St. Louis Cardinals (42-40) vs San Francisco Giants (45-40)Date : 07/05/2018
Time : 10:15 pm EST
Location : AT&T Park, San Francisco, California
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants
Game 1 of a 4-game set between the St. Louis Cardinals and the San Francisco Giants will take place at AT&T Park in San Francisco, California, on Thursday night beginning at 10:15 pm EST. The Cardinals are in 3rd place within the NL Central division while the Giants occupy the 3rd position within the NL West. In their last outing, the cardinals were 6-3 road winners over the Arizona Diamondbacks on 7-2-2018. The Cardinals cashed in on the money line as underdogs (+130) while the over was the play in that the total was set at 8 runs for the game. Yairo Munoz, Yadier Molina, and Jedd Gyorko each had 2 hits apiece in this matchup and combined for 6 RBI’s while Carlos Martinez (5-4) picked up the win by pitching 6 innings while allowing 2 runs on 2 hits, 2 walks, and 7 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.20. The losing pitcher was Robbie Ray (3-1) who would lose his first start of the year in going 5 innings while allowing 6 runs on 9 hits, 2 homers, and 7 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.89.
The San Francisco Giants lost out on the road to the Colorado Rockies by a score of 5-2 where the Rockies cashed in on the money line (-105) while the under was the play in that the total was set at 11.5 runs for the game. Madison Bumgarner (1-3) once again came out on the losing end pitching 6 innings yet allowing 3 runs on 7 hits, 3 walks, and 5 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.58. The Giants could only muster 5 runs for the game with Buster Posey going 2-3 with an RBI while Gorkys Hernandez went 1-4 also with an RBI in the defeat. Kyle Freeland (8-6) pitched effectively against the lineup for the Giants going 7 innings while allowing 2 runs on only 3 hits, 1 homer, and 3 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.25.
St. Louis Cardinals's Latest Performance :
The Giants come into this matchup winning 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 2-3. Recently, the Giants would not only win a 3-game home set versus the Colorado Rockies on 6-30-2018, they would also go on to whip up on yet another NL West opponent, the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field to get the sweep in a 9-6 finale on 7-1-2018. The Giants, nonetheless, would drop game 1 of a 3-game set versus the Rockies at Coors Field on 7-2-2018 by a 5-2 score.
For the season, the Giants are averaging 4.17 runs per game (22nd) with a team batting average of .255 (8th), 86 homers (21st) along with 35 stolen bases (20th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.99 (16th) with 658 (24th) along with 36 quality starts (14th).
Brandon Belt (.295 BA on 251 AB) and Buster Posey (.295 BA on 258 AB) have been the most consistent hitters for the Giants this year. Andrew McCutchen (.258 BA on 314 AB) and Evan Longoria (.246 BA on 256 AB) has also been solid at the plate for San Francisco.
Chris Stratton (8-5, 91 IP, 49 R, 92 H, 9 HR, 35 BB, 70 SO, 4.45 ERA) has been consistent on the mound for the Giants this season.
San Francisco Giants 's Latest Performance :
The St. Louis Cardinals come into this matchup losers of 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 3-2. After winning a 3-game home set versus the Cleveland Indians on 6-27-2018, they would go on to get swept by the Braves at home in a 3-game set with a slim 6-5 loss in the finale on 7-1-2018. They would recover, however, in game 1 of their following 3-game road set against the Arizona Diamondbacks by picking of the 6-3 victory on 7-2-2018.
For the season, St. Louis averages 4.29 runs per game (20th) with a team batting average of .242 (19th), 106 homers (10th) along with 29 stolen bases (25th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.72 (11th) with 695 strikeouts (20th) along with 36 quality starts on the season (15th).
Tommy Pham (.248 BA on 278 AB), Jose Martinez (.298 BA on 275 AB), and Yadier Molina (.272 BA on 195 AB) have been the most consistent batters at the plate for St. Louis this season. Marcell Ozuna (.281 BA on 306 AB) has also been solid at the plate for the Cardinals this year.
