Boston Red Sox (58-29) vs Kansas City Royals (25-60)Date : 07/06/2018
Time : 8:15 pm EST
Location : Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals
Game 1 of a 3-game set between the first and last teams in their respective divisions will meet at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri, on Friday night at 8:15 pm EST. The Red Sox have reclaimed the number one slot within the AL Est division from he Yankees while the Royals continue to occupy the last place slot within the AL Central. In their last outing, the Red Sox went up 2-0 over the Washington nationals on 7-3-2018 with an 11-4 road win. They cashed in on the money line as slight underdogs (+105) while the over was the play in that the total was set at 9.5 runs for the game. The Sox had 10 hits for the game with Steve Pearce and Xander Bogaerts having 2 hits apiece with a combined 4 RBI’s while Eduardo Nunez went 2-4 with 3 RBI’s in the win. J. D. Martinez was 2-5 with 4 RBI’s. Brian Johnson picked up the no decision as he pitched 4.2 innings while allowing 2 runs on 8 hits and 2 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.23 while Tanner Roark (3-10) got the loss as he went 7 innings while giving up 9 runs on 10 hits, 2 homers, and 4 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.60. Mark Reynolds was 2-4 for the Nats with an RBI in the defeat.
The Royals would fall 6-4 at home versus the red-hot Cleveland Indians on 7-3-2018. Danny Duffy (4-8) took the loss as he went 8 innings while allowing 6 runs on 8 hits, 1 homer, and 3 strikeouts with an ERA of 5.19 while Shane Bieber (4-0) would remain undefeated on the season in going 6 innings while allowing 4 runs on 9 hits, 1 homer, and 2 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.97. Rosell Herrera was 3-4 for the night with an RBI while Lucas Duda was 2-4 with 2 RBI’s in the loss. Whit Merrifield was 1-4 also with an RBI. The loss was the 5th straight for the Royals.
Boston Red Sox's Latest Performance :
The Boston Red Sox come into this game winners of 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 3-2. Recently, the Red Sox would sweep a 3-game home set versus the Los Angeles Angels on 6-28-2018 while dropping a 3-game road set against division rival NY Yankees on 7-1-2018. They would, however, refocus in their next series, a 3-game road set versus the Nationals as they would win both games 1 and 2.
For the season, the Red Sox are averaging 5.22 runs per game (1st) with a team batting average of .266 (2nd), 124 homers (2nd), along with 65 stolen bases (2nd). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.59 (7th) with 829 strikeouts (3rd) along with 45 quality starts on the year (3rd).
Mookie Betts (.336 BA on 256 AB), J.D. Martinez (.325 BA on 314 AB), Hanley Ramirez (.254 BA on 177 AB), Rafael Devers (.242 BA on 322 AB) and Andrew Benintendi (.279 BA on 323 AB) have all been consistent at the plate this year for the Red Sox and are their primary offensive leaders. Eduardo Nunez (.254 BA on 272 AB) is also a key offensive component for Boston.
Chris Sale (8-4, 116 IP, 33 R, 74 H, 10 HR, 29 BB, 164 SO, 2.41 ERA), Rick Porcello (10-3, 110 IP, 49 R, 102 H, 12 HR, 26 BB, 104 SO, 3.57 ERA) and David Price (9-6, 96.2 IP, 49 R, 89 H, 15 HR, 33 BB, 92 SO, 3.48) have held it down for the Red Sox pitching staff all season.
Kansas City Royals's Latest Performance :
The Royals come into this matchup losers of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 3-2. Recently, Kansas City would tie a 2-game road set versus the Brewers on 6-27-2018 while going on to be swept in their following series, a 3-game road set versus the Seattle Mariners on 7-1-2018. The Royals would follow this up with a lackluster effort in the first 2 of a 3-game home set versus the Cleveland Indians and dropped games 1 and 2 by a combined score of 15-7.
For the season, the Royals are averaging 3.47 runs per game (30th) with a team batting average of .237 (23rd), 68 homers (29th), along with 40 stolen bases (15th). Their pitching staff ranks at the bottom with an ERA of 5.20 (30th) with 599 strikeouts (30th) with 33 quality starts on the year (21st).
