Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 6-11-2018




Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 6-11-2018

Pittsburgh Pirates (31-32) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (33-29)

Date : 06/11/2018
Time : 9:40 pm EST
Location : Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona

Pick, Prediction, & Preview:

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Game 1 of a 3-game set against the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Arizona Diamondbacks will take place at Chase Field in Phoenix Arizona on Monday night at 9:40 pm EST. The Pirates currently occupy 4th place within the NL Central division while the Diamondbacks have reclaimed the number 1 slot in the NL West from the Colorado Rockies in winning 6 of their last 9 games.  While Pittsburgh has struggled lately in losing 14 of their last 19 games, the D’backs are attempting to erect themselves out of a terrible stretch to where they lost 16 of 20 contest by becoming winners of 4 of their last 6 games.  This will be the 1st meeting of the year amongst these two squads, however, both teams have split the past 4 games in a set at Chase Field last year.

Pittsburgh Pirates's Latest Performance :

The Pittsburgh Pirates have lost 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 2-3.  Recently, the Pirates would drop a 3-game home series loss to the resurgent Chicago Cubs on 5-30-2018.  Furthermore, Pittsburgh would lose once again to the Cardinals in a 4-game home set on 6-3-2018 while also falling in a 3-game home set versus the Los Angeles Dodgers on 6-7-2018 by an 8-7 score in the finale.  Things did not get any better for the Pirates as they also lost game 1 of a 3-game road set versus the Chicago Cubs by a score of 3-1 on 6-8-2018.

For the season, the Pittsburgh Pirates average 4.62 runs per game (8th) with a team batting average of .254 (9th), 64 homers (21st) along with 23 stolen bases (24th).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.23 (17th) with 496 strikeouts (20th) along with 27 quality starts on the year (13th).

Corey Dickerson (.324 BA on 216 AB), Francisco Cervelli (.278 BA on 144 AB), Starling Marte (.294 BA on 197 AB), and Colin Moran (.275 BA on 167 AB) have been the most consistent hitters in the lineup for the Pirates this year.  Jordy Mercer (.254 BA on 185 AB) and Josh Bell (.237 BA on 219 AB) have also been solid for Pittsburgh this year at the plate.

Trevor Williams (5-3, 71 IP, 33 R, 64 H, 8 HR, 24 BB, 49 SO, 4.18 ERA) and Ivan Nova (2-5, 61.2 IP, 39 R, 73 H, 10 HR, 10 BB, 42 SO, 4.96 ERA) have been shining stars on the mound for the Pirates this year.

 

Arizona Diamondbacks's Latest Performance :

The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 5 game to where the O/U was 3-2.  Recently, the D’backs would sweep a 3-game home set versus the Miami Marlins on 6-3-2018 while dropping the following series versus the San Francisco Giants due to a 5-4 road loss on 6-6-2018.  They would recover on the road against the Colorado Rockies by winning game 1 of a 3-game set by a score of 9-4 on 6-8-2018.

For the season, the D’backs average 4.02 runs per game (23rd) with a team batting average of .219 (30th), 46 homers (21st) along with 30 stolen bases (8th).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.31 (2nd) with 407 strikeouts (8th) along with 20 quality starts for the season (8th).

David Peralta (.265 BA on 155 AB) and A.J. Pollock (.293 BA on 150 AB) have been the offensive stars for the Diamondbacks thus far.  Paul Goldschmidt (.204 BA on 162 AB) and Nick Ahmed (.213 BA on 141 AB) have also been solid offensively for Arizona this season.

Patrick Corbin (4-1, 62.1 IP, 18 R, 39 H, 7 HR, 18 BB, 81 SO, 2.60 ERA) and Zack Greinke (3-2, 54.2 IP, 21 R, 48 H, 7 HR, 7 BB, 58 SO, 3.46 ERA) have pitched the most innings for the D’backs this season while Zack Godley (4-3, 46.1 IP, 25 R, 51 H, 6 HR, 23 BB, 49 SO, 3.78 ERA) has also been solid on the mound thus far.

How Pittsburgh Pirates & Arizona Diamondbacks Matchup.

Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:

For the season, the Pirates are 28-35 ATS while the O/U is 30-27-6.  On the other hand, the Diamondbacks are 32-30 ATS while the O/U is 29-31-2.

In-Depth Analysis of each team:

Both teams have struggled lately so I will not attempt to back either team on the money line; However, I will offer a perspective as it relates to the overall total for this game.  The pitchers for both squads have not been announced, however, it seems that both teams have been generous with runs in the past few games.  On one hand, the Pirates are surrendering a tad over 7 runs per game in their last 3 contests while the D’backs are giving up an average of around 6 runs per game in their last 3.  In addition, the over has been the play in the last 2 games for the Pirates while being the result in 5 of the last 7 games for Arizona.  It will be interesting if this matchup will be another instance of the scoreboard lighting up due to poor pitching, which has essentially plagued both these teams recently?

Totals Selection: Over

My reason for the prediction :

Again, I will choose the over in this contest.  As you can see, I have little to no confidence in the pitching staffs for either of these teams.  It is for this reason that I expect there to be a healthy number of runs that will be scored in this matchup on Monday.  Again, without knowing who both pitchers are, it will be safe to say that with a pitching staff that is ranked in the bottom half of the league in ERA versus a team that is much more solid as it relates to ERA, but, has really struggled lately with consistency, I can really envision the makings of an over matchup in game 1.

 

Betting trends for Pittsburgh Pirates:

  • Betting Trends for Pittsburgh Pirates

    • The Pirates are 2-5 in last 7 road games
    • The Under is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 games

Betting trends for Arizona Diamondbacks:

  • Betting Trends for Arizona Diamondbacks

    • The Diamondbacks are 4-1 in last 5 home games
    • The Over is 4-2 in Diamondbacks last 6 home games
    • The Over is 8-5 in last 13 games

Falepa

A sports analyst and enthusiast, Filipa enjoys writing articles for NHL, NBA, NCAAB, and, of course, for NCAAF. In addition, he enjoys the true art of breaking down games in such as way as to locate certain trends that can impact future contests. With a willingness to research, construct, and relay information that any reader can understand, Filipa aims to provide the reader with interesting & indepth knowledge for upcoming sporting events.