Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins 7-26-2018




Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins 7-26-2018

Washington Nationals (48-50) vs Miami Marlins (43-59)

Date : 07/26/2018
Time : 7:10 pm EST
Location : Marlins Park, Miami, Florida

Pick, Prediction, & Preview:

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Game 1 of a 4-game set between the visiting Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins will take place at Marlins Park in Miami, Florida, on Thursday night beginning at 7:10 pm EST.  The Nationals are in 3rd place within the NL East while the Marlins occupy the 4th place slot within the division.  In their second to last outing, the Marlins were winners of a 3-game road set versus the Rays, despite losing the finale by a 6-4 score on 7-22-2018.  The Rays would cash in on the spread as favorites (-166) while the over was the play in that the total was set at 7.5 runs for the game.  Martin Prado and Miguel Rojas were each 2-4 while Rojas having 2 RBI’s for the night while Trevor Richards received the no decision as he pitched 6.2 innings while allowing 1 run on 3 hits and 6 strikeouts with a 4.41 ERA.  Chris Archer also received the no decision as he lasted 6 innings while allowing 4 runs on 8 hits and 13 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.30.  Daniel Robertson was 1-4 with 4 RBI’s for Tampa Bay in the win.

The loss seemed to send the Marlins into a mini-spiral as they would drop the opener of a 2-game home set versus the Atlanta Braves by a 12-1 score on 7-23-2018 where Sean Newcomb (9-5) would be fantastic in pitching 6 innings while allowing 1 run on 4 hits and a homer with a 3.41 ERA.  Jose Urena (2-10) would get the loss for Miami as he lasted only 4 innings while giving up 5 runs on 6 hits and 2 homers with an ERA of 4.63 for the game.  Charlie Culberson would go 4-6 with 3 RBI’s in the win for the Braves while Cameron Maybin would go 2-3 in the loss for the Marlins, their 2nd straight loss.

The Nationals would tie a home series set with the Braves by winning 6-2 on 7-22-2018, with game 2 of the series being postponed.  The Nationals would cash in on the money line (-200) while the over was the play with total runs set at 7.5 for the game.  Max Scherzer (13-5) was the winning pitcher going 6 innings while allowing 2 runs on 6 hits with 7 strikeouts for an ERA of 2.43.  Washington had 15 hits for the game with Adam Eaton and Juan Soto going 3-4 each while Bryce Harper and Anthony Rendon getting 2 hits apiece with 2 RBI’s in the win.  The losing pitcher for the Braves was Mike Foltynewicz (7-6) who lasted 5.2 innings while allowing 4 runs on 9 hits and 5 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.85 in the loss.  For the Braves, Charlie Culberson, Ender Inciarte, and Ronald Ocuna, Jr. each had 3 hits apiece while Dansby Swanson was 1-4 with 2 RBI’s.  Even with the win, the Nats have lost 6 of their last 10 games.

Nonetheless, the Nats would travel to Miller Park for their next series, a 3-game set, to where they would lose 6-1 in the opener on 7-23-2018.  The Brewers would cash in on the money line (-101) while the under was the play with total runs being set at 9 for the game.  Gio Gonzales (6-7) took the loss for the Nationals as he pitched 5.2 innings while allowing 5 runs on 6 hits and 5 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.94 while Jhoulys Chacin (9-3) picked up yet another win for the Brewers in going 5.2 innings while allowing 1 run on 2 hits, 1 homer, and 9 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.58.  With only 5 hits for the game, Anthony Rendon was 2-4 while Daniel Murphy was 1-4 with an RBI in defeat for Washington while the struggling Brewers only had 7 hits with Christian Yelich going 1-4 with 3 RBI’s while Erik Kratz was 0-2 with 2 RBI’s in the win for the Brew Crew.

Washington Nationals's Latest Performance :

The Washington Nationals have lost 3 of their last 5 contests to where the O/U has been 3-2.  Recently, after losing a 3-game road set to the Pittsburgh Pirates on 7-11-2018, Washington would go on to tie a 4-game road set against the NY Mets on 7-15-2018 by winning 6-1 in the finale.  In their following series, they would also tie a 3-game home set versus the Atlanta Braves on 7-22-2018 as they would drop the finale by an 6-2 score.

