St. Louis Cardinals (46-42) vs Chicago White Sox (30-59)Date : 07/10/2018
Time : 8:10 pm EST
Location : Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox
Game 1 of a short, 2-game set between the visiting St. Louis Cardinals and the Chicago White Sox will take place at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois, on Tuesday night beginning at 8:10 pm EST. The Cardinals continue to occupy the 3rd place slot within the NL Central division while the White Sox are in 4th place within the AL Central division. In their last outing, the White Sox were 12-6 road losers to the Houston Astros on 7-7-2018 to where the Astros would cash in on the money line as huge favorites (-370) while the over would be the play in that the total was set at 8 runs for the game. Charlie Morton (11-2) picked up the win for the Astros as he allowed 5 hits on 5 runs in 5.2 innings of work along with 8 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.83. Yoan Moncada and Omar Narvaez each had 2 hits while Narvaez had 3 RBI’s. Avisail Garcia was also 1-3 with 2 RBI’s in the defeat. James Shields (3-10) would suffer the loss for the Sox as he went 5.2 innings while allowing 8 runs on 10 hits, 2 homers, and 9 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.53. Yuli Gurriel went 2-4 with 4 RBI’s while Alex Bregman and Max Stassi each had 3 hits apiece with a combined 5 RBI’s.
The St. Louis Cardinals were 3-2 road winners versus the San Francisco Giants on 7-7-2018. The Cardinals would cash in on the money line as favorites (-125) while the under would be the result as the total was set an 8.5 runs for the game. St. Louis only obtained 7 hits in this game with Kolten Wong going 2-4 in the win while Francisco Pina and Carlos Martinez each were 1-3 with an RBI each. Finally, Dexter Fowler went 0-3 with an RBI. Carlos Martinez (6-4) would pick up the win for the Cardinals as he pitched 7 innings while allowing 1 run on 6 hits and 3 strikeouts with a 3.05 ERA. The losing pitcher was Jeff Samardzija (1-5) who returned from the DL to pitch 5 innings while allowing 3 runs on 7 hits and 3 strikeouts with an ERA of 6.42. Brandon Belt was 3-4 with 2 RBI’s in the loss for the Giants.
St. Louis Cardinals's Latest Performance :
The St. Louis Cardinals come into this matchup winners of 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 2-3. After being swept at home by the Atlanta Braves in a 3-game home set on 7-1-2018, the Cardinals won a 3-game road set versus the Arizona Diamondbacks on 7-4-2018. They would also take a 2-1 lead in a 4-game road set versus the San Francisco Giants on 7-7-2018 by picking up the slim 3-2 win.
For the season, St. Louis averages 4.34 runs per game (18th) with a team batting average of .244 (15th), 111 homers (10th) along with 31 stolen bases (25th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.67 (9th) with 730 strikeouts (20th) along with 40 quality starts on the season (10th).
Tommy Pham (.248 BA on 298 AB), Jose Martinez (.291 BA on 299 AB), and Yadier Molina (.278 BA on 212 AB) have been the most consistent batters at the plate for St. Louis this season. Marcell Ozuna (.275 BA on 377 AB) has also been solid at the plate for the Cardinals this year.
Miles Mikolas (9-3) has pitched 109.1 innings and allowing 35 runs on 96 hits, 8 homers, 17 walks, and 75 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.63. Michael Wacha (8-2) has 84.1 IP, 36 R, 68 H, 9 HR, 36 BB, and 71 SO along with an ERA of 3.20.
Chicago White Sox's Latest Performance :
The Chicago White Sox have lost 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 4-1. Recently, the White Sox would go on to win a 3-game road set versus the Texas Rangers on 7-1-2018, but, they would drop a 3-game road set to the Cincinnati Reds on 7-4-2018. They would go on to play horribly on the road against the defending champs, Houston Astros, in losing 3 of the first 4 games of the series by a combined score of 27-13.
For the season, the White Sox are averaging 4.02 runs per game (23rd) with a team batting average of .243 (19th), 96 homers (19th), along with 70 stolen bases (1st). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.96 (29th) with 659 strikeouts (28th) along with 36 quality starts this season (18th).
Tim Anderson (.248 BA on 311 AB), Yoan Moncada (.232 BA on 327 Ab), Yolmer Sanchez (.258 BA on 329 AB), and Jose Abreu (.259 BA on 340 AB) have been the offensive leaders for the White Sox this season. Matt Davidson (.228 BA on 241 AB) has also been an essential piece for the White Sox offense this year at the plate.
