Chicago White Sox (28-52) vs Cincinnati Reds (34-47)Date : 07/02/2018
Time : 7:10 pm EST
Location : Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Chicago White Sox vs Cincinnati Reds
The opener of a 3-game set between the Chicago White Sox and the Cincinnati Reds will take place at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio, on Monday night at 7:10 pm EST. The White Sox continue to occupy the 4th place slot within the AL Central division while the Reds are in last place within the NL Central. In their last outing, the White Sox 11-3 road losers to the Texas Rangers on 6-29-2018. Dylan Covey (3-3) took the loss for the White Sox as he pitched only 2.1 innings while giving up a whopping 8 runs on 9 hits, 4 homers, and 3 walks with an ERA of 4.84 (?). Anyways, the White Sox could only manage 5 hits in the game with Avisail Garcia going 2-4 with an RBI while Jose Abreu and Joan Moncada were 0-4 but each had an RBI as well. Yovanni Gallardo (2-0) picked up the win for the Rangers as he went 7.1 innings while allowing 3 runs on 4 hits along with 7 strikeouts with an ERA of 6.11. Elvis Andrus, Nomar Mazara, and Roughned Odor each had 2 hits apiece with Mazara having 3 RBI’s. The Rangers cashed in on the money line as favorites (-143) while the over was the play in that the total was set at 10.5 runs for the game.
The Reds were 8-2 home losers against the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday night to lose their 2nd straight. Sal Romano (4-8) took the loss as he pitched 5 innings while allowing 2 runs on 7 hits, 1 homer, and 5 strikeouts with an ERA of 5.30. Michael Lorenzen and Eugenio Suarez each had a hit along with an RBI in the loss. Chase Anderson (6-6) picked up the win for the Brew Crew as he lasted 6 innings while giving up only 1 run on 6 hits, 1 homer, and 5 k’s with an ERA of 4.18. Keon Broxton was the man of the night in going 3-4 for the game with 4RBI’s while Manny Pina by Jesus Aguilar had 2 hits apiece with Pina having an RBI in the victory. The Brewers cashed in on the money line as slight favorites (-120) while the total was push in that the total was set at 10 runs. This will be the first matchup of the year amongst these two squads, however, the White Sox took 2 of 3 from the Reds at Guaranteed Rate Field dating back to 5-10-2015.
Chicago White Sox's Latest Performance :
The Chicago White Sox have won 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 3-2. Recently, the White Sox would tie a 5-game set (to where game 1 was postponed due to weather) on 6-24-2018 while also winning a 3-game home set versus the Minnesota Twins on 6-28-2018. They would, however, go on to lose game 1 of a 3-game road set to the Texas Rangers on 6-29-2018 by an 11-3 score.
For the season, the White Sox are averaging 3.85 runs per game (26th) with a team batting average of .240 (19th), 82 homers (21st), along with 64 stolen bases (1st). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.66 (25th) with 591 strikeouts (25th) along with 33 quality starts this season (17th).
Tim Anderson (.248 BA on 282 AB), Yoan Moncada (.223 BA on 291 Ab), Yolmer Sanchez (.257 BA on 296 AB), and Jose Abreu (.268 BA on 314 AB) have been the offensive leaders for the White Sox this season. Matt Davidson (.219 BA on 215 AB) has also been an essential piece for the White Sox offense this year at the plate.
Reynaldo Lopez (3-5, 94 IP, 49 R, 81 H, 11 HR, 39 BB, 67 SO, 3.73 ERA) and James Shields (3-9, 107 IP, 50 R, 92 H, 12 HR, 41 BB, 73 SO, 4.29 ERA) have pitched the most innings this year for the White Sox.
Cincinnati Reds 's Latest Performance :
The Reds have won 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 3-2. Recently, they would sweep the Chicago Cubs in a 4-game home set on 6-24-2018 while going on to win a 3-game road set versus the Atlanta Braves on 6-27-2018. The Reds would go on to lose the first 2 games of a 3-game set being outscored 14-6 in two machups.
For the season, the Cincinnati Reds are averaging 4.48 runs per game (10th) with a team batting average of .255 (6th), 86 home runs (20th), along with 39 stolen bases (15th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.73 (26th) with 622 strikeouts (25th), and 22 quality starts (29th).
