St. Louis Cardinals (42-37) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (47-34)Date : 07/02/2018
Time : 9:40 pm EST
Location : Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Game 1 of a 3-game set between the visiting St. Louis Cardinals and the Arizona Diamondbacks will take place at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona, on Monday night at 9:40 pm EST. The Diamondbacks continue to occupy the top spot within the NL West division while the Cardinals are in 3rd place within the NL Central. In their last outing, the Dbacks were 2-1 losers to the San Francisco Giants on 6-29-2018. The Giants cashed in on the money line on the road as slight underdogs (+122) while the under was the play in that the total was set at 7 runs for the game. Patrick Corbin went 6 innings while allowing 1 run on 4 hits and 5 punch outs with an ERA of 3.14 but did not factor into the decision. Chris Owings went 2-4 for the night while Jake Lamb was 1-3 with an RBI in the loss. Austin Slater went 3-4 with 2 RBI’s to seal the victory. Andrew Suarez (3-4) pitched 6 innings while allowing 1 run on 7 hits2 walks, and 5 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.18.
On the other hand, the Cardinals were 5-1 home losers to the Atlanta Braves on Friday night. The Braves cashed in on the money line as underdogs (+126) while the under was the play in that the total was set at 8.5 runs for the game. Julio Teheran (6-5) picked up the much-needed win for himself as well as for his team as he went 6 innings while allowing no runs on 2 hits, 2 walks, and 2 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.21. Johan Camargo (3-5) and Dansby Swanson (3-4) were the star hitters for the Braves as they combined for 3 RBI’s in the win. The Cardinals, on the other hand, could only muster 4 runs for the game with Kolten Wong going 0-4 with an RBI. Yadier Molina was 1-4 on the night. Miles Mikolas (8-3) was the losing pitcher as he went 6.1 innings while allowing only 1 run on 7 hits, but, 1 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.61. This will be the 2nd meeting of the year amongst these two teams with Arizona picking up the 3-game series win on 4-8-2018.
St. Louis Cardinals's Latest Performance :
The Cardinals come into this matchup as winners of 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 2-3. Recently, after the Cards would drop a 3-game road set versus the Phillies on 6-20-2018 while following this up with a tie in a 4-game road set versus the Milwaukee Brewers on 6-24-2018. They would go on to lose a 3-game home set against the Cleveland Indians with game 3 being an 5-1 win on 6-27-2018.
For the season, the Cardinals are averaging 4.26 runs per game (20th) with a team batting average of .241 (16th), 102 homers (11th), along with 28 stolen bases (26th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.64 (8th) with 676 strikeouts (18th) and 35 quality starts on the year (13th).
Tommy Pham (.246 BA on 268 AB), Jose Martinez (.301 BA on 276 AB), Paul DeJong (.260 BA on 150 AB), and Yadier Molina (.265 BA on 189 AB) have been the most consistent batters at the plate for St. Louis this season. Marcell Ozuna (.288 BA on 295 AB) has also been solid at the plate for the Cardinals this year.
Miles Mikolas (8-3) has pitched 103.1 innings and allowing 33 runs on 89 hits, 8 homers, 13 walks, and 72 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.61. Michael Wacha (8-2) has 84.1 IP, 36 R, 68 H, 9 HR, 36 BB, and 71 SO along with an ERA of 3.20.
Arizona Diamondbacks's Latest Performance :
The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 5 game to where the O/U was 1-3-1. After they would tie a 2-game road set versus the Los Angeles Angels on 6-19-2018, the D’backs would go on to sweep the reeling Pittsburgh Pirates on the road on 6-24-2018. They would go on to win a 4-game set with the Miami Marlins by picking up a 4-0 win in the finale on 6-26-2018.
For the season, the D’backs average 4.40 runs per game (17th) with a team batting average of .227 (30th), 93 homers (15th) along with 45 stolen bases (10th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.38 (3rd) with 710 strikeouts (13th) along with 38 quality starts for the season (7th).
David Peralta (.277 BA on 292 AB) and A.J. Pollock (.293 BA on 150 AB) have been the offensive stars for the Diamondbacks thus far. Paul Goldschmidt (.268 BA on 299 AB) and Nick Ahmed (.218 BA on 262 AB) have also been solid offensively for Arizona this season.
