San Diego Padres (28-35) vs Miami Marlins (21-39)Date : 06/08/2018
Time : 7:10 pm EST
Location : Marlins Park, Miami, Florida
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins
Game 1 of a 3-game set between the visiting San Diego Padres and the Miami Marlins will take place at Marlins Park in Miami, Florida, on Friday night at 7:10 pm EST. The Marlins have lost 6 of their last 7 games and find themselves in the cellar of the NL East conference. The Padres, on the other hand, have found ways to win lately in have won 6 of their last 8 games, yet continue to occupy the 5th place slot within the NL West division. This will be the 2nd meeting of the year amongst these two teams with the Padres taking 2 of 3 from the Marlins on 5-31-2018 in a 4-game home set.
San Diego Padres's Latest Performance :
The Marlins come into this matchup losers of 4 of their last 5 games to there the O/U was 1-4. They recently would be swept by the resurgent Washington Nationals on 5-27-2018 in a 3-game home set. They would go on to play horrible in a 4-game set versus the Padres to drop the road set on 5-31-2018. Miami was once against swept, this time via the Arizona D’backs on 6-3-2018, yet, winning game 1 of a 3-game road set versus the St. Louis Cardinals by a score of 7-4.
For the season, the Marlins average 3.38 runs per game (30th) with a team batting average of .234 (23rd), 45 homers (30th) along with 13 stolen bases (29th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 5.04 (28th) with 479 strikeouts (22nd) along with 18 quality starts (27th).
Starlin Castro (.287 BA on 230 AB), Brian Anderson (.298 BA on 225 AB), and Justin Bour (.235 BA on 187 AB) have been the offensive superstars for the Marlins this year. Derek Dietrich (.276 BA on 203 AB) and Miguel Rojas (.244 BA on 209 AB) have also been critical components to the Miami offensive attack.
Jose Urena (1-7, 74.1 IP, 39 R, 74 H, 8 HR, 18 BB, 61 SO, 4.60 ERA) have pitched the most inning for the Marlins this year. Caleb Smith (4-6) has also pitched 60.1 innings while allowing 27 runs on 44 hits, 7 homers, 28 walks, and 74 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.03.
Miami Marlins's Latest Performance :
The Padres come into this matchup winners of 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U has been 5-0. Recently, the Padres, following 4-game home set against the Marlins in which they won on 5-31-2018, would win a 3-game home series with the Cincinnati Reds on 6-3-2018. They are currently tied in a 3-game home set versus the Atlanta Braves.
For the season, San Diego averages 3.97 runs per game (26th) with a team batting average of .233 (26th), 58 homers (26th) and 38 stolen bases on the year (7th). Their pitching staff possesses an ERA of 4.33 (21st) with 535 strikeouts (9th) and 21 quality starts thus far (24th).
Jose Pirela (.271 BA on 240 AB), Eric Hosmer (.290 BA on 224 AB), and Freddy Galvis (.237 BA on 224 AB) have been the few bright spots for this San Diego squad.
Tyson Ross (5-3) has pitched 70.2 innings while allowing 28 runs on 60 hits, 6 homers, 26 walks, and 71 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.31 has also been solid at the mound. Clayton Richard (4-6) has been improving for the Padres this season and has pitched 81 innings while allowing 43 runs on 78 hits, 9 homers, 27 walks, and 66 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.67.
How San Diego Padres & Miami Marlins Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Marlins are 28-32 ATS while the O/U is 30-30. On the other hand, the Padres are 32-31 ATS while the O/U is 32-29-2.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This game will consist of two teams who have had, till this point, underachieving seasons; However, one team has begun to pick things up in picking up some much-needed wins while the other team continues to lose games consistently due to their inability to remain consistent at the plate and, of course, at the mound. The pitchers for this game 1 matchup will be Eric Lauer (2-3), who will be looking for his 2nd straight win and Caleb Smith (4-6), who will look to put his last outing behind him and win his 3rd start in 4 outings. This will be Lauer’s and Smith’s 1st matchup against the opposing lineups in their respective careers, however, they have allowed only 2.3 run average in each of their past 3 starts. The Padres have won 6 of 7 during their last homestand, so, it will be interesting to see how they utilize this momentum on the road, where they are only 11-14 away from PetCo Park this season.
Against The Spread Selection: San Diego Padres
My reason for the pick :
The Marlins have lost 9 of their last 11 games while also losing 4 of their last 6 games at home recently. Combine this with the fact that over their last 7 games, their pitching staff has given up over 6 runs per game. The Padres, on the other hand, have scored an average of 7.2 runs per game in their last 4 wins. With that being said, one can certainly see how the Padres certainly have quite a few things working in their favor for the opener. The fact is that the San Diego is simply playing better baseball at this time of the season while the Marlins are reeling from inconsistency. It is for this reason that the Padres will once against get the victory on Friday against a team that they have won against in the past.
Betting trends for San Diego Padres:
- Betting Trends for San Diego Padres
- The Padres are 8-3 in last 11 games
- The Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games
Betting trends for Miami Marlins:
- Betting Trends for Miami Marlins
- The Marlins are 3-7 in last 10 home games
- The Marlins are 3-12 in last 15 games
- The Over is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 games