Tampa Bay Rays (33-49) vs NY Mets (43-42)Date : 07/06/2018
Time : 7:10 pm EST
Location : CitiField, New York, New York
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Mets
Game 1 of a 3-game set between the Tampa Bay Rays and the NY Mets will take place at CitiField in New York City on Friday night beginning at 7:10 pm EST. the Rays are currently in 3rd place within the AL East division while the Mets are 4th place in the NL East. In their last outing, the Rays were 9-6 road winners versus the Miami Marlins on 7-3-2018. They racked up 20 hits in this contest as Matt Duffy, Wilson Ramos, and Joey Wendle each had 2 hits apiece along with Daniel Robertson and Adeiny Hechavarria having 3 hits apiece with a combined 4 RBI’s. Ryan Yarborough did not factor in to the decision as he pitched only 3 innings while allowing 2 runs on 4 hits and 3 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.84 while Trevor Richards also got the no decision as he went 5 innings while allowing 4 runs on 9 hits, 1 homer, and 5 strikeouts with an ERA of 5.26. The Rays cashed in on the money line in this 16-inning contest (-101) while the over was the play in that the total was set at 7.5 runs for the game.
The Mets unravel during the 7th inning in their contest against the Toronto Blue Jays allowing them to post 5 runs in the bottom of the 7th inning and would ultimately lose game 1 of their 2-game road set by an 8-6 score. The Jays would cash in on the money line as favorites (-123) while the over was the play in that the total was set at 9 runs for the game. Zack Wheeler would get the no decision as he pitched 6.1 innings while allowing 2 runs on 3 hits and 5 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.36. Dominic Smith was 2-4 in the loss while Asdrubel Cabrera was 1-2 with 2 RBI’s while Devin Mesoraco was 1-4 with 2 RBI’s also. Michael Conforto also was 1-5 with an RBI.
Tampa Bay Rays's Latest Performance :
The Tampa Bay Rays have won 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 1-3-1. Recently, the Rays would sweep a 2-game home set versus the Nationals on 6-26-2018 while going on to win a 4-game home set versus the Houston Astros on 7-1-2018 by picking up the 3-2 win in the finale. Furthermore, they would go on to tie a 3-game road set in game 2 against the Miami Marlins on 7-3-2018 by picking up the 9-6 victory.
The Rays are averaging 3.93 runs per game (26th) with a team batting average of .251 (10th), 75 homers (26th), along with 51 stolen bases on the year (6th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.60 (8th) with 710 strikeouts (18th) and 24 quality starts (29th).
Mallex Smith (.275 BA on 247 AB), Joey Wendle (.263 BA on 236 AB) Adeiny Hechavarria (.262 BA on 172 AB) spearhead the offensive attack from the plate for the O’s while C.J. Cron (.239 BA on 297 AB), Matt Duffy (.315 BA on 276 AB), and Denard Span (.238 BA on 143 AB) are also critical to the Baltimore offense.
Blake Snell (11-4) has pitched 108.2 innings this season and allowed 29 runs on 69 hits, 12 homers, 41 walks, and 123 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.24.
NY Mets's Latest Performance :
The New York Mets have lost 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 2-1-2. Recently, the Mets would lose a 3-game road set versus the Pittsburgh Pirates by dropping the finale by a score of 5-3 on 6-27-2018. The Mets would also go on the lose the first 2 games of the following series against the Miami Marlins on their way to picking up a 5-2 win in the finale to salvage. They would go on to lose 8-6 to the Toronto Blue Jays at Rodgers Centre on 7-3-2018 in game 1 of a 2-game set.
For the season, the Mets are averaging 3.96 (25th) with a team batting average of .231 (28th), 88 homers (22nd), along with 32 stolen bases (22nd). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.35 (19th) with 744 strikeouts (13th) along with 36 quality starts on the season (14th).
Asdrubal Cabrera (.281 BA on 313 AB), and Amed Rosario (.241 BA on 253 AB) has also been a critical component to the Mets’ scoring attack in 2018.
Jacob deGrom (5-4, 107.1 IP, 25 R, 81 H, 6 HR, 28 BB, 134 SO, 1.84 ERA) and Noah Syndergaard (4-1, 64.2 IP, 25 R, 63 H, 5 HR, 13 BB, 76 SO, 3.06 ERA) are the bright spots for their talented pitching staff. Zack Wheeler (2-6, 95 IP, 48 R, 89 H, 9 H, 35 BB, 91 SO, 4.36 ERA) have also been serviceable for the Mets this year.
