Seattle Mariners (46-27) vs Boston Red Sox (49-25)Date : 06/22/2018
Time : 7:10 pm EST
Location : Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox
Game 1 of a 3-game weekend series against eh Seattle Mariners and the Boston Red Sox will take place at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts on Friday night beginning at 7:10 pm EST. The mariners are currently in 2nd place within the AL West division while the Red Sox occupy the 2nd place slot within the AL East just behind the scorching hot NY Yankees. This will be the 2nd meeting of the year amongst these two teams with both teams tying a 4-game set at SafeCo Field on 6-17-2018.
Seattle Mariners's Latest Performance :
The Mariners have won 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 3-1-1. Recently, the Mariners would tie a 4-game home set versus the Boston Red Sox on 6-17-2018 while falling hard in game 1 of a 3-game road set versus the NY Yankees by a 7-2 score on 6-19-2018.
For the season, the Mariners are averaging 4.41 runs per game (13th) with a team batting average of .260 (5th), 85 homers (8th) along with 45 stolen bases (5th). Their pitching staff possesses an ERA of 3.83 (13th) with 603 strikeouts (9th) along with 34 quality starts (6th).
Dee Gordon (.286 BA on 241 AB), Jean Segura (.342 BA on 278 AB), and Mitch Haniger (.271 BA on 251 AB) have been solid at the plate for the Mariners thus far. Kyle Seager (.226 BA on 270 AB) has also been pivotal to Seattle’s success this season.
Mike Leake (7-3) has pitched 86.2 innings while allowing 43 runs on 90 hits, 12 homers, 20 walks, and 54 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.26 while James Paxton (6-1) has pitched 89.1 innings while allowing 30 runs on 65 hits, 9 homers, 25 walks, and 111 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.02 for the season. Finally, Felix Hernandez (6-6) has pitched 84.1 innings this year while allowing 53 runs on 85 hits, 12 homers, 31 walks, and 70 strikeouts with an ERA of 5.44.
Boston Red Sox's Latest Performance :
The Boston Red Sox come into this game winners of 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 1-4. Recently, the Red Sox would come out strong in their series against the Baltimore Orioles to get the 3-game sweep on 6-13-2018. They also would split a 4-game road series against the Seattle Mariners on 6-17-2018 on their way to losing 6-2 in game 1 of a 3-game road set to the Minnesota Twins on 6-20-2018.
For the season, the Red Sox are averaging 5.09 runs per game (3rd) with a team batting average of .263 (2nd), 100 homers (2nd), along with 51 stolen bases (2nd). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.39 (4th) with 686 strikeouts (2nd) along with 36 quality starts on the year (4th).
Mookie Betts (.345 BA on 197 AB), J.D. Martinez (.317 BA on 249 AB), Hanley Ramirez (.254 BA on 177 AB), Rafael Devers (.235 BA on 255 AB) and Andrew Benintendi (.297 BA on 256 AB) have all been consistent at the plate this year for the Red Sox and are their primary offensive leaders. Eduardo Nunez (.249 BA on 237 AB) is also a key offensive component for Boston.
Chris Sale (6-4, 95 IP, 31 R, 66 H, 10 HR, 26 BB, 129 SO, 2.75 ERA), Rick Porcello (8-3, 86.1 IP, 39 R, 79 H, 7 HR, 20 BB, 80 SO, 3.54 ERA) and David Price (8-4, 81.1 IP, 37 R, 68 H, 7 HR, 30 BB, 79 SO, 3.76) have held it down for the Red Sox pitching staff all season.
How Seattle Mariners & Boston Red Sox Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Red Sox are 38-32 ATS while the O/U is 32-36-2. On the other hand, the Mariners are 37-32 ATS while the O/U is 36-32-1.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
These two teams played a very interesting series the last time around and I expect those focus to once again be there for both teams as they look to continue their streak of stellar baseball. Boston has won 9 of their last 15 (included 10 of their last 14 at home) and will love to continue this streak against a Seattle team that has been on a tear lately, however, has really come up short in losing 4 of their last 7 games to AL East teams, most recently being a 7-2 loss to the Yankees on 6-19-2017. In all, expect a very competitive series in this one as both teams will be locked in to get a victory in game 1 in which to set the tone for the series.
