Milwaukee Brewers (53-35) vs Miami Marlins (36-54)Date : 07/09/2018
Time : 7:10 pm EST
Location : Marlins Park, Miami, Florida
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins
Game 1 of a 3-game set versus the Milwaukee Brewers and the Miami Marlins will take place at Marlins Park in Miami, Florida, on Monday night beginning at 7:10 pm EST. The Brewers are in first place within the NL Central division while the Marlins are in the cellar of the NL East division. In their last outing, the Brewers were 7-2 winners over the Atlanta Braves at Miller Park on 7-5-2018 behind a strong pitching performance from Jhoulys Chacin who pitched 7 innings while allowing 2 runs on 3 hits and 7 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.63 to move to 7-3 on the season. The Brewers got 7 hits for the game as Christian Yelich (1-3) had an RBI while Jesus Aguilar (0-3) also had an RBI in the win. Eric Kratz and Tyler Saladino also had an RBI each while Hernan Perez was 3-4 with 2 RBI’s on the night. Ozzie Albies was 2-3 for the Braves with an RBI in the loss. The Brewers cashed in on the money line as underdogs (+100) while the over was the play in that the total was set at 8.5 runs for the game. The Brewers would also go on to win game 2 by a 5-4 score on 7-6-2018.
The Marlins imploded in game 1 of a 3-game set against the Washington Nationals on 7-5-2018 and lost by a 14-12 score. The Nats cashed in on the money line as favorites (-200) while the over was the play in that the total was set at 9 runs for the game. Jeremy Hellickson got the no decision as he went 4 innings allowing 9 runs on 9 hits, 2 homers, and 2 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.81. His counterpart on the mound, Pablo Lopez, was also terrible on this day as he only lasted 5 innings while allowing 5 runs on 5 hits, 1 homer, and 3 strikeouts with an ERA of 5.73. The Nationals had 12 hits for the game with Matt Adams going 4-5 while Michael A. Taylor went 2-3 in the come from behind victory. Juan Soto was 2-4 with 3 RBI’s while Trea Turner was the man of the evening as he went 3-5 bringing in 8 RBI’s in the victory. Brian Anderson, Justin Bour, and Martin Prado had 2 hits apiece for the Marlins with 3 RBI’s each in defeat. The Marlins would not surrender as many runs in game 2, yet, the result would be the same as they were 3-2 losers to go down 0-2 in the 4-game weekend set.
Milwaukee Brewers 's Latest Performance :
The Brewers have won their last 5 games to where the O/U was 3-2. Recently, the Brewers would go on to tie a 4-game home set versus the Cincinnati Reds on 7-1-2018. They would follow this up by sweeping a 3-game home set versus the Minnesota Twins on 7-4-2018. This momentum would translate into their next home series against the Braves as they would picked up wins in the first 2 games of the 4-game weekend series.
For the season, the Brewers are averaging 4.38 runs per game (16th) with a team batting average of .245 (16th), 114 homers (8th), and 68 stolen bases on the year (2nd). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.54 (4th) with 774 strikeouts (8th), along with 29 quality starts (28th).
Lorenzo Cain (.291 BA on 265 AB), Ryan Braun (.236 BA on 233 AB), Travis Shaw (.240 BA on 283 AB), and Christian Yelich (.286 BA on 273 AB) have been the most consistent offensive weapons for the Brewers this season.
Jhoulys Chacin (7-3, 104 IP, 45 R, 90 H, 7 HR, 44 BB, 83 SO, 3.63 ERA) has been a bright spot for this Brewer pitching staff this season. Brent Suter (8-5) has also been instrumental for the Brewers this season as he has pitched 93.1 innings while allowing 48 runs on 93 hits, 15 homers, 18 walks, and 78 strikeouts for the season.
Miami Marlins's Latest Performance :
The Marlins come into this matchup losers of 3 of their last 5 games to there the O/U was 2-3. Recently, the Marlins would win a 3-game home set versus the lowly Mets on 6-30-2018 despite losing 5-2 in the finale while following this up with a 3-game home series win against the Tampa Bay Rays on 7-4-2018. The Marlins would drop the first 2 games of a 4-game road set versus the Washington Nationals, though, with game 2 being a slim, 3-2 victory for the home team.
For the season, the Marlins average 3.74 runs per game (27th) with a team batting average of .242 (20th), 72 homers (29th) along with 20 stolen bases (29th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.72 (26th) with 713 strikeouts (21st) along with 30 quality starts (26th).
Starlin Castro (.297 BA on 350 AB), Brian Anderson (.284 BA on 345 AB), and Justin Bour (.235 BA on 295 AB) have been the offensive superstars for the Marlins this year. Derek Dietrich (.288 BA on 302 AB) and Miguel Rojas (.257 BA on 296 AB) have also been critical components to the Miami offensive attack.
Jose Urena (2-9, 99 IP, 47 R, 94 H, 9 HR, 23 BB, 81 SO, 4.18 ERA) have pitched the most inning for the Marlins this year.
How Milwaukee Brewers & Miami Marlins Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Brewers are 49-39 ATS while the O/U is 37-48-3. On the other hand, the Marlins are 47-43 ATS while the O/U is 45-43-2.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The pitchers for this series have not been named, however, it is a fact that the Brewers have truly heated up once again at a critical point in the season (before the All-Star Break). They have won 7 of their last 9 games where the offense has plated 43 runs during this time while the pitching staff has surrendered 39 runs during this time (12 of those runs came in a 12-3 road loss to Cincinnati Reds on 6-30-2018). In all, the Brewers look to continue their stellar play against an up and down Marlins team that have dropped 7 of their last 11. Miami is currently averaging 4.7 runs in their last 6 games while the pitching staff is allowing 5.5 runs to their opponents during this time. The Marlins have lost 5 of their last 8 home games while Milwaukee is only 5-5 in their last 10 road games, as their current winning streak has been the result of recent home matchups. In all, it will be interesting to see how the Brewers will choose to attack this off and on, yet, potentially dangerous lineup for the Marlins.
Against The Spread Selection: Game 1, 2, 3: Milwaukee Brewers
My reason for the pick :
While I believe that the Marlins will indeed come out to play in this matchup simply to get back on the winning track, I also expect the Brewers to play inspired ball in this series as well due to the fact that they would like to maintain their current spot within the NL Central division. The Cubs are also playing well at this point in the season, and the Brewers must be able to capitalize on series matchups against struggling opponents. With that being said, with so much on the line for the Brewers, I would expect them to grind out a victory in each of these matchups beginning on Monday in the opener. Besides, this Miami team has shown in the past that they can certainly be a dangerous team if given a bit of confidence. It is for this reason that the Brewers will need to set the tone early in which to better neutralize the currently inconsistent Marlins’ bats. Expect the Brewers to jump on this lineup for the Marlins while their offensive weapons will wear down the pitching staff for the home team to ultimately sweep the series.
Betting trends for Milwaukee Brewers :
- Betting Trends for Milwaukee Brewers
- The Brewers are 5-7 in last 12 road games
- The Brewers are 10-3 in last 13 games
- The Under is 4-2-1 in Brewers last 7 road games
Betting trends for Miami Marlins:
- Betting Trends for Miami Marlins
- The Marlins are 5-5 in last 10 home games
- The Marlins are 4-6 in last 10 games
- The Under is 5-2-1 in Marlins last 8 home games