Tampa Bay Rays (39-41) vs Miami Marlins (32-50)Date : 07/02/2018
Time : 7:10 pm EST
Location : Marlins Park, Miami, Florida
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins
Game 1 of a 3-game set between the visiting Tampa Bay Rays and the Miami Marlins will take place at Marlins Park in Miami, Florida, on Monday night at 7:10 pm EST. The Rays are currently in 3rd place within the AL East division while the Marlins occupy the cellar of the NL East. In their last outing, the Rays were 3-2 home winners versus the Houston Astros on Friday night. Wilmer Font (2-1) picked up the win in going 5 innings while allowing 1 run on only 1 hit, 2 walks, and 3 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.28. Tampa Bay only managed 5 hits however, Daniel Robertson was 2-4 for the night while Adeiny Hechavaria was 0-3 while driving in an RBI. Gerrit Cole (9-2) took the loss for the defending champs in going 6 innings while allowing 3 runs on 6 hits, 3 walks, and 5 strikeouts in a 2.50. The Rays cashed in on the money line heavy underdogs (+165) while the under was the play in that the total was set at 7 runs for the game.
On the other hand, the Marlins won by a score of 8-2 against the NY Mets in their last contest on 6-29-2018. Lewis Brinson went 3-4 for the night with an RBI while JT Riddle and Starlin Castro each had 2 hits apiece with a combined 4 RBI’s. Miguel Rojas was 0-3 with an RBI as well. Sandy Alcantara (1-0) picked up his first win of the season as he went 5 innings while allowing 1 run on 5 hits and only 2 strikeouts with an ERA of 1.80. Corey Aswalt (0-1) was the losing pitcher as he pitched 2.2 innings while allowing 6 runs on 6 hits and 2 homers with an ERA of 9.82. Jose Bautista went 2-4 for the Mets while David Mesoraco went 1-3 with an RBI in the defeat. The Marlins cashed in on the money line as favorites (-109) while the over was the play in that the total was set at 8.5 runs for the game. This will be the first meeting of the year amongst these two teams, however, the Rays have won 3 of the last 4 games including a 2-game sweep in their last meeting at Marlins Park on 5-2-2018.
Tampa Bay Rays's Latest Performance :
The Tampa Bay Rays have won 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 2-3. Recently, the Rays would go on to sweep the New York Yankees at home on 6-24-2018 while also sweeping a 2-game home set versus the Nationals on 6-26-2018. They would also tie a 4-game home set versus the Houston Astros by winning game 2 by a 3-2 score on 6-29-2018.
The Rays are averaging 3.89 runs per game (25th) with a team batting average of .249 (11th), 73 homers (26th), along with 50 stolen bases on the year (6th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.67 (9th) with 671 strikeouts (21st) and 22 quality starts (30th).
Mallex Smith (.266 BA on 241 AB), Joey Wendle (.259 BA on 224 AB) Adeiny Hechavarria (.266 BA on 158 AB) spearhead the offensive attack from the plate for the O’s while C.J. Cron (.236 BA on 288 AB), Matt Duffy (.315 BA on 257 AB), and Denard Span (.238 BA on 143 AB) are also critical to the Baltimore offense.
Blake Snell (10-4) has pitched 101.1 innings this season and allowed 28 runs on 65 hits, 11 homers, 40 walks, and 113 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.31.
Miami Marlins's Latest Performance :
The Marlins come into this matchup losers of 3 of their last 5 games to there the O/U was 2-2-1. After winning a 3-game road set versus the Colorado Rockies on 6-24-2018, the Marlins would go on to lose a 4-game home set against the Arizona Diamondbacks on 6-28-2018. They would, however, win game 1 of a 3-game home set versus the lowly Mets on 6-28-2018 by an 8-2 score.
For the season, the Marlins average 3.66 runs per game (28th) with a team batting average of .240 (21st), 65 homers (30th) along with 18 stolen bases (29th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.77 (27th) with 655 strikeouts (22nd) along with 26 quality starts (27th).
Starlin Castro (.276 BA on 322 AB), Brian Anderson (.292 BA on 318 AB), and Justin Bour (.240 BA on 267 AB) have been the offensive superstars for the Marlins this year. Derek Dietrich (.292 BA on 281 AB) and Miguel Rojas (.245 BA on 273 AB) have also been critical components to the Miami offensive attack.
Jose Urena (2-9, 94 IP, 47 R, 91 H, 9 HR, 21 BB, 75 SO, 4.40 ERA) have pitched the most inning for the Marlins this year.
How Tampa Bay Rays & Miami Marlins Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Astros are 43-40 ATS while the O/U is 43-39-1. On the other hand, the Rays are 49-32 ATS while the O/U is 34-44-3.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
No pitchers for either team have been assigned for this matchup as of yet, however, it would be important to note that both these teams have certainly seemed to pick things up lately. The Marlins are winners of 4 of their last 7 games while the Rays are playing better and better while winning 6 of their last 7 outings. During this time, the Rays are surrendering an average of 1.5 runs per game. On the other hand, the Marlins have been averaging 5 runs per game in their last 7 matchups. In other words, something will certainly have to give in this series. Will a hot pitching staff tame a hot lineup at the plate? Vice versa? This game will be interesting in that you have a team looking to continue their recent success while one is looking to play better, more consistent baseball in which to somehow rise out of the basement of their division.
Totals Selection: Game 1, Game 2, Game 3: Under
My reason for the prediction :
It would be important to reinforce the fact that though the Rays are winning, they are doing so on the strength of their young pitching staff. As stated, they are holding opponents to less than 2 runs per game and will certainly look to oppose this Marlins lineup that has also struggled with consistency at the plate all year. I expect this entire series to be one in which not many runs will cross home plate largely due to the emergence of quality pitching from both staffs. In all, this will be a competitive, low-scoring series where pitching and defense will certainly be the key to winning.
Betting trends for Tampa Bay Rays:
- Betting Trends for Tampa Bay Rays
- The Rays are 2-5 in last 7 road games
- The Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 road games
- The Rays are 5-1 in last 6 games
Betting trends for Miami Marlins:
- Betting Trends for Miami Marlins
- The Marlins are 1-5 in last 6 home games
- The Under is 7-5-1 in Marlins last 13 home games
- The Marlins are 3-6 in last 9 games