Reynaldo Lopez (4-6, 105 IP, 50 R, 94 H, 11 HR, 47 BB, 75 SO, 3.77 ERA) and James Shields (3-10, 119.1 IP, 66 R, 106 H, 15 HR, 47 BB, 85 SO, 4.53 ERA) have pitched the most innings this year for the White Sox.
How St. Louis Cardinals & Chicago White Sox Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Cardinals are 40-48 ATS while the O/U is 36-47-5. On the other hand, the White Sox are 46-43 ATS while the O/U is 41-43-5.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Miles Mikolas (9-3) will come to the mound for the Cardinals in game 1 looking for his 3rd win in 4 starts. In his last outing, he pitched 6 innings while allowing 2 runs on 7 hits in an 8-4 road win versus the Arizona Diamondbacks on 7-4-2018. This will be Mikolas’ first matchup against this Chicago White Sox lineup as he is 2-1 with an ERA of 2.39 with 9 strikeouts in his last 3 games. The Cardinals are now 3-4 in the right-hander’s last 7 outings while the under has been the play in 4 of this last 6 games. Mikolas has been credited with 12 earned runs in last 6 starts on 32 hits.
Mikolas will be opposed by Dylan Covey (3-4) who has struggled recently in being charged with 24 earned runs in his last 5 games on 31 hits with 6 homers. In his last outing, he pitched only 3.2 innings while allowing 6 runs on 5 hits in a 7-4 road loss versus the Reds on 7-4-2018. This will also be Covey’s first outing versus the St. Louis Cardinals as he is 0-2 with 3 strikeouts with a high ERA of 16.20 in his last 3 starts. The over has been the play in his last 3 starts while the team is 0-4 in Covey’s last 4 starts.
Luke Weaver (5-7) will oppose Carlos Rodon (1-3) in game 2. Weaver will be looking to win his 3rd game in 4 starts as he has been credited with 12 runs in his last 3 starts while the team is 4-2 in his last 6 appearances on the mound. The over has been the play in 5 of 6 starts for Weaver while he has also had problems giving up the long ball lately (6 in his last 4 starts). In his last outing, though, he was pretty solid in pitching 8 innings while allowing 2 runs on 2 hits, 1 homer, and 7 strikeouts in an 11-2 win over the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park on 7-5-2018. This will be Weaver’s first matchup against the White Sox, however, in his last 3 starts, he is 2-1 with an ERA of 5.89 with 21 strikeouts.
Carlos Rodon is coming off of an outing to where he pitched 6 innings while allowing 2 runs on 5 hits, 1 homer, 6 walks, and 6 strikeouts in a 4-3 road loss to the Houston Astros on 7-5-2018. In his last outing versus the Cardinals, he was horrible pitching 4 innings while allowing 7 runs on 7 hits, 1 homer, and 6 strikeouts in an 8-5 home loss dating back to 7-21-2015. In all, Rodon has been charged with 17 runs in his last 6 starts on 31 hits. The over has been the play in 3 of his last 4 contests while the team is 1-5 in Rodon’s last 6 outings at the mound. Rodon has also given up 4 home runs in his last 3 starts.
Matt Carpenter (1-2) and Yadier Molina (1-3) has had a little success against Rodon in the past while Dexter Fowler and Marcell Ozuna are a combined 0-5 against the lefty lifetime.
Totals Selection: Games 1 & 2: Over
My reason for the prediction :
With the over being the play in 9 of these 4 pitchers last 12 outings combined with the fact that both teams have either been doing great at the plate in getting hits and scoring runs or they are consistently given up runs to their opponents due to inconsistencies on the mound, I will play the over for this series in that the over has also been the play in 5 of St. Louis’ last 8 games overall while it has been the result of 7 of the last 9 for the White Sox. Again, each of the offense for both these teams are averaging less than 5 runs per game in their last 4, however, the pitching staff for the Sox have given up 23 runs in their last 2 outings while allowing 42 runs in their last 5 games. With that being said, I will certainly take my chances with the over in this instance, particularly, with a pitching staff struggling as much as the White Sox are at this point.
Betting trends for St. Louis Cardinals:
- Betting Trends for St. Louis Cardinals
- The Cardinals are 4-2 in last 6 road games
- The Over is 9-7 in Cardinals last 16 road games
- The Cardinals are 4-6 in last 10 games
Betting trends for Chicago White Sox:
- Betting Trends for Chicago White Sox
- The White Sox are 4-3 in last 7 home games
- The White Sox are 2-8 in last 10 games
- The Over is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 home games