Miami Marlins (35-51) vs Washington Nationals (41-41)Date : 07/05/2018
Time : 7:05 pm EST
Location : Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals
The opener of a 4-game set between the Miami Marlins and the Washington Nationals will take place at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C., on Thursday night at 7:05 pm EST. The Marlins continue to occupy last place within the NL East while Washington occupies the 3rd place slot within the division. In their last outing, the Marlins were 3-2 winners in 10 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays on 7-2-2018 to where the Marlins cashed in on the money line as underdogs (+123) while the under was the play in that the total was set at 7.5 runs for the game. Starlin Castro went 4-4 for the night while J.T. Realmuto went 2-4 with an RBI. Miguel Rojas also had a spectacular game going 3-4 with an RBI in the victory. Wei-Yen Chen did not factor into the decision as he pitched 6 innings while allowing 1 run on 3 hits, and 5 strikeouts with an ERA of 5.55 while Nathan Eovaldi also received the no-decision as he pitched 6 innings while allowing 2 runs on 8 hits, 1 homer, and 5 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.92 in defeat.
The Nationals were 4-3 home losers to the Boston Red Sox in interleague play on 7-2-2018. Max Scherzer (10-5) took yet another loss as he pitched 6 innings while allowing 3 runs on 4 hits, 3 walks, and 9 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.16 while Rick Porcello (10-3) was the winning pitcher for Boston as he not only pitched 6 innings while allowing 2 runs on 7 hits, 2 walks, 2 homers, and 5 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.57, he would also get a hit in this game that would bring home 3 runs which, in essence, would turn out to be the most pivotal point in this matchup. In all, the Red Sox would cash in on the money line as huge underdogs (+167) while the under was the play in that the total was set at 7.5 runs for the game.
Miami Marlins 's Latest Performance :
The Marlins come into this matchup winners of 3 of their last 5 games to there the O/U was 1-3-1. Recently, the Marlins would lose a 4-game home set against the Arizona Diamondbacks on 6-28-2018, however, would win a 3-game home set versus the lowly Mets on 6-30-2018 despite losing 5-2 in the finale. Finally, they would go on to pick up an opening win of a 3-game home set against the Rays by a 3-2 score.
For the season, the Marlins average 3.65 runs per game (29th) with a team batting average of .240 (20th), 68 homers (29th) along with 20 stolen bases (29th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.68 (25th) with 681 strikeouts (22nd) along with 29 quality starts (27th).
Starlin Castro (.288 BA on 333 AB), Brian Anderson (.285 BA on 330 AB), and Justin Bour (.230 BA on 278 AB) have been the offensive superstars for the Marlins this year. Derek Dietrich (.287 BA on 289 AB) and Miguel Rojas (.253 BA on 281 AB) have also been critical components to the Miami offensive attack.
Jose Urena (2-9, 94 IP, 47 R, 91 H, 9 HR, 21 BB, 75 SO, 4.40 ERA) have pitched the most inning for the Marlins this year.
Washington Nationals 's Latest Performance :
The Washington Nationals have lost 4 of their last 5 contests to where the O/U has been 1-4. Recently, Washington would not only lose a 2-game set to the Tampa Bay Rays on 6-26-2018, but, they would also go on to drop yet another road series, this time a 4-game set to the Phillies, on 7-1-2018. They would follow this up with a slim 4-3 defeat at the hands of Boston on Monday night.
For the season, the Nationals are averaging 4.23 runs per game (21st) with a team batting average of .240 (21st), 96 homers, (15th) along with 64 stolen bases (3rd). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.67 (9th) with 775 strikeouts (5th) along with 43 quality starts on the year (4th).
Trea Truner (.270 BA on 333 AB), Bryce Harper (.217 BA on 286 AB), and Michael A. Taylor (.238 BA on 256 AB) have been the offensive leaders for this Washington Nationals squad thus far.
Max Scherzer (10-5, 120.2 IP, 32 R, 75 H, 10 HR, 30 BB, 174 SO, 2.16 ERA) and Gio Gonzales (6-5, 90.2 IP, 40 R, 86 H, 9 HR, 43 BB, 86 SO, 3.77 ERA) have been the most consistent on the pitching staff while Tanner Roark (3-9, 98.2 IP, 47 R, 89 H, 13 HR, 36 BB, 84 SO, 4.10 ERA) have also been solid on the mound for the Nationals this year.
How Miami Marlins & Washington Nationals Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Nationals are 41-42 ATS while the O/U is 32-49-2. On the other hand, the Marlins are 45-41 ATS while the O/U is 43-41-2.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The pitchers for either team have not been named for this series, however, a quick set of facts would be that the once-feared pitching staff of the Nationals have not been as dominating lately as they have surrendered 56 runs in the last 10 games. On the other hand, the offense has pumped in 41 runs during this time for an average of 4.1 runs per game. The thing is that 17 of those runs were in a 17-7 win versus the Phillies on the road on 6-29-2018. The Nats are truly struggling at this point, and what will make this series interesting is the way in which they perfect upon their mechanics, both at the plate and on the mound, in which to some neutralize the resurgent bats for the Miami Marlins, who have won 3 of their last 4 games by averaging over 5 runs per game in those wins. The Marlins pitching staff have also been stingy in those wins surrendering only an average of 2 runs per game and will certainly be looking to work their formula on a Nats team that possess individuals with star power at the plate and mound; Yet, they have not been able to consistently perform as well as one thinks they should.
Against The Spread Selection: Game 1: Miami Marlins, Game 2: Washington Nationals
My reason for the pick :
With the Nats seemingly in the beginnings of a potential free-fall, I will back the Miami Marlins in game 1 to sneak out an all-important win over Washington in the opener. It would be important to note that the Nationals are 2-7 in their last 9 series openers, and I certainly expect this trend to continue as the Marlins will indeed perform well enough to pull out a victory in what will be a very competitive and low-scoring matchup on Thursday night at Marlins Park.
The Nationals will ultimately come out of their funk, and I expect them to rebound over the Marlins on Friday night in game 2 of their 4-game set. Again, the pitchers have not been announced, however, it would be importnat to note that the Nationals have indeed done well in this series in recent matchups. With that being said, I feel as though the Nationals will work through their inconsistencies to grind out a much-needed win in what will be yet another low scoring, competitive matchup amongst these NL East teams.
Totals Selection: Game 3, 4: Under
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the under for most of this series in that the Marlins pitching staff has been solid lately in addition to the under being the result in recent play for both teams. For the Marlins, the under has been the call in 4 of their last 6 while it has been the result in 5 of their last 6. While the Nationals pitching staff has indeed struggled recently, I ultimately expect them to get it right and slowly begin to regain their form soon. With that being said, expect the under to be recurring during this NL East series showdown this weekend.
Betting trends for Miami Marlins :
- Betting Trends for Miami Marlins
- The Marlins are 6-4 in last 10 road games
- The Marlins are 6-4 in last 10 games
- The Under is 4-1-1 in last 6 games
Betting trends for Washington Nationals :
- Betting trends for Washington Nationals
- The Nationals are 4-8 in last 12 home games
- The Under is 6-2 in Nationals last 8 home games
- The Nationals are 1-6 in last 7 games