Chicago Cubs (37-25) vs Milwaukee Brewers (39-26)Date : 06/13/2018
Time : 2:10 pm EST
Location : Miller Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers
The finale of a 3-game set between the visiting Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers will take place at Miller Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on Wednesday night at 2:10 pm EST. The Cubs occupy 2nd place within the NL Central while the Brewers continue to hold down the top spot in the division. This will be the 3rd matchup of the year amongst these squads, however, the Cubs have dominated the series in winning 6 of the last 7 games including winning a 4-game set at Miller Field on 4-8-2018.
Chicago Cubs 's Latest Performance :
The Brewers have lost 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 2-3. Recently, the Brewers would drop a 3-game road set to the lowly White Sox on 6-3-2018 while taking yet another step back by getting swept by the Cleveland Indians in a 2-game set at Progressive Field on 6-6-2018. They would, however, recover in the first 2 games of a 3-game road set versus the slumping Phillies by outscoring them 24 to 7 for the series thus far. The Brewers would win this series despite dropping the finale on 6-10-2018 by a score of 4-3.
For the season, the Brewers are averaging 4.37 runs per game (13th) with a team batting average of .249 (13th), 81 homers (8th), and 43 stolen bases on the year (5th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.48 (5th) with 553 strikeouts (15th), along with 17 quality starts (29th).
Lorenzo Cain (.284 BA on 229 AB), Ryan Braun (.249 BA on 169 AB), Travis Shaw (.248 BA on 226 AB), and Domingo Santana (.258 BA on 178 AB) have been the most consistent offensive weapons for the Brewers this season.
Jhoulys Chacin (5-1, 75.1 IP, 33 R, 64 H, 6 HR, 30 BB, 57 SO, 3.58 ERA) has been a bright spot for this Brewer pitching staff this season.
Milwaukee Brewers's Latest Performance :
The Cubs come into this game winners of 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 1-4. Recently, the Cubs would sweep the reeling New York Mets in a 4-game series on 6-3-2018 while also going on to win a 3-game home set versus the Philadelphia Phillies by winning game 3 on 6-7-2018 by a 4-3 score. They would also go on to win a 3-game home set against the Pittsburgh Pirates on 6-10-2018, despite losing game 3 by a 7-1 score.
For the season, the Cubs are averaging 5.02 runs per game (3rd) with a team batting average of .262 (3rd), 66 homers (22nd) along with 27 stolen bases (18th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.21 (2nd) with 548 strikeouts (16th) with 27 quality starts on the season, good for 16th in the MLB.
Kris Bryant (.293 BA on 222 AB), Kyle Schwarber (.249 BA on 177 AB), and Javier Baez (.250 BA on 228 AB) have spearheaded the Cubs offensive attack this year. Wilson Contreras has also been critical to the scoring attack with a batting average of .281 on 203 at bats.
Jon Lester (7-2) has been solid this year pitching 77 innings while allowing 23 runs on 57 hits, 8 homer, 27 walks, and 66 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.22 while Kyle Hendricks (4-6) has pitched 77.2 innings while allowing 32 runs on 66 hits, 13 homers, 19 walks, and 61 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.48 for the season. Jose Quintana (6-4) has pitched 64.1 innings while allowing 33 runs on 57 hits, 8 homers, 31 walks, and 67 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.20.
How Chicago Cubs & Milwaukee Brewers Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Brewers are 38-27 ATS while the O/U is 25-38-2. On the other hand, the Cubs are 33-29 ATS while the O/U is 25-35-2.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
While the Cubs have been on fire lately, their offense has not been overwhelming. Considering the talent in which this team possesses, one would think that with the hitters within their lineup would overpower opposing pitchers to score a bevy of runs per game. Of course, this does indeed occur at times however, for the most part, the Cubs have strictly been winning on solid pitching along with obtaining timely hits that lead to all-important runs at critical moments. They seek to continue their brand of baseball against a team that they have dominated in the past in the Brewers. The Brewers, on the other hand, have lost 5 of their last 9 games, however, have won their last 2 outings due to stellar play against the Philadelphia Phillies in a run barrage as they are currently averaging 12 runs per game in their first 2 games of the 3-game set. They would drop game 3 by a slim 4-3 score, however, will certainly carry some momentum into the finale of this series. Two solid pitchers will be coming to the mound for both teams as Mike Montgomery (2-1) and Jhoulys Chacin (5-1) will be looking to extend their solid pitching streak in recent outings. Chacin is seeking his 3rd straight win while Montgomery has only allowed 2 earned run on 7 hits in his last 3 outings since becoming a starter for the Cubs. It would also be important to note that Montgomery will be looking for his 3rd win in 4 starts while the under has been the play in 2 of Montgomery’s last 3 along with being the result in 5 of Chacin’s last 7 starts.
Domingo Santana (.300 BA on 10 AB), Travis Shaw (.400 BA on 10 AB), Ryan Braun (.364 BA on 11 AB), Orlando Arcia (.333 BA on 9 AB), and Manny Pina (.333 BA on 6 AB) have had decent experience and success against Montgomery in the past while Hernan Perez (.231 BA on 13 AB) has also had a bit of success. Jesus Aguilar is also 1-3 against Montgomery. Lorenzo Cain and Eric Sogard are a combined 0-7 against the left-hander. Jonathan Villar (.167 BA on 12 AB) and Christian Yelich (0-2) have not had much experience against the lefty, either. On the other hand, Wilson Contreras (1-3), Tommy La Stella (.667 BA on 3 AB), Anthony Rizzo (1-2), and Addison Russell (.667 BA on 3 AB) have had a bit of success against Chacin in the past while Javier Baez, Kris Bryant, Ian Happ, and Jason Heyward are a combined 0-13 against the right-hander.
Totals Selection: Under
My reason for the prediction :
Considering the pitchers that are coming to the mound in this matchup, I would have to side with the under in that it has been the play not only for both the Cubs and the Brewers recently, but, both pitchers have been so solid lately, they have really commanded the under in the majority of their recent starts. As stated, the Cubs are winning, yet, are only averaging 3.6 runs per game in their last 5 games while the Brewers, in their last series, averaged 9 runs per game runs, yet, as stated, 24 of the 27 runs in the series those were in games 1 and 2 as the Phillies pitching staff was atrocious at the mound. Again, these two pitchers will certainly keep both lineups on their toes for much of the game, enabling the under to be the ultimate result of this matchup on Wednesday.
Betting trends for Chicago Cubs :
- Betting Trends for Chicago Cubs
- The Cubs are 6-1 in last 7 road games
- The Cubs are 11-2 in last 13 games
- The Under is 8-5-1 in Cubs last 14 road games
Betting trends for Milwaukee Brewers:
- Betting Trends for Milwaukee Brewers
- The Under is 6-4 in Brewers last 10 home games
- The Under is 4-2 in Brewers last 6 games