Philadelphia Phillies (31-26) vs Chicago Cubs (33-23)Date : 06/07/2018
Time : 2:20 pm EST
Location : Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs
The finale of a 3-game set between the visiting Philadelphia Phillies and the Chicago Cubs will take place at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois, on Wednesday night at 2:20 pm EST. The Cubs have been on fire lately and currently occupy the 2nd place slot within the NL Central while the Phillies have lost 5 of their last 7 and have decreased their position to the number 3 slot within the NL East division. In their last matchup the Cubs swept a 4-game set against the slumping NY Mets on 6-3-2018 while the Phillies were swept in a 3-game road series versus the Giants on 6-3-2018. This will be the 1st matchup of the year amongst these two teams, however, the Cubs have taken 4 of the last 7 meetings while taking 3 of 4 in their last meeting at Wrigley Field on 5-1-2017.
Philadelphia Phillies's Latest Performance :
The Phillies enter this matchup losers of 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 1-4. Recently, they would win a 3-game home set versus the Atlanta Braves on 5-23-2018, yet, would follow up this set by losing a 3-game set versus the struggling Blue Jays on 5-25-2018. Most recently, the Phillies would tie a 4-game set against the Dodgers on 5-31-2018. Nonetheless, in their last series versus division foe San Francisco Giants, the Phillies were swept in a 3-game set at AT&T field on 6-3-2018.
For the season, the Phillies are averaging 4.19 runs per game (20th) with a team batting average of .233 (26th), 60 homers (23rd), along with 24 stolen bases on the year (22nd). Their pitching staff possesses an ERA of 3.47 (5th) with 512 strikeouts (13th), along with 29 quality starts (5th).
Odubel Herrera (.305 BA on 210 AB), Rhys Hoskins (.233 BA on 176 AB), and Cesar Hernandez (.264 BA on 216 AB) have been the stalwarts for this Phillies offensive attack. Maikel Franco (.253 BA on 182 Ab) and Scott Kingery (.216 BA on 176 AB) are also critical to the Philadelphia offense.
Aaron Nola (7-2) has pitched 78.1 innings this year while allowing 19 runs on 55 hits, 4 homers, 18 walks, and 74 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.18 while Nick Pivetta (4-4) has pitched 62 innings while allowing 24 runs on 54 hits, 5 homers, 17 walks, and 70 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.48 for the season.
Chicago Cubs's Latest Performance :
The Cubs come into this game winners of 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 2-3. Recently, the Cubs would win a 3-game home series versus the inconsistent San Francisco Giants on 5-27-2018. They would apparently take this momentum into their next series against the Pittsburgh Pirates by winning the set on 5-30-2018. In their most current series win, they swept the reeling New York Mets in a 4-game series on 6-3-2018.
For the season, the Cubs are averaging 5.23 runs per game (3rd) with a team batting average of .266 (2nd), 63 homers (16th) along with 24 stolen bases (21st). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.18 (2nd) with 493 strikeouts (16th) with 25 quality starts on the season, good for 16th in the MLB.
Kris Bryant (.289 BA on 201 AB), Kyle Schwarber (.262 BA on 164 AB), and Javier Baez (.270 BA on 211 AB) have spearheaded the Cubs offensive attack this year. Wilson Contreras has also been critical to the scoring attack with a batting average of .270 on 189 at bats.
Jon Lester (6-2) has been solid this year pitching 70 innings while allowing 23 runs on 56 hits, 8 homer, 25 walks, and 61 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.44 while Kyle Hendricks (4-4) has pitched 67.2 innings while allowing 26 runs on 58 hits, 11 homers, 14 walks, and 52 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.19 for the season. Jose Quintana (6-4) has pitched 58.2 innings while allowing 31 runs on 54 hits, 8 homers, 29 walks, and 57 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.30.
How Philadelphia Phillies & Chicago Cubs Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Phillies are 28-29 ATS while the O/U is 24-29-4. On the other hand, the Cubs are 30-26 ATS while the O/U is 24-30-2.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Both pitchers that will be coming to the mound on Thursday have had a solid year thus far and will be looking to continue their consistency at the mound in the finale. Tyler Chatwood (3-4) will be looking to get his 1st win in 5 attempts while Nick Pavetta (4-4) will be looking for his 4th win in 6 starts. There is not a ton of experience for the Phillies lineup against Chatwood, however, Aaron Altherr (.200 BA on 5 AB), Maikel Franco (.400 BA on 5 AB), and Andrew Knapp (.500 BA on 2 AB) have the most experience and success against Chatwood in the past. Cesar Hernandez (0-8) and Odubel Herrera (.111 BA on 9 AB) have not fared as well against Chatwood in their respective careers.
On the other hand, the Phillies lineup has some experience and success against Pavetta also with Javier Baez (1-2), Kris Bryant (1-3), Tommy La Stella (.667 BA on 3 AB), and Anthony Rizzo (1-2) all having contact against him in the past; However, Jason Heyward (0-1), Kyle Schwarber (0-2), and Ben Zobrist (0-3) have not had as much success against the right-hander in their respective careers.
Against The Spread Selection: Chicago Cubs
My reason for the pick :
I will take the Cubs to set the tone for this series by getting the victory in game 1. They have not only dominated Philly in recent matchups, but, they have also played great against the Phills at Wrigley Field in recent matchups. It is for this reason, along with the lackluster play for Philadelphia in the past few weeks, that I will take Chicago to win this game in high-scoring fashion in that the offense has averaged 5.8 runs in their last 5 wins. Expect those number to increase as a result of game 1.
Betting trends for Philadelphia Phillies:
- Betting Trends for Philadelphia Phillies
- The Phillies are 2-5 in last 7 road games
- The Under is 4-2-1 in Phillies last 7 road games
Betting trends for Chicago Cubs:
- Betting Trends for Chicago Cubs
- The Cubs are 7-1 in last 8 games
- The Under is 7-4 in Cubs last 11 games
- The Over is 7-5 in Cubs last 12 home games