For the season, the Nationals are averaging 4.33 runs per game (20th) with a team batting average of .245 (17th), 117 homers, (13th) along with 71 stolen bases (5th).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.92 (12th) with 888 strikeouts (9th) along with 47 quality starts on the year (6th).

Trea Truner (.263 BA on 399 AB), Bryce Harper (.215 BA on 338 AB), and Michael A. Taylor (.238 BA on 282 AB) have been the offensive leaders for this Washington Nationals squad thus far.  Anthony Rendon (.289 BA on 304 AB) has also heated up lately for the Nats.

Max Scherzer (13-5, 140.2 IP, 41 R, 95 H, 15 HR, 35 BB, 189 SO, 2.43 ERA) and Gio Gonzales (6-7, 107.1 IP, 49 R, 106 H, 10 HR, 53 BB, 99 SO, 3.94 ERA) have been the most consistent on the pitching staff while Tanner Roark (3-12, 114.2 IP, 64 R, 117 H, 15 HR, 43 BB, 98 SO, 4.87 ERA) have also been solid on the mound for the Nationals this year.

 

Miami Marlins's Latest Performance :

The Marlins come into this matchup winners of 3 of their last 5 games to there the O/U was 4-1.  After tying a 4-game road set at Citi Field against the NY Mets just before the break, the Nationals would also go on to tie a 3-game home set versus the Braves due to game 2 being postponed due to weather conditions in the area.  The Nationals would also fall in game 1 of a 3-game road set against the reeling Brewers and would suffer the 6-1 loss, their 7th in 11 contests.

For the season, the Marlins average 3.82 runs per game (27th) with a team batting average of .244 (18th), 84 homers (28th) along with 29 stolen bases (28th).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.78 (26th) with 820 strikeouts (20th) along with 36 quality starts (24th).

Starlin Castro (.288 BA on 400 AB), Brian Anderson (.280 BA on 393 AB), and Justin Bour (.234 BA on 333 AB) have been the offensive superstars for the Marlins this year.  Derek Dietrich (.287 BA on 341 AB) and Miguel Rojas (.258 BA on 329 AB) have also been critical components to the Miami offensive attack.

Jose Urena (2-10, 112.2 IP, 59 R, 111 H, 12 HR, 30 BB, 93 SO, 4.63 ERA) have pitched the most inning for the Marlins this year.

How Washington Nationals & Miami Marlins Matchup.

Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:

For the season, the Nationals are 46-53 ATS while the O/U is 40-57-2.  On the other hand, the Marlins are 54-48 ATS while the O/U is 53-47-2.

In-Depth Analysis of each team:

The pitchers for the Nationals during have not been assigned for this series, however, for games 1 & 2, the Marlins will bring to the mound Dan Straily and Pablo Lopez.  Straily (4-4) will get the start in the opener and looks for his 2nd straight win after allowing 1 run on 4 hits in 7 innings in his last outing, a 6-5 road win versus the Rays, on 7-20-2018.  The right-hander is credited with 4 earned runs on 13 hits in his last 3 starts while the team is 3-2 in his last 5 starts.  The over has been the play in 5 of his last 7 appearances on the mound.  In his last outing versus the Nats, he lasted 6 innings while allowing 2 runs on 5 hits in a 3-2 road loss on 7-6-2018.  Straily has a 1.89 ERA in his last 3 games with 11 strikeouts.

Wilmer Difo (2-6), Adam Eaton (2-4), Mark Reynolds (1-3), Matt Wieters (3-4), and Ryan Zimmerman (1-3) have the most success against Straily for Washington.  On the other hand, Matt Adams (1-10), Bryce harper (.154 BA on 13 AB), Daniel Murphy (.077 BA on 13 AB), Anthony Rendon (.143 BA on 7 AB), and Trea Turner (.125 BA on 8 AB) have struggled against the right-hander lifetime.  Spencer Kieboom and Juan Soto are a combined 0-4 against Straily in their careers.

