Arizona Diamondbacks (53-45) vs Chicago Cubs (56-39)Date : 07/23/2018
Time : 8:05 pm EST
Location : Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs
Game 1 of a 4-game series versus the NL West’s Arizona Diamondbacks and the NL Central’s Chicago Cubs will take place at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois, on Monday night beginning at 8:05 pm EST. Chicago continues to occupy the top spot within their division while Arizona dropped to the 2nd place slot before the All-Star break due to losing 4 of their last 7 outings. In their last game on 7-15-2018, the D’backs suffered a 5-1 road loss to the Atlanta Braves. The Braves cashed in on the money line as underdogs (+110) while the under was the play in that the total was set at 8.5 runs for the game. The up and down D’backs lineup could only muster 5 hits for the game with Jon Jay going 1-4 with an RBI while Paul Goldsmidt, A.J. Pollack, and Jake Lamb each had a hit in the defeat. Patrick Corbin (6-4) suffered the loss as he lasted 6 innings while allowing 4 runs on 6 hits with an ERA of 3.24. Julio Teheran (7-6) got the much-needed win for Atlanta as he pitched 6.1 innings while allowing no runs on 4 hits and 6 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.00. Dansby Swanson was 2-3 with an RBI in the win for the Braves while Freddie Freeman, Nick Markakis, and Ozzie Albies each had a hit and an RBI. Arizona could come out of the break on a tear offensively, yet, losing at home to the Colorado Rockies by an 11-10 score on 7-20-2018.
The Chicago Cubs would be back in action against the St. Louis Cardinals on 7-19-2018 and would get the 9-6 home win on 7-19-2018. They would cash in on the money line as favorites (-151) while the over was the play in that the total was set at 9 runs for the game. Kyle Hendricks got the no decision for the Cubs in the win as he pitched 4.2 innings while allowing 3 runs on 9 hits, and 1 homer with an ERA of 3.99. The Cubs had 13 hits for the game with Victor Caratini and Jason Heyward each having 3 hits apiece with a combined 3 RBI’s in the win. Anthony Rizzo and Kris Bryant each had 2 hits with an RBI while Ian Happ and Ben Zobrist had a hit apiece with 2 RBI’s to their credit. Carlos Martinez (6-6) was the losing pitcher in this contest as he lasted 5 innings yet allowing 6 runs (5 earned) on 7 hits and a homer for an ERA of 3.39 in the defeat. Yadier Molina was 4-5 in the loss while Tommy Pham was 3-4 with an RBI in the loss. The Cardinals would tie the series in game 2 as they picked up the 18-5 win on 7-20-2018.
Arizona Diamondbacks's Latest Performance :
The Arizona Diamondbacks have lost 3 of their last 5 game to where the O/U was 1-4. Recently, after tying a 4-game home set versus the San Diego Padres on 7-8-2018, the D’backs would drop a 3-game road set against the Colorado Rockies on 7-12-2018. Despite losing the finale by a 5-1 score, Arizona was able to pick up a series win over the Atlanta Braves on 7-15-2018 to end the first half of the season on a winning note. The D’backs would, however, start off the 2nd half of the season in a losing way by dropping the opener of a 3-game home set by an 11-10 score to the Rockies.
For the season, the D’backs average 4.40 runs per game (16th) with a team batting average of .231 (28th), 107 homers (16th) along with 55 stolen bases (8th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.70 (6th) with 852 strikeouts (10th) along with 43 quality starts for the season (8th).
David Peralta (.289 BA on 349 AB) and Paul Goldschmidt (.278 BA on 360 AB) have been the offensive stars for the Diamondbacks thus far. Nick Ahmed (.226 BA on 314 AB) has also been solid offensively for Arizona this season.
Patrick Corbin (6-4, 122.1 IP, 44 R, 94 H, 11 HR, 35 BB, 149 SO, 3.24 ERA) and Zack Greinke (10-5, 121.2 IP, 44 R, 112 H, 16 HR, 23 BB, 124 SO, 3.18 ERA) have pitched the most innings for the D’backs this season while Zack Godley (11-6, 105.1 IP, 60 R, 108 H, 12 HR, 53 BB, 108 SO, 4.61 ERA) has also been solid on the mound thus far.
Chicago Cubs's Latest Performance :
The Cubs come into this game winners of 4 their last 5 games to where the O/U was 5-0. Recently, the Cubs would lose a 3-game road set to the San Francisco Giants on 7-11-2018, but, would recover in their next series against the San Diego Padres as they would sweep the 3-game set on 7-15-2018. The would fall to a tie in their current 5 game home set versus the Cardinals as they were blitzed by an 18-5 score on 7-20-2018 in game 2 of the set.
