NY Mets (28-36) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (37-30)Date : 06/16/2018
Time : 10:10 pm EST
Location : Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
NY Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Game 3 of a 4-game set between the NY Mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks will take place on Saturday night at 10:10 pm EST at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. The Mets occupy the 4th place within the NL East while the D’backs have begun to play much better lately and recently reclaimed the top spot in the NL West. This will be the 2nd meeting of the year amongst these two squads as the D’backs swept a 3-game set at CitiField on 5-20-2018.
NY Mets's Latest Performance :
The New York Mets have lost 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 1-4. Recently, the Mets would go on to not only lose to the lowly Orioles on 6-6-2018 by a slim 1-0 score in the finale, but, they would also face a Yankees team in a 3-game home series to where they would lose despite picking up the 2-0 win in the finale. Furthermore, the Mets would drop a game 2-game road series against the Braves at SunTrust Park on 6-13-2018 by losing game 2 by a 2-0 score.
For the season, the Mets are averaging 3.73 (27th) with a team batting average of .226 (28th), 63 homers (25th), along with 27 stolen bases (19th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.07 (16th) with 597 strikeouts (8th) along with 28 quality starts on the season (18th).
Asdrubal Cabrera (.277 BA on 242 AB), and Jay Bruce (.216 BA on 208 AB) have been the offensive stars for the Mets this season. Amed Rosario (.237 BA on 207 AB) has also been a critical component to the Mets’ scoring attack.
Jacob deGrom (4-2, 87.1 IP, 17 R, 65 H, 4 HR, 23 BB, 113 SO, 1.55 ERA) and Noah Syndergaard (4-1, 64.2 IP, 25 R, 63 H, 5 HR, 13 BB, 76 SO, 3.06 ERA) are the bright spots for their talented pitching staff.
Arizona Diamondbacks's Latest Performance :
The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 4 of their last 5 game to where the O/U was 4-1. Recently, the D’backs would drop a 3-game series versus the San Francisco Giants due to a 5-4 road loss on 6-6-2018, however, would recover on the road against the Colorado Rockies by sweeping a 3-game set on 6-10-2018. They would also go on to win a 3-game home set versus the struggling Pittsburgh Pirates on 6-13-2018.
For the season, the D’backs average 4.40 runs per game (13th) with a team batting average of .225 (30th), 76 homers (16th) along with 40 stolen bases (9th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.51 (6th) with 583 strikeouts (14th) along with 29 quality starts for the season (12th).
David Peralta (.274 BA on 237 AB) and A.J. Pollock (.293 BA on 150 AB) have been the offensive stars for the Diamondbacks thus far. Paul Goldschmidt (.258 BA on 244 AB) and Nick Ahmed (.223 BA on 211 AB) have also been solid offensively for Arizona this season.
Patrick Corbin (6-2, 87 IP, 31 R, 61 H, 10 HR, 25 BB, 110 SO, 3.10 ERA) and Zack Greinke (5-5, 83.2 IP, 37 R, 79 H, 14 HR, 17 BB, 90 SO, 3.87 ERA) have pitched the most innings for the D’backs this season while Zack Godley (6-5, 70.2 IP, 44 R, 74 H, 10 HR, 35 BB, 70 SO, 4.97 ERA) has also been solid on the mound thus far.
How NY Mets & Arizona Diamondbacks Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Mets are 29-34 ATS while the O/U is 27-35-1. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks are 36-30 ATS while the O/U is 32-32-2.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Jason Vargas (2-4) has pitched much better recently as he has certainly lowered his hit/run count and will come to the mound for the Mets in game 3 seeking his 3rd win in 5 starts. He is credited with only 7 earned runs in his last 4 starts while the under has been the play in 4 of his last 5 starts. Alex Avila (.273 BA on 11 AB) have the most experience against Vargas within the D’backs lineup. On the other hand, Jarrod Dyson (0-1), Paul Goldschmidt (0-2), Jake Lamb (0-1), and Ketel Marte (0-1) have not fared well at all against the lefty in their respective careers.
Patrick Corbin (6-2) will get the start for Arizona and will be looking to also get his 3rd win in 5 starts. Corbin has given up a bit more runs than Vargas in his last couple outings (11 earned in last 3) while the over has been the play in 4 of his last 5 outings. Jay Bruce (.167 BA on 12 AB), Todd Frazier (.300 BA on 10 AB), Devin Mesoraco (.222 BA on 9 AB), and Jose Reyes (.667 BA on 9 AB) have had much success against Corbin in the past. On the other hand, Asdrubal Cabrera (0-3), Ty Kelly (0-3), Brandon Nimmo (0-1), and Kevin Plawecki (0-7) have not fared well against left-hander in the past. Michael Conforto and Amed Rosario are each 1-3 against Corbin in the past.
Against The Spread Selection: Arizona Diamondbacks
My reason for the pick :
The D’backs have not only retaken the top spot within the NL West, but, they did it in large part because of their ability to rely on their surging offense along with solid pitching. It is for this reason that I will back the D’backs to get the victory on Saturday over a team that is only 3-6 in their last 9 road games. In all, the Mets have seemingly been nonexistent for quite some time. Their pitching staff, however, has been solid for the most part and certainly have the stars to make this team competitive; However, the offense has certainly let them down recently averaging only 1.4 runs per game in their last 10 outings. I expect Arizona to continue their dominance over the Mets in game 3. With that being said, I do, however, expect both pitchers to give up some runs in this contest, so, the over may also be a consideration.
Betting trends for NY Mets:
- Betting Trends for NY Mets
- The Mets are 3-5 in last 8 road games
- The Mets are 3-13 in last 16 games
- The Under is 8-4 in Mets last 12 road games
Betting trends for Arizona Diamondbacks:
- Betting Trends for Arizona Diamondbacks
- The Diamondbacks are 6-1 in last 7 home games
- The Diamondbacks are 11-3 in last 14 games
- The Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 home games