Washington Nationals (47-49) vs Milwaukee Brewers (55-44)Date : 07/23/2018
Time : 8:10 pm EST
Location : Miller Park, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers
Game 1 of a 3-game set versus the Washington Nationals and the Milwaukee Brewers will take place at Miller Park in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on Monday night at 8:10 pm EST. The Nationals are in 3rd place within the NL East division while the Brewers occupy 2nd place within the NL Central. In their last outing, the Nationals were 6-1 road winners over the NY Mets on 7-15-2018 while cashing in on the money line as favorites (-139) while the under was the play with the total being set at 9 runs for the game. Jeremy Hellickson (4-1) picked up the win as he lasted 6 innings while allowing 1 run on 2 hits and 6 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.29. Matt Adams was 2-4 in the win for the Nats while Trea Turner was 1-5 with 2 RBI’s. Daniel Murphy was 1-1 with 2 RBI’s in the win. Corey Aswalt received the no decision for the Mets as he went 5 innings while allowing 1 run on 2 hits with an ERA of 5.64. With only 5 hits for the game, the Mets’ Jose Reyes went 2-4 with an RBI in the loss. The Nationals would go on to lose the opener of a 3-game home set to the Braves on 7-20-2018 by an 8-5 score.
The Brewers would lose their 6-straight contest before the break by losing 7-6 to the Pittsburgh Pirates on the road on 7-15-2018. The Pirates would cash in on the money line as favorites (-109) while the over was the play with runs being set at 7.5 for the game. Jhoulys Chacin was solid, yet, received the no decision as he went 5/1 innings while allowing 2 runs on 1 hit and a homer with an ERA of 3.68 for the game while Joe Musgrove also did not factor into the decision in this game as he pitched 7 innings while allowing 5 runs on 7 hits, 1 homer, and 5 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.08. Christian Yelich was 3-5 in the loss for Milwaukee while Brett Phillips was 2-4 with 4 RBI’s. Josh Bell and Corey Dickerson were each 2-5 for the Pirates while also having 2 RBI’s apiece. The Brewers would come out of the break by continuing their losing skid by dropping game 1 of a 3-game home set versus the red-hot Los Angeles Dodgers by an 8-6 score.
Washington Nationals's Latest Performance :
The Washington Nationals have lost 3 of their last 5 contests to where the O/U has been 3-2. Recently, after losing a 3-game road set to the Pittsburgh Pirates on 7-11-2018, Washington would go on to tie a 4-game road set against the NY Mets on 7-15-2018 by winning 6-1 in the finale. This momentum would not translate in the opener of a 3-game home set versus the Atlanta Braves on 7-20-2018 as they would drop the matchup by an 8-5 score.
For the season, the Nationals are averaging 4.35 runs per game (18th) with a team batting average of .244 (19th), 115 homers, (13th) along with 70 stolen bases (5th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.91 (13th) with 871 strikeouts (7th) along with 46 quality starts on the year (6th).
Trea Truner (.267 BA on 390 AB), Bryce Harper (.215 BA on 331 AB), and Michael A. Taylor (.239 BA on 280 AB) have been the offensive leaders for this Washington Nationals squad thus far.
Max Scherzer (12-5, 134.2 IP, 39 R, 87 H, 15 HR, 34 BB, 182 SO, 2.41 ERA) and Gio Gonzales (6-6, 101.2 IP, 44 R, 100 H, 10 HR, 48 BB, 92 SO, 3.72 ERA) have been the most consistent on the pitching staff while Tanner Roark (3-12, 114.2 IP, 64 R, 117 H, 15 HR, 43 BB, 98 SO, 4.87 ERA) have also been solid on the mound for the Nationals this year.
Milwaukee Brewers's Latest Performance :
The Brewers have lost their last 5 games to where the O/U was 3-2. Recently, the Brewers would fall in a 3-game road set to the Miami Marlins on 7-11-2018. The Brewers would then get swept in a 5-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates on 7-15-2018 to which they were outscored 28-15. They would begin the 2nd half of the season losing to the Dodgers by an 8-6 score.
For the season, the Brewers are averaging 4.34 runs per game (20th) with a team batting average of .245 (16th), 125 homers (10th), and 80 stolen bases on the year (1st). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.67 (5th) with 856 strikeouts (9th), along with 31 quality starts (28th).
Lorenzo Cain (.289 BA on 305 AB), Ryan Braun (.235 BA on 234 AB), Travis Shaw (.242 BA on 322 AB), and Christian Yelich (.297 BA on 323 AB) have been the most consistent offensive weapons for the Brewers this season.
Jhoulys Chacin (8-3, 115 IP, 51 R, 98 H, 8 HR, 47 BB, 88 SO, 3.68 ERA) has been a bright spot for this Brewer pitching staff this season. Chase Anderson (6-7) has also been instrumental for the Brewers this season as he has pitched 104.2 innings while allowing 46 runs on 82 hits, 19 homers, 40 walks, and 81 strikeouts for the season.
How Washington Nationals & Milwaukee Brewers Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Nationals are 45-52 ATS while the O/U is 39-56-2. On the other hand, the Brewers are 52-47 ATS while the O/U is 44-52-3.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The pitchers for either team during this series have not been named, so, I will concentrate on the total for this set. The Nationals have really stunk it up lately in losing 6 of 9 as the offense averaged a tad over 3 runs per game. On the other hand, their pitching staff has allowed 43 runs during this time. Most importantly, and, despite their pitching surrendering close to 5 runs per game, the under was the play in 5 of the last 8 for the Nats. The Brewers have been equally as miserable as they have dropped 9 of their last 11 outings where their offense has struggled, yet, averaged a tad over 4 runs per game during this time. The kicker is that the pitching staff for the Brew Crew has allowed 54 runs to their opponents in the midst of their slide. Add to this that the Nats gave up yet another 8 runs coming out of the break to the Braves while the Brewers gave up 6 runs in their 2nd half opener to the Dodgers, I really see the over potentially being the play against these two struggling squads in this early week series. While both offenses have struggled, I happen to believe that the pitching for Milwaukee has been much worse, which could afford an opportunity for an up and down Nationals offensive unit to gain some confidence in the form of runs during this set.
Totals Selection: Games 1, 2: Under/Game 3: Over
My reason for the prediction :
The Under has been the play in recent outings for Washington and in 2 of the last 4 for the Brewers. Most importantly, these offenses are struggling at this point in the season, which can potentially result in wasted opportunities against subpar and/or struggling pitching staffs. It is for this reason that I will back the under in the first 2 games of this set as I expect both squads to get warmed up to each other during this time. Again, on the strength of two inconsistent offenses, I totally expect there to not be many runs scored early on in this set, thus setting the stage for the finale on Wednesday.
Let’s not forget that both teams have hitters that could change the complexity of a game. With that being said, let us also not forget that the Brewers pitching, in particular, have struggled mightily recently against their competition. I happen to feel as if the Nats will take advantage of these struggles in a breakout game in the finale. While I will fall short of backing Washington in game 3, I see them performing well while I also envision the Brewers performing well in front of their home crowd with this being their last home set before embarking upon an 8-game, 2-city road trip against the Giants and Dodgers.
Betting trends for Washington Nationals:
- Betting Trends for Washington Nationals
- The Nationals are 3-6 in last 9 road games
- The Nationals are 6-8 in last 14 games
- The under is 7-2 in Nationals last 9 road games
Betting trends for Milwaukee Brewers:
- Betting Trends for Milwaukee Brewers
- The Brewers are 7-10 in last 17 games
- The Brewers are 7-2 in last 9 home games
- The Over is 5-3 in Brewers last 8 home games