San Francisco Giants (51-49) vs Seattle Mariners (59-40)Date : 07/24/2018
Time : 10:10 pm EST
Location : SafeCo Field, Seattle, Washington
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners
Game 1 of a 2-game set versus the San Francisco Giants and the Seattle Mariners will take place at Safeco Field in Seattle, Washington, on Tuesday night beginning at 10:10 pm EST. The Giants are currently in 4th place within the NL West division while the Mariners occupy 2nd place within the AL West division. In their last outing, the Giants were 4-3 road losers to the Oakland A’s to tie their current 3-game set on 7-21-2018. The A’s cashed in on the money line as favorites (-134) while the under was the play with the total being set at 7.5 runs for the game. The Giants only had 6 hits for the game with Hunter Pence going 3-5 with 2 RBI’s while Brandon Belt was 1-4 with an RBI in the loss. Madison Bumgarner got the no decision as he went 4 innings yet allowing 3 runs on 2 hits, 6 walks, and 5 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.19. On the other hand, Trevor Cahill had a decent night pitching 5.2 innings while allowing 1 run on 2 hits along with 1 homer and 5 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.95, yet, also received the no decision in the win. Matt Chapman went 3-5 for the A’s while Josh Phegley and Marcus Semien each were 0-2 with an RBI in the victory. The loss was the 3rd in 4 outings for San Francisco.
In their last outing, the Mariners were 5-0 home losers to the Chicago White Sox on 7-21-2018 to where the Sox would cash in on the money line as heavy underdogs (+175) while the under being the play in that the total number of runs were set at 8.5 runs for the game. Dylan Covey (4-5) picked up the win for the visitors as he pitched 8.1 solid innings while allowing no runs on only 2 hits and 5 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.95 for the game. Dee Gordon and Jean Segura each went 1-4 in the loss for the Mariners, their 3rd home loss in 5 games. Felix Hernandez (8-8) suffered the loss as he went 5 innings while allowing 4 runs on 5 hits, 1 homer, and 7 strikeouts with an ERA of 5.14. Avisail Garcia only had 1 hit for the game, yet, drove in 3 RBI’s in the win for the Sox.
San Francisco Giants's Latest Performance :
The Giants come into this matchup losers of 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 1-3-1. Recently, the Giants would pick up a huge series at home against the Chicago Cubs on 7-11-2018 while following this up with a 3-game home loss to the red-hot Oakland Athletics on 7-15-2018 to end the 1st half of the season (losing 2-straight). They would eventually come out of their mini-funk in the opener of a 3-game set against their cross-town rival in winning 5-1, however, Oakland would tie the series with a 4-3 win on 7-21-2018.
For the season, the Giants are averaging 4.07 runs per game (23rd) with a team batting average of .251 (12th), 94 homers (25th) along with 39 stolen bases (22nd). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.97 (14th) with 784 (23rd) along with 42 quality starts (15th).
Brandon Belt (.287 BA on 300 AB) and Buster Posey (.286 BA on 308 AB) have been the most consistent hitters for the Giants this year. Andrew McCutchen (.260 BA on 358 AB) and Brandon Crawford (.288 BA on 337 AB) has also been solid at the plate for San Francisco.
Chris Stratton (8-6, 96.2 IP, 57 R, 103 H, 11 HR, 36 BB, 70 SO, 4.93 ERA) has been the most consistent pitcher on the mound for the Giants this season. Derek Holland (5-8, 4.06 ERA, 102 IP, 50 R, 95 H, 13 HR, 38 BB, 105 K’s) has also been serviceable in the Giants rotation as they have had to deal with injuries related to their top-level pitchers all season.
Seattle Mariners's Latest Performance :
The Mariners have lost 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 1-4. Recently, the Mariners would not only lose a 3-game road set to division foe Los Angeles Angels on 7-12-2018 in losing the finale by an 11-2 score, they would go on the be swept in a 3-game interleague road set versus the Colorado Rockies right before the break on 7-15-2018. After winning game 1 versus the White Sox by a 3-1 score, the Mariners would fall in game 2 by a 5-0 final to tie the 3-game set.
For the season, the Mariners are averaging 4.19 runs per game (21st) with a team batting average of .267 (8th), 110 homers (15th) along with 53 stolen bases (13th). Their pitching staff possesses an ERA of 4.02 (15th) with 834 strikeouts (17th) along with 46 quality starts (5th).
Dee Gordon (.290 BA on 369 AB), Jean Segura (.322 BA on 379 AB), and Mitch Haniger (.271 BA on 351 AB) have been solid at the plate for the Mariners thus far. Kyle Seager (.232 BA on 379 AB) has also been pivotal to Seattle’s success this season.