In game 1, the pitcher for the Red Sox have not been announced, however, Wade LeBlanc (3-0) will get the start and will be looking to continue his solid pitching throughout his time with the Mariners. In his last outing, he pitched 7.2 innings while allowing 0 runs on 2 hits in a 1-0 gem versus the Red Sox on 6-16-2018. LeBlanc has only been credited with 11 runs in his last 10 starts while the under was the play in 7 of his last 10 games. The mariners are 7-2 in his last 9 appearances at the mound.
LeBlanc has dominated the Red Sox lineup in the past, however, Jackie Bradley Jr. (1-3) and J.D. Martinez (2-3) have had the most success against the left-hander in the past. Mookie Betts (0-3), Xander Bogaerts (0-3), Sandy Leon (0-2), and Mitch Moreland (0-2) have not been able to figure out LeBlanc in the past.
In game 2, Mike Leake (7-4) will get the start for the Mariners looking to win his 3rd start in 4 outings. Unfortunately, his last outings was one of his worst of the season going 6 innings while allowing 5 runs on 8 hits in a 9-3 home loss to the Red Sox in the finale of a 4-game set at SafeCo Field on 6-17-2018. The Mariners are 7-1 overall with Leake on the mound while the over has been the result in 4 of Leake’s last 7 starts. Finally, he has been credited with 12 runs in his last 6 starts despite his horrendous outing against the Sox earlier.
Mookie Betts (.500 BA on 6 AB), Xander Bogaerts (.444 BA on 9 AB), Jackie Bradley, Jr. (.333 BA on 9 AB), Rafael Devers (.500 BA on 2 AB), Brock Holt (1-2), Eduardo Nunez (.333 BA on 6 AB), and Mitch Moreland (.286 BA on 14 AB) have had the most success against Leake in the past. J.D. Martinez has also had success with a .250 batting average on 4 at bats, however, Sandy Leon (.200 BA on 5 AB) and Andrew Benintendi (.1-5) have not had as much success against the righty in their careers.
In game 3, the pitcher for the Red Sox have not been named, however, Marco Gonzales (7-4) will come to the hill for the Mariners and will be seeking a much better outing than his last start to where he pithed 6.1 innings while allowing 6 runs on 8 hits 7-2 loss at Yankee Stadium on 6-19-2018. This will be his first start against this dangerous Red Sox lineup, however, the Mariners are 5-1 in his last 6 starts while the under is 7-1 in his last 8 appearances. Also, Gonzales has been credited with 12 runs in his last 7 starts, despite his terrible last outing.
Against The Spread Selection: Game 1: Seattle Mariners, Game 2: Boston Red Sox
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Mariners in game 1 simply due to the fact that Wade LeBlanc will be coming to the mound for the Mariners combined with his recent success against the Sox lineup in his last outing. He showed the type of focus and consistency needed of a pitcher in which to neutralize a very powerful and dangerous lineup at SafeCo field. It is for this reason that I expect this to be a competitive matchup amongst to very good teams, yet, one where the Mariners can sneak out a low-scoring defensive minded pitchers duel over the Red Sox at Fenway in the opener.
For game 2, while I believe that this too will be a competitive matchup, I feel as if this will be a contest to where the bats will begin to crack, particularly for the Red Sox. While Leake has been very effective for the Seattle pitching staff this year. The team, as a whole, has done well with him on the mound, however, the over is prone to going over, particularly in his last few road games (3-1). With that being said, the Red Sox would like nothing better than to get a game 2 win after what I feel will be a slim victory for the Mariners in the opener. It is for this reason that I will back the Red Sox in game 2 to tie the series, thus setting the stage for an amazing Sunday finale.
Totals Selection: Game 3: Under
My reason for the prediction :
For the finale, I will back the under simply due to the fact that it will take the Red Sox some time in which to figure out Marco Gonzales, as they have never faced him, however, the under has been the result in 4 of Gonzales’ last 5 road starts. The pitcher for Boston has not been named, however, one can expect that a solid pitcher will make his way to the mound, thus signaling the fact that their will not be many runs being scored in this contest and, much like game 1, will end in a low-scoring thriller resulting in the under play.
Betting trends for Seattle Mariners:
- Betting Trends for Seattle Mariners
- The Mariners are 7-4 in last 11 road games
- The Mariners are 8-4 in last 12 games
- The Over is 5-2 in last 7 road games
Betting trends for Boston Red Sox:
- Betting Trends for Boston Red Sox
- The Red Sox are 8-4 in last 12 home games
- The Red Sox are 13-8 in last 21 games
- The Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games