Jesse Winker (.265 BA on 226 AB), Scooter Gennett (.327 BA on 300 AB), Tucker Barnhart (.262 BA on 244 AB), and Joey Votto (.297 BA on 286 AB) have been valuable to the offense this year. Jose Peraza (.273 BA on 311 AB) has also been a pivotal piece in the offensive puzzle for the Reds.
Tyler Mahle (6-6) has pitched 86 innings and has allowed 40 runs on 85 hits, 15 homers, 36 walks, and 81 strikeouts along with an ERA of 3.98. Finally, Luis Castillo (5-8) has pitched 87.2 innings while allowing 60 runs on 91 hits, 18 home runs, 33 walks, and 85 strikeouts with an ERA of 5.85.
How Chicago White Sox & Cincinnati Reds Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Reds are 46-36 ATS while the O/U is 39-38-5. On the other hand, the White Sox are 43-38 ATS while the O/U is 35-41-5.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
While the White Sox have not announced their pitchers for this matchup for either game, the Reds have decided on Luis Castillo (5-8) as the opening starter. Castillo, after 4-straight losses, is looking to win his 2nd outing in 3 starts, despite his last appearance ending in a no-decision on 6-27-2018 when he went 4 innings while allowing 4 earned runs on 6 hits in a 6-5 road win at the Atlanta Braves. Nonetheless, Castillo has had his problems this year in not only giving up the long ball (5 homers in his last 4 games) but runs as well (23 earned runs in last 6 starts. The team is 2-4 in his last 6 starts while the over has been the result of 4 of his last 5 appearances. This will be Castillo’s first time facing the lineup from Chicago, however, in his last 3 outings, he is 1-1 with a 6.14 ERA with 11 strikeouts.
Game 2 will see Anthony DeSclafani (3-1) come to the hill for the Reds on Tuesday night looking to pick up his 4th win in 5 starts. His last start was his most subpar in quite some time as he pitched 6.1 innings while allowing 4 runs on 6 hits, 1 homer, along with 6 strikeouts in a 6-4 loss on 6-28-2018. The right-hander is charged with 15 earned runs in his last 5 starts while the Reds are 3-1 in his last 4 appearances on the mound. The over has been the result in 4 of his past 5 starts. Overall, in his last 3 games, the righty is 2-0 with a 2.93 ERA to go along with 13 strikeouts.
Against The Spread Selection: Game 1: Chicago White Sox; Game 2: Cincinnati Reds
My reason for the pick :
I will back the White Sox in game 1 in that I simply do not trust Castillo on the mound at this point in the season. He has had problems with the long ball, as stated, and with a streaky, yet, powerful and dangerous White Sox squad, this may certainly be detrimental to them finding any winning formula at all during this series. In all, expect this to be a competitive game, however, the White Sox have picked up some major momentum lately, and I expect this continue against a Reds team that has picked things up, yet, remain a horrible team, overall.
I will back the Reds in game 2 on the strength of DeSclafani and how he has been able to remain solid on the mound this season for a team that has not been known thus far for providing adequate run support for its staff. In all, this will also be a competitive game, however, the White Sox unfamiliarity with the right-hander should very well be the variable in this game that will spell out a win for the Reds. It is for this reason that I will back the road team on Tuesday night as the Reds certainly could use the all-important win.
Totals Selection: Game 3: Over
My reason for the prediction :
The over has been the play in 8 of the last 10 games for Chicago while it has been the result in 5 of the last 8 games for the Reds. Combine this with the fact that, again, both pitching staffs have not performed very well lately in giving up 27 runs in last 5 games (Reds) along with 21 runs in their last 5 (Sox). In other words, these two teams will indeed give up runs to their opponents. It is for this reason why I will also be riding the under as it will seem to be the mantra in this series against two teams looking to remain competitive and relevant in their respective divisions.
Betting trends for Chicago White Sox:
- Betting Trends for Chicago White Sox
- The White Sox are 4-6 in last 10 road games
- The Under is 2-4 in White Sox last 6 road games
- The Over is 7-2 in White Sox last 9 games
Betting trends for Cincinnati Reds :
- Betting trends for Cincinnati Reds
- The Reds are 6-1 in last 7 home games
- The Over is 5-2 in Red’s last 7 home games
- The Over is 5-1-1 in Red’s last 7 games