Cincinnati Reds (39-49) vs Cleveland Indians (49-37)Date : 07/09/2018
Time : 7:10 pm EST
Location : Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Indians
Game 1 of a 3-game set between the Cincinnati Reds and the Cleveland Indians will take place at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio, beginning at 7:10 pm EST. The Reds currently occupy last place within the NL Central while the Indians are in the top spot within the AL Central division. In their last outing, the Reds were 7-4 home winners over the Chicago White Sox on 7-5-2018. The Reds cashed in on the money line as favorites (-164) while the over was the play in that the total was set at 10 runs for the game. Sal Romano (5-8) picked up the win for the Reds on the mound as he went 5 innings while allowing 4 runs on 6 hits, 2 homers, and 6 strikeouts with an ERA of 5.40. The Reds racked up 8 hits for the game with Joey Votto and Eugenio Suarez having 2 hits apiece while Jesse Winker going 2-3 with 2 RBI’s. Scooter Gennett went 1-4 with an RBI in the victory while Jose Peraza went 1-2 with 2 RBI’s. Dylan Covey (3-4) suffered the loss as he lasted 3.2 innings while allowing 6 runs on 5 hits with an ERA of 5.54. The Reds would go on to win game 1 of a 3-game road set versus the Chicago Cubs on 7-6-2018 by a 3-2 score.
The Cleveland Indians were 3-2 road winners over the Kansas City Royals on 7-5-2018. The Indians cashed in on the money line as heavy favorites (-254) while the under was the play in that the total was set at 9 runs for the game. The Indians won the game despite having only 4 hits in the contest with Michael Brantley and Greg Allen each going 1-3 with an RBI while Edwin Encarnacion having gone 0-2 with an RBI in the victory. Trevor Bauer (8-6) picked up the win as he pitched 7.2 innings while allowing 2 runs on 7 hits and 8 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.45. Trevor Oaks (0-2), on the other hand, remains winless on the season after pitching 4 innings while allowing 3 runs on 2 hits and 2 strikeouts with an ERA of 7.24. The Indians would whip up on the Oakland A’s in the opener of a 3 game home set by a 10-4 score on 7-6-2018.
Cincinnati Reds's Latest Performance :
The Reds have won 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 3-2. Recently, they would tie a 4-game home set versus the Milwaukee Brewers on 7-1-2018 while going on to win a 3-game home set versus the Chicago White Sox on by winning the finale by a 7-4 score. The would go on to defeat the Cubs in game 1 of a 3-game road set by a 3-2 score on Friday night.
For the season, the Cincinnati Reds are averaging 4.66 runs per game (9th) with a team batting average of .257 (6th), 92 home runs (21st), along with 40 stolen bases (17th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.62 (24th) with 686 strikeouts (13th), and 24 quality starts (29th).
Jesse Winker (.277 BA on 238 AB), Scooter Gennett (.328 BA on 320 AB), Tucker Barnhart (.259 BA on 259 AB), and Joey Votto (.294 BA on 310 AB) have been valuable to the offense this year. Jose Peraza (.277 BA on 336 AB) has also been a pivotal piece on offense for the Reds.
Tyler Mahle (7-6) has pitched 98.1 innings and has allowed 44 runs on 96 hits, 16 homers, 41 walks, and 97 strikeouts along with an ERA of 3.66. Finally, Luis Castillo (5-8) has pitched 94.1 innings while allowing 61 runs on 97 hits, 18 home runs, 33 walks, and 91 strikeouts with an ERA of 5.53.
Cleveland Indians 's Latest Performance :
The Cleveland Indians come into this matchup winners their last 5 games to where the O/U was 4-1. Recently, the Indians would lose a 3-game road set against the Oakland A’s to where they won the finale by a 15-3 score. This momentum would translate into their next series where they would sweep a 3-game road set versus the Kansas City Royals on 7-4-2018. This momentum, of course, would translate into game 1 of their next series as they cruised to a 10-4 victory at home over the Oakland Athletics on 7-6-2018.