For the season, the Cubs are averaging 5.16 runs per game (4th) with a team batting average of .266 (2nd), 103 homers (19th) along with 46 stolen bases (15th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.72 (8th) with 787 strikeouts (22nd) with 36 quality starts on the season, good for 22nd in the MLB.
Kris Bryant (.283 BA on 290 AB), Kyle Schwarber (.249 BA on 273 AB), and Javier Baez (.289 BA on 349 AB) have spearheaded the Cubs offensive attack this year. Wilson Contreras has also been critical to the scoring attack with a batting average of .279 on 298 at bats. Anthony Rizzo (.248 BA on 322 AB) and Jason Heyward (.289 BA on 280 AB) have also been pivotal to the Cubs’ success.
Jon Lester (12-3) has been solid this year pitching 114.2 innings while allowing 46 runs on 99 hits, 15 homer, 46 walks, and 89 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.14 while Kyle Hendricks (6-8) has pitched 115 innings while allowing 54 runs on 110 hits, 18 homers, 32 walks, and 87 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.99 for the season. Jose Quintana (8-6) has pitched 97.2 innings while allowing 46 runs on 89 hits, 14 homers, 45 walks, and 87 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.96.
How Arizona Diamondbacks & Chicago Cubs Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Cubs are 52-43 ATS while the O/U is 45-48-2. On the other hand, the D’backs are 51-47 ATS while the O/U is 45-48-5.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Chicago continues to be on a winning high in being successful in 12 of their last 16 outings while the D’backs continue to not only lose, but, fall in the NL West division rankings as well. Arizona, thanks to their nonexistent offense that were averaging only 1.4 runs in their last 5 games before their 10-run burst in game 1 versus the Rockies, have dropped 7 of 12 and are desperately looking for some momentum in which to start the 2nd half of the season on a positive note. The problem is that Wrigley Field will be a difficult place in which to do this, particularly, with the Cubs being 29-16 at home this season. In fact, the Cubs are winners of 9 of their last 11 home games while the D’backs are 3-3 in their last 6 road games. This matchup will be interesting in that you have two squads trending in different paths, yet, seeking a series win in which to either further separate themselves as leader of the pack, or, to gain some ground in their respective division early after the break.
Against The Spread Selection: Games 1 & 2: Chicago Cubs
My reason for the pick :
With no pitchers being named for this matchup, once again, the total will be the focus of my pick in this matchup. One could say that when the D’backs pitching staff along with their offensive lineup are clicking, they really play well as in their last 5 wins, they surrendered an average of 2 runs per win while the offense put up 33 runs during this time. On the other hand, in their last 5 losses, they surrendered 45 runs (with 3 of these losses being on the road) with the offense only putting out 17 runs. With that being said, I fully expect the Cubs to take advantage of this inconsistent Arizona squad in games 1 & 2 by getting some convincing wins on the strength of their power hitters within their lineup. I will fall short of predicting the sweep, however, game 3 will certainly be interesting all the same.
Totals Selection: Game 3: Over
My reason for the prediction :
While the D’backs are 1-5 in their last 6 game 3’s of a series, the under has been the play in 5 of the last 7 game 3’s for Arizona. On the other hand, the over has been the play in the last 6 matchups for the Cubs while being the result in 6 of the last 7 game 3’s for Chicago, whom I feel will definitely have most of the momentum during this series. In all, I will take the over to be the play primarily during the entire series as the pitching staff for the D’backs, again, has been known to simply give up too many runs during their recent skid. This rejuvenated Cubs lineup will certainly take advantage of this flaw as they will certainly have some chances to score. Besides, the Cubs pitching staff, as solid as they may be, are no strangers to giving up runs as they were allowing opponents an average of 5 runs per game in their last 5 games prior to their 18-5 shellacking to the Cards on 7-20-2018.
Betting trends for Arizona Diamondbacks:
- Betting Trends for Arizona Diamondbacks
- The Diamondbacks are 6-4 in last 10 games
- The Diamondbacks are 10-4 in last 14 road games
- The under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games
Betting trends for Chicago Cubs:
- Betting Trends for Chicago Cubs
- The Cubs are 8-1 in last 9 home games
- The Cubs are 7-2 in last 9 games
- The Over is 6-3 in Cubs last 9 home games