Patrick Corbin (6-3, 106 IP, 37 R, 77 H, 11 HR, 28 BB, 134 SO, 3.14 ERA) and Zack Greinke (8-5, 103 IP, 40 R, 95 H, 16 HR, 19 BB, 108 SO, 3.41 ERA) have pitched the most innings for the D’backs this season while Zack Godley (9-5, 88.1 IP, 51 R, 89 H, 12 HR, 45 BB, 87 SO, 4.58 ERA) has also been solid on the mound thus far.
How St. Louis Cardinals & Arizona Diamondbacks Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Dbacks are 42-36 ATS while the O/U is 38-36-4. On the other hand, the Cardinals are 35-43 ATS while the O/U is 31-43-5.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
While the pitchers for Arizona have not been determined for this series, the pitcher for the Cards in game 1 will be Jack Flaherty (3-3). Flaherty is coming off of loss in which he pitched 6 innings while allowing 4 runs on 6 hits, 2 homers, and 5 strikeouts in a 5-1 home loss to Cleveland on 6-27-2018. The under has been the play in the right-hander’s last 4 starts while the team is 3-3 in his last 6 outings. While he has only been credited with 6 earned runs on 12 hits in his last 4 starts, Flaherty has given up 3 homers in his last 2 starts. This will be his first look at this resurgent Arizona lineup, however, I am sure that he will be looking forward to the challenge that will present itself.
For game 2, Carlos Martinez (4-4). Martinez got a win in his last outing as he lasted 6 innings while allowing 2 runs on 6 hits along with 8 strikeouts in an 11-2 home win versus the Indians on 6-26-2018. In all, Martinez has been credited with 15 earned runs in his last 4 starts while the team is 1-5 in his last 6 starts with the over being the result in 4 of his last 5 games. Interestingly enough, Martinez has been giving up a lot of walks lately (22 in last 5 outings). In his last outing versus the Diamondbacks, the right-hander pitched 6 innings while allowing 2 runs on 4 hits, 3 walks, and 10 strikeouts in a 6-5 road loss at Chase Field on 6-27-2017.
David Peralta (.154 BA on 13 AB), Chris Owings (.200 BA on 10 AB), and Paul Goldschmidt (.167 BA on 12 AB) have had the most experience against Martinez in the past while Jake Lamb (3-9), Ketel Marte (1-3), Daniel Descalso (167 BA on 6 AB), and Nick Ahmed (0-9) have had both success (or lack thereof) and experience against the righty in their careers. Jon Jay is .677 on 3 at bats against Martinez.
Against The Spread Selection: Game 2: Arizona Diamondbacks
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Dbacks to come out on top in the opener of this series. The fact is that Arizona has continued to win games during their winning stretch while the Cardinals have really seemed to flounder lately in losing 10 of their last 16 games. They have, however, won 4 of their last 6 by the way. Nonetheless, Martinez is struggling at this point in the season and while he has had decent career performances at the mound against many within the Dbacks lineup, they have much experience against him and will likely begin to chase him at some point in this matchup. It is for this reason that I will back the home team to squeak out a close and competitive game on Monday.
Totals Selection: Game 1, Game 3: Under
My reason for the prediction :
For games 1 & 3, I will back the under. Flaherty has pitched well lately and should contain the dangerous hitters for Arizona long enough to allow the under to be the result while also potentially allowing for the Cards to sneak out an early win in game 1 of this series. With no pitchers being assigned at the moment along for game 3 along with both team’s tendency to trend towards the under (more so due to lack of consistent offense), I expect this to be a grind-it-out game to where not many runs will be scored. In all, the finale will certainly be competitive as I expect the Dbacks to take care of business, however, the under will be a safer call than the money line, in my view.
Betting trends for St. Louis Cardinals:
- Betting Trends for St. Louis Cardinals
- The Cardinals are 3-5 in last 8 road games
- The Over is 6-4 in Cardinals last 10 road games
- The Cardinals are 4-1 in last 5 games
Betting trends for Arizona Diamondbacks:
- Betting Trends for Arizona Diamondbacks
- The Diamondbacks are 7-3 in last 10 home games
- The Diamondbacks are 10-4 in last 14 games
- The Over is 5-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 home games