For the season, the Indians are averaging 5.08 runs per game (5th) with a team batting average of .256 (7th), 119 homers (4th) along with 66 stolen bases (3rd). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.90 (15th) with 777 strikeouts (7th), along with 55 quality starts, good for 2nd in the MLB.
Jose Ramirez (.296 BA on 324 AB) and Francisco Lindor (.300 BA on 350 AB) have spearheaded the Indians offensive attack this season. Yonder Alonso (.255 BA on 275 AB) and Edwin Encarnacion (.230 BA on 291 AB) have struggled a bit, yet, continue to be offensive leaders for the Indians. Jason Kipnis (.218 BA on 303 AB) has also struggled thus far in the young season.
Corey Kluber (12-4, 119.1 IP, 37 R, 91 H, 17 HR, 13 BB, 120 SO, 2.64 ERA) and Trevor Bauer (8-6, 121.1 IP, 40 R, 95 H, 5 HR, 37 BB, 156 SO, 2.45 ERA) have been the most consistent thus far. Mike Clevenger (7-3, 110 IP, 39 R, 97 H, 7 HR, 36 BB, 99 SO, 3.11 ERA) and Carlos Carrasco (9-5, 96.2 IP, 47 R, 92 H, 13 HR, 22 BB, 103 SO, 4.28 ERA) have been very solid in their own right thus far in the season and are bright spots for Cleveland’s pitching staff.
How Cincinnati Reds & Cleveland Indians Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Indians are 44-22 ATS while the O/U is 45-39-2. On the other hand, the Reds are 51-37 ATS while the O/U is 43-40-5.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The only pitcher that has been assigned for this series is Anthony DeSclafani (3-1) who will get the start in game 1 looking to win his 4th start in 6 outings while also ending a string of no decisions that has been the result in his last couple times on the mound. In his last outing, he pitched 5.1 innings while allowing 5 runs on 6 hits, 3 homers, and 5 strikeouts in a 12-8 home loss to the White Sox on 7-3-2018. In his last outing versus the Indians, he pitched 5.1 innings while allowing 6 runs on 8 hits with 2 homers and 4 strikeouts in a 9-4 home loss on 7-18-2015. DeSclafani has given up 8 homers in his last 4 starts while he has been credited with 19 earned runs in his last 6 starts. The over has been the result in his last 4 appearances while the team is 4-3 in his last 7 outings.
Yonder Alonso (2-3), Michael Brantley (1-3), and Jason Kipnis (.333 BA on 6 AB) have had a bit of experience and success against DeSclafani in the past; However, Yan Gomes, Roberto Perez, and Jose Ramirez are a combined 0-8 against the right-hander. Francisco Lindor is 2-3 lifetime against DeSclafani.
Totals Selection: Game 1, 2, 3: Over
My reason for the prediction :
DeSclafani has not only been successful in his last few outings, but, he has also received a ton of run support in his most recent starts as well (43 runs in last 6). Combine this with the fact that the righty has not been very impressive at all in his last 2 as he has given up a total of 9 earned on 11 hits, 4 homers, and 11 strikeouts, I expect the Reds to give up their fair share of runs and hits in this contest with him on the mound. The Indians are on fire from the plate as well scoring 43 runs in their last 5 games. The over, as stated, has been the call in DeSclafani’s last 4 games while it has been the play in 4 of the last 5 for the Indians and in 6 of the last 9 for the Reds. In all, expect some runs to be scored in this series while allowing both teams to continue their hot hitting streak.
Betting trends for Cincinnati Reds:
- Betting Trends for Cincinnati Reds
- The Reds are 7-5 in last 12 road games
- The Reds are 13-4 in last 17 games
- The Under is 5-2-1 in last 8 road games
Betting trends for Cleveland Indians :
- Betting Trends for Cleveland Indians
- The Indians are 7-2 in last 9 home games
- The Over is 6-3 in Indians last 9 home games
- The Indians are 12-4 in last 16 games