Date : 06/03/2018
Time : 1:10 pm EST
Location : CitiField, New York, New York

Pick, Prediction, & Preview:

Chicago Cubs vs NY Mets

The finale of a 4-game set between the visiting Chicago Cubs and the reeling NY Mets will take place at CitiField in New York, New York, on Sunday at 1:10 pm EST.  The Cubs have been relatively consistent all season, however, have yet to find their mojo thus far and are currently in 2nd place within the NL Central while the NY Mets have had to endure a long losing skid lately and are currently in 4th place within the NL East ahead of only the lowly Miami Marlins.  This will be the 1st meeting of the year amongst these two squads, however, the Cubs have won 4 of the last 6 matchups with the Mets taking 2 of the last 3 at CitiField on 6-12-2017.

Chicago Cubs's Latest Performance :

The Cubs come into this game winners of 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 2-3.  Recently, the Cubs would come out flat in game 1 of a 2-game home set versus the Cleveland Indians on their way to getting swept on 5-23-2018.  They would follow this effort up with a 3-game home series win versus the inconsistent San Francisco Giants on 5-27-2018.   They would apparently take this momentum into their next series against the Pittsburgh Pirates by winning the set on 5-30-2018.

For the season, the Cubs are averaging 5.23 runs per game (3rd) with a team batting average of .263 (3rd), 61 homers (17th) along with 18 stolen bases (25th).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.29 (3rd) with 463 strikeouts (16th) with 23 quality starts on the season, good for 16th in the MLB.

Kris Bryant (.286 BA on 189 AB), Kyle Schwarber (.253 BA on 154 AB), and Javier Baez (.271 BA on 203 AB) have spearheaded the Cubs offensive attack this year.  Wilson Contreras has also been critical to the scoring attack with a batting average of .268 on 179 at bats.

Jon Lester (5-2) has been solid this year pitching 63 innings while allowing 23 runs on 54 hits, 8 homer, 22 walks, and 54 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.71 while Kyle Hendricks (4-4) has pitched 67.2 innings while allowing 26 runs on 58 hits, 11 homers, 14 walks, and 52 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.19 for the season.  Jose Quintana (6-4) has pitched 58.2 innings while allowing 31 runs on 54 hits, 8 homers, 29 walks, and 57 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.30.

NY Mets's Latest Performance :

The New York Mets have lost 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 2-3.  Recently, the Mets continued a home stand by losing a 3-game set to the Miami Marlins on 5-23-2018.  The Mets would precede to play awful during a 4-game road set to the Milwaukee Brewers as they would lose the series on 5-27-2018.  They would, however, tie a 4-game road set versus the Atlanta Braves on 5-30-2018.  This momentum was not carried into game 1 of their next series as they dropped the opening of a 3-game home set versus the Chicago Cubs on 5-31-2018.

For the season, the Mets are averaging 4.17 (22nd) with a team batting average of .242 (18th), 57 homers (20th), along with 23 stolen bases (22nd).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.19 (16th) with 503 strikeouts (7th) along with 20 quality starts on the season (22nd).

Asdrubal Cabrera (.303 BA on 208 AB), Todd Frazier (.237 BA on 114 AB), Yoenis Cespedes (.255 BA on 137 AB), and Jay Bruce (.230 BA on 178 AB) have been the offensive stars for the Mets this season.  Amed Rosario (.259 BA on 174 AB) has also been a critical component to the Mets’ scoring attack.

Jacob deGrom (4-0, 65.1 IP, 12 R, 47 H, 3 HR, 19 BB, 85 SO, 1.52 ERA) and Noah Syndergaard (4-1, 64.2 IP, 25 R, 63 H, 5 HR, 13 BB, 76 SO, 3.06 ERA) are the bright spots for their talented pitching staff.

How Chicago Cubs & NY Mets Matchup.

Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:

For the season, the Cubs are 25-25 ATS while the O/U is 21-27-2.  On the other hand, the Mets are 25-26 ATS while the O/U is 23-27-1.

In-Depth Analysis of each team:

The Cubs have been dominant lately winning 6 of their last 7 games on the road while the Mets continue to be awful extending their losing skid to 8 of their last 11 games, with 3 of those losses being at CitiField.  While the Cubs have really knocked around the Mets in recent matchups, they will not let up in that they will send Jon Lester (5-2) to the mound in the finale in which to wrap this series up and obtain even more momentum moving forward.  Lester will be looking to avenge himself after a sub-par outing in his last start to where he gave up 4 runs on 6 hits, and 2 homers in an 8-6 road win over the Pirates on 5-29-2018 to where he received the win.  Lester has been dominant against the bulk of the Mets lineup, however, Jose Bautista (.250 BA on 16 AB), Asdrubel Cabrera (.294 BA on 17 AB), Keven Plawecki (.286 BA on 7 AB), and Amed Rosario (.667 BA on 3 AB) have had some success against the left-hander in recent matchups.

Against The Spread Selection: Chicago Cubs

My reason for the pick :

Lester is 3-1 against the Mets in his last 4 starts while the Cubs, as a team, have won 4 of the last 6 meetings against this inconsistent Mets squad.  It is for this reason that I will choose to back the surging Cubs in this matchup on Sunday.  As long as the Mets offense continues to struggle at the plate (4.2 runs/game in last 5) while the pitching staff precedes to be inconsistent on the mound (allowing 8.2 runs/game in last 4 losses), they will most certainly continue to struggle, particularly, against the more talent-heavy teams within the MLB.  Take the Cubs to shut down the Mets at home, once again.

Betting trends for Chicago Cubs:

  • Betting Trends for Chicago Cubs

    • The Cubs are 5-1 in last 6 road games
    • The Cubs are 9-6 in last 15 games
    • The Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 road games

Betting trends for NY Mets:

  • Betting Trends for NY Mets

    • The Mets are 3-8 in last 11 games
    • The Under is 9-4 in Mets last 13 games
    • The Under is 6-3 in Mets last 9 home games

Falepa

A sports analyst and enthusiast, Filipa enjoys writing articles for NHL, NBA, NCAAB, and, of course, for NCAAF. In addition, he enjoys the true art of breaking down games in such as way as to locate certain trends that can impact future contests. With a willingness to research, construct, and relay information that any reader can understand, Filipa aims to provide the reader with interesting & indepth knowledge for upcoming sporting events.