Mike Leake (8-6) has pitched 121.2 innings while allowing 63 runs on 132 hits, 16 homers, 29 walks, and 75 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.22 while James Paxton (8-4) has pitched 119.1 innings while allowing 49 runs on 97 hits, 16 homers, 33 walks, and 165 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.70 for the season. Finally, Felix Hernandez (8-8) has pitched 110.1 innings this year while allowing 68 runs on 113 hits, 16 homers, 38 walks, and 94 strikeouts with an ERA of 5.14.
How San Francisco Giants & Seattle Mariners Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Giants are 53-47 ATS while the O/U is 46-50-4. On the other hand, the Mariners are 50-49 ATS while the O/U is 47-50-2.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Andrew Suarez (3-6) will come to the mound for the Giants in the opener as he will be looking to clean up his performance after a 6-2 home loss to the Oakland A’s on 7-15-2018 where he pitched 5 innings while allowing 4 runs on 4 hits and 5 strikeouts. Prior to this game, Suarez would only be credited with 4 earned runs on 23 hits while the team is 2-3 in his last 5 outings. The under has been the result in 4 of Suarez’ last 5 starts. This will be his first matchup against the Mariners, yet, in his last 3 games, Suarez is 0-2 with an ERA of 3.00 with 16 strikeouts.
Suarez will be opposed by James Paxton (8-4) as he will be looking to halt a 2-game skid. In his last outing, Paxton lasted .2 innings while allowing 3 runs on 3 hits and 2 homers in an 11-2 road loss versus the Los Angeles Angels on 7-12-2018. This will also be Paxton’s first look at this Giants lineup, however, he has had experience facing Andrew McCutchen (1-3) and Pablo Sandoval (0-3). In his last 6 outings, Paxton is credited with 19 earned runs on 32 hits with 7 homers. Seattle is 2-3 in the lefty’s last 5 starts while the under has been the play in 4 of his last 5 appearances on the mound. Furthermore, Paxton is 1-2 with an ERA of 4.02 with 21 strikeouts in his last 3 outings.
The pitcher for the Giants in game 2 has not been announced, however, Mike Leake (8-6) will come to the mound for the Mariners looking to end a rough patch of outings that he has experienced recently. In his last start, Leake pitched 6 innings while allowing 2 runs on 6 hits in a 4-3 road loss versus the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on 7-15-2018. In his last outing versus the Giants, Leake, then with the St. Louis Cardinals, put in 6 innings of work while allowing 2 runs on 7 hits in a 3-2 road loss. Eleven earned runs on 32 hits with 3 homers is what has been credited to the right-hander’s season resume in his last 4 games while the team is 2-4 in Leake’s last 6 appearances. The over is 5-3 in the righty’s last 8 outings.
Aside from Buster Posey having a .182 batting average on 11 at bats, Leake has been owned by the Giants lineup in the past as Brandon Belt (.600 BA on 5 AB), Brandon Crawford (.455 BA on 11 AB), Nick Hundley (1-2), Andrew McCutchen (.319 BA on 47 AB), Hunter Pence (.417 BA on 12 AB), and Pablo Sandoval (.500 BA on 6 AB) have truly had a solid amount of success lifetime against him.
Against The Spread Selection: Games 1 & 2: San Francisco Giants
My reason for the pick :
As we know, Suarez was plastered by Oakland in his last outing just a few days ago, however, to his credit, Suarez, in his 8 games prior to his last start, only allowed 12 earned runs on 46 hits with only 3 homers and 45 strikeouts. Another interesting stat is that Suarez, in his last 10 starts, suffered a loss of 2 runs or less in 8 of those contests. Paxton, on the other hand, has struggled in his last few outings, particularly, in giving up the long ball (8 in his last 7 starts). Expect both games to be competitive, however, due to a struggling Giants offense that tends to struggle at times combined with a Seattle lineup averaging only 1.7 runs in their last 4 outings, I see the Giants fighting this out for 9 innings (or more) in which to get the low-scoring, yet, all-important win early in the series in game 1 while also capitalizing on their success against Leake in which to pull out yet another victory in game 2. In all, the Giants, looking to gain some ground in their respective division, may be getting Seattle at a great time (as they have lost 8 of their last 11, 4 of their last 7 home games) and will certainly benefit due to their recent inconsistent play to sweep the M’s at home in a short set.
Betting trends for San Francisco Giants:
- Betting Trends for San Francisco Giants
- The Giants are 5-8 in last 13 games
- The Giants are 5-8 in last 13 road games
- The Under is 8-1 in Giants last 9 road games
Betting trends for Seattle Mariners:
- Betting Trends for Seattle Mariners
- The Mariners are 7-8 in last 15 games
- The Mariners are 6-3 in last 9 home games
- The Under is 10-7-2 in Mariners last 19 home games