Miles Mikolas (8-3) has pitched 103.1 innings and allowing 33 runs on 89 hits, 8 homers, 13 walks, and 72 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.61. Michael Wacha (8-2) has 84.1 IP, 36 R, 68 H, 9 HR, 36 BB, and 71 SO along with an ERA of 3.20.
How St. Louis Cardinals & San Francisco Giants Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Giants are 47-39 ATS while the O/U is 42-41-3. On the other hand, the Cardinals are 37-46 ATS while the O/U is 34-44-5.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The pitcher for the Giants in game 1 has not been announced, however, Luke Weaver (4-7) will come to the mound for the Cardinals in hopes of having a much better outing than his last as he was simply terrible in going 4.2 innings while allowing 8 runs on 10 hits, 2 homers, 2 walks, and 2 strikeouts in a 11-4 home loss to the Atlanta Braves on 6-30-2018. He has had much better success against the Giants in that in his last outing Weaver picked up the win on 9-3-2017 as he lasted 7 innings while giving up 2 runs on 4 hits, 1 homer, and 9 strikeouts in a 7-3 win at AT&T Park. The Cardinals are 4-2 in Weaver’s last 6 starts while the over has been the result in his last 3 appearances. Not only has he been credited with 22 earned runs in his last 5 starts, but, he has given up 5 or more runs in each game during this time as well.
Brandon Belt (2-2), Brandon Crawford (1-5), and Gorkys Hernandez (0-2) have all faced Weaver in the past. Andrew McCutchen (0-3), Joe Panik (1-4), Hunter Pence (.1-5), Buster Posey (2-4), and Pablo Sandoval (0-3) have also faced off against the righty in the past with little to no success.
The pitcher for the remainder of the series for either team have not been announced, however, it would be important to note that while the Cards have relied on strong pitching and timely hits in which to ultimately wear down their opponents, they have once again, fallen into a lull to where they have not been very active at getting on base while the strong pitching staff to which they rely on has seemingly let them down recently. Offensively, they are only putting up a tad over 3 runs per game in their last 5 games where the pitching has surrendered 6 runs during this time. The Giants, on the other hand, have only been allowing half as many runs as the Cards while their offense has been credited for 28 runs in their last 5 games. One could say that the Giants lineup could be preparing to feast on the suddenly inconsistent pitching staff for St. Louis in this series, however, the way in which the Cards approach this dangerous Giants lineup will make this series very interesting.
Against The Spread Selection: Game 1: San Francisco Giants
My reason for the pick :
The Giants continue to pick up momentum with each series. Despite their game 1 loss against the Rockies on Monday night, they are indeed the better team at the moment. The Cardinals, on the other hand, certainly have some kinks they need to work out in which to be more competitive within a stacked division. Nonetheless, I simply do not trust Weaver as he has proven that he can certainly give up some runs as well as homers (5 in his last 3 starts). With that being said, I will pick the Giants to get a huge victory against the Cardinals in the opener off the strength of their red-hot offense (at the moment).
Totals Selection: Game 2, 3, 4: Over
My reason for the prediction :
Continue to look towards the over in this contest. As stated, the Cardinals are giving up runs at a crazy pace and the Giants are tagging opposing pitchers in their last few outings. Keep in mind that, as stated, the Giants pitching staff has been effective lately, however, they have not been lights out. With that being said, expect both teams to give up some runs in this series, however, whomever wins out will certainly gain even more momentum moving forward. In all, the over will certainly be the mantra for this series.
Betting trends for St. Louis Cardinals:
- Betting Trends for St. Louis Cardinals
- The Over is 4-2 in Cardinals last 6 games
- The Over is 7-4 in Cardinals last 11 road games
- The Cardinals are 1-4 in last 5 games
Betting trends for San Francisco Giants :
- Betting Trends for San Francisco Giants
- The Giants are 7-2 in last 9 home games
- The Giants are 11-4 in last 15 games