How Tampa Bay Rays & NY Mets Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Mets are 34-48 ATS while the O/U is 37-42-3. On the other hand, the Rays are 52-33 ATS while the O/U is 35-46-4.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The pitcher for the Rays have not been announced, however, Jacob DeGrom (5-4) will get the start for the Mets hoping to get back on track after a terrible outing against the Marlins on 6-30-2018 to where he went 6 innings while allowing 3 runs on 6 hits, 1 homer, and 6 strikeouts in a 5-2 road loss. This inning marked the 2nd time in as many games that DeGrom had allowed 3 runs. In all, the right-hander has only been charged with 12 earned runs in his last 8 starts while the over has been the result in 2 of this last 3 starts. Nonetheless, the Mets are 1-7 in DeGrom’s last 8 starts. In his last outing versus the Rays, the righty pitched 6.2 innings while allowing 2 runs on 6 hits, 2 homers, and 7 strikeouts in a 4-3 road win dating back to 8-7-2015.
C.J. Cron (1-2), Carlos Gomez (.4-10), Kevin Kiermaier (1-2), Wilson Ramos (.214 BA on 14 AB), and Adeiny Hechavarria (.235 BA on 17 AB) have the most experience and success against DeGrom in the past. Matt Duffy and Mallex Smith are a combined 0-11 against the right-hander.
In game 2, Blake Snell (11-4) will come to the mound for the Rays looking to win his 4th straight start. In his last outing, he pitched 7.1 innings while allowing 1 run on 4 hits, 1 homer and 10 strikeouts in a 3-2 home win versus he Astros on 7-1-2018. In his last 8 starts, he has only been charged with 7 earned runs while the under has been the play in 3 of his last 4 games. The Rays, overall, is 4-1 in Snell’s last 5 starts. This will be the 1st matchup against this struggling Mets lineup, however, Snell has had experience facing Jose Bautista (2-10) and Todd Frazier (1-5).
Left-hander Steven Matz (4-5) will get the start for the Mets in game 2 looking to build from his last outing to where he pitched 5.1 innings while allowing 1 run on 3 hits, 2 walks, and 5 strikeouts in a 5-2 road win versus the Marlins on 7-1-2018. He is credited with 14 earned runs in his last 6 starts while the under has been the result in his last 6 starts. In all, the Rays are 4-1 in his last 5 starts. This will be Matz’s first matchup against the Rays, however, he has had experience facing Matt Duffy (1-3), Adeiny Hechavarria (2-6), Wilson Ramos (2-6), and Mallex Smith (0-3). Finally, Matz is 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA with 19 strikeouts in his last 3 games.
For game 3, Nathan Eovaldi (2-3) will make the start for the Rays seeking his 2nd win in 3 starts. In his last outing, he got the no decision as he pitched 6 innings while allowing 2 runs on 6 hits, 1 homer, and 5 strikeouts in a 3-2 road loss on 7-2-2018. In his last outing versus the Mets, Eovaldi, then pitching for the Yankees, pitched 7 innings while allowing 4 runs on 5 hits, 2 homers, and 5 strikeouts in a 4-1 home loss on 8-4-2016. Eovaldi is credited with 18 runs in his last 6 games while the under has been the play in his last 4 games. The Rays are 1-5 in Eovaldi’s last 6 starts.
Todd Frazier (2-6), Wilmer Flores (1-4), Asdrubel Cabrera (.182 BA on 11 AB), and Jose Bautista (.143 BA on 7 AB) have had a bit of success against Eovaldi in the past while Michael Conforto, Devin Masoraco, and Kevin Plawecki are all a combined 0-10 against the right-hander in their careers.
Zack wheeler (2-6) looks to overcome a string of no decision to get his 1st win since early April. In his last outing, Wheeler pitched 6.1 innings while allowing 2 runs on 3 hits and 5 strikeouts in an 8-6 road loss versus the Toronto Blue Jays on 7-3-2018. This will be Wheeler’s first crack at neutralizing this Rays lineup, however, he has had experience facing Carlos Gomez (.714 BA on 7 AB), Adeiny Hechavarria (.111 BA on 18 AB), and Wilson Ramos (3-12). In his last 3 starts, the righty is 0-1 with a 2.66 ERA along with 19 strikeouts.
Totals Selection: Game 1, 2, 3: Under
My reason for the prediction :
Of course, with the Rays going into this matchup with much of the momentum, I would expect his particular series to be one where not many runs will be scored. Also, with the Mets continuing to stink it up on the offensive end in averaging 3.6 runs in their last 5 games while the Rays, who are very much acclimated to winning close, low-scoring games recently, are putting up an average of 4.2 runs. With the pitchers coming to the mound for this series, I would certainly expect the under to be the call for the duration of the series. Also, keep in mind that the under has been the play in 5 of the last 7 games for the Rays while it has been the result in 7 of the last 10 home games for the Mets. In all, I will certainly lean towards the under for this series.
Betting trends for Tampa Bay Rays:
- Betting Trends for Tampa Bay Rays
- The Rays are 3-6 in last 9 road games
- The Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 road games
- The Rays are 9-2 in last 11 games
Betting trends for NY Mets:
- Betting Trends for NY Mets
- The Mets are 1-5 in last 6 home games
- The Mets are 2-11 in last 13 games
- The Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games