Mike Moustakas (.258 BA on 318 AB), Jorge Soler (.265 BA on 223 AB), and Whit Merrifield (.288 BA on 316 AB) have been solid thus far at the plate for Kansas City. Lucas Duda (.252 BA on 159 AB) also provides a spark to the offense.
Jakob Junis (5-10) has been a bright spot for the Royal pitching staff this year going 101.2 innings this year while allowing 59 runs on 103 hits, 24 homers, 28 walks, and 92 strikeouts with an ERA of 5.13.
How Boston Red Sox & Kansas City Royals Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Royals are 34-51 ATS while the O/U is 33-48-4. On the other hand, the Red Sox are 49-38 ATS while the O/U is 41-43-3.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Boston’s game 1 pitcher has not been announced, however, Jason Hammel (2-10) will come to the mound for the Royals hoping to end a 5-game losing streak on the mound. In his last outing, he pitched 6 innings while giving up 6 runs on 13 hits and 1 homer in a 6-4 road loss to the Mariners on 6-30-2018. In his last meeting versus the Red Sox, he went 8 innings while giving up 8 runs on 8 hits and 2 homers in a 10-6 loss on 4-30-2018. Hammel has been credited with 16 home runs in his last 3 starts while the over has been the result in his last 2. Overall, the Royals are 0-5 in his last 5 starts.
Andrew Benintendi (.143 BA on 7 AB), Mookie Betts (0-7), Steve Pearce (0-1), and Christian Vazquez (.167 BA on 6 AB) have all struggled against Hammel in the past; However, Xander Bogaerts (.429 BA on 7 AB), Jackie Bradley Jr. (.333 BA on 6 AB) and Rafael Devers (1-3) along with J.D. Martinez (2-4) and Mitch Moreland (.429 BA on 7 AB) have all had success against the righty in their careers. Eduardo Nunez is .308 on 13 at bats versus Hammel.
The game 2 starter for Boston has not been named, however, Brad Keller (2-3) will come to the mound for the Royals to build from his last start in which he received the tough-luck 1-0 loss at the Mariners to where he pitched 8 innings while allowing 1 run on 6 hits and 3 strikeouts. In his last outing versus the Red Sox, Keller, in relief status, pitched an inning while giving up no runs or hits in a 5-4 loss at Fenway on 5-2-2018. In his last 6 games, Keller is only charged with 9 earned runs while the under has been the result of 4 of this last 5 games. In all, the Royals are 1-4 in his last 5 starts.
While the game 3 starter for Boston is unknown, Jakob Junis (5-10) will be making his return to the mound after some rough outings that has caused his record to dip in the past few weeks. In his last outing, he pitched 5.1 innings while allowing 9 runs on 8 hits, 2 homers, and 2 strikeouts in a 9-3 loss at home to the Indians on 7-2-2018. Junis has limited experience versus the dangerous hitters for Boston but has faced J.D. Martinez (1-5) in the past. Junis has a whopping 28 earned runs in his last 5 starts while the over has been the result in 4 of his last 7 games. Overall, the Royals are 0-7 in his last 7 starts.
Against The Spread Selection: Games 1, 2, 3: Boston Red Sox
My reason for the pick :
Without knowing who the pitchers are at this point for the Red Sox, there are some things that I can already identify in this game. Number one, Boston is indeed the much better team coming into the series. Two, they have the much better and experience pitching staff with the most intelligent hitters. Number 3, the Red Sox have won 9 of their last 12 games and are once again leaders in the AL East division. Finally, Boston is going up against a team that continues to reel in losing 9 straight series which, in essence, would be the final nail in the coffin for the Royals. Take the Red Sox to pound the Royals to get the sweep.
Betting trends for Boston Red Sox:
- Betting Trends for Boston Red Sox
- The Red Sox are 4-2 in last 6 road games
- The Over is 5-3 in Red Sox last 8 road games
- The Red Sox are 7-2 in last 9 games
Betting trends for Kansas City Royals:
- Betting Trends for Kansas City Royals
- The Royals are 1-6 in last 7 home games
- The Royals are 3-10 in last 13 games
- The under is 4-2 in Royals last 6 home games