Pablo Lopez (2-1) will come to the hill in game 2 also looking for his 2nd straight win after an outing in which he pitched 6 innings while allowing 1 run on 6 hits and 6 strikeouts in a 3-2 road win versus the Rays on 7-21-2018.  In his last outing versus the Nationals, Lopez was atrocious in going 5 innings while allowing 5 runs on 5 hits and a homer in a 14-12 road loss on 7-5-2018.  In all, Lopez has 13 earned runs on 20 hits for the season along with 4 homers and 20 strikeouts.  The team is 2-2 in his last 4 starts while the over is 2-1-1 in his last 4 starts.  Lopez is 1-1 with a 5.29 ERA with 15 strikeouts in his last 3 outings.

Matt Adams (1-2), Juan Soto (1-3), Michael A. Taylor (1-2), and Trea Turner (1-3) have had some success against Lopez in the past.  However, Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy, and Anthony Rendon are a combined 0-6 against the righty lifetime.

I happen to think that the Marlins have a great chance at winning against the struggling Nationals with Straily and Lopez on the mound in the first 2 games of the set.  As stated, both these pitchers having been solid lately while each having a bit of experience and success facing this up and down lineup for Washington.  The bottom line is that the Nats are in a funk offensively and, unfortunately, as a team at this point, and will certainly be looking to gain some confidence leading up to increased momentum against this Miami Marlins staff.  On the other hand, Washington has an above average pitching staff and will be looking to neutralize the bats for the Marlins who have also been up and down, yet, are currently averaging 4.4 runs per game in their last 4 contests.  In all, it will be interesting to see if the Nats can somehow put together 9 solid innings on both sides in which to get a quality win while I will be curious to see how the Marlins perform after their interleague win versus in-state rival Tampa Bay last weekend followed by the thud they experienced in game 1 versus the Braves.

Against The Spread Selection: Games 1 & 2: Miami Marlins

My reason for the pick :

Again, the Washington lineup has struggled, particularly, on the road where they are currently putting up an average of 3.7 runs per game in their last 13 outings.  On the contrary, they have been much better at home at the plate as they are averaging 5.6 runs in their last 10, primarily due to 32 runs being scored in 2 victories versus the Marlins this year.  Yes, the Nats have been dominant against the Marlins this year in winning 7 of 8 while getting the sweep at Marlins Park on 5-27-2018.  Nonetheless, during this time, the Nats were playing much better in winning 15 of their last 21 games entering this May series.  I happen to believe that both teams have played much different since then, as the Marlins have played much more consistently recently (7-3 in last 10 games).  I will take the Marlins to set the tone in the first 2 matchups of this series, thus putting Washington’s back against the wall, once again.

Totals Selection: Game 3 & 4: Over

My reason for the prediction :

I will play the over throughout this entire series as I feel as if the Nationals pitching staff will certainly do all in their power to neutralize this Marlins squad.  The issue is that the Nats pitching staff has given up more runs than usual lately (10 runs in 2 games versus the Braves) while also giving up 16 runs in a 4-game set to the lowly Mets in their prior series.  This simply means that both teams are surrendering runs to their opponents.  With that being said, I expect some runs to be scored throughout this series as well as the Nats will be looking to shake off the dust that has been accumulating due to recent losses while the Marlins look to somehow maintain their winning ways by taking their momentum into a series against a team that they would love to even the scales against, as it relates to wins and losses.

Betting trends for Washington Nationals:

  • Betting Trends for Washington Nationals

    • The Nationals are 7-11 in last 18 games
    • The Nationals are 3-6 in last 9 road games
    • The Under is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 road games

Betting trends for Miami Marlins:

  • Betting Trends for Miami Marlins

    • The Marlins are 7-3 in last 10 games
    • The Marlins are 8-4 in last 12 home games
    • The Under is 8-5-1 in Marlins last 14 home games

Falepa

A sports analyst and enthusiast, Filipa enjoys writing articles for NHL, NBA, NCAAB, and, of course, for NCAAF. In addition, he enjoys the true art of breaking down games in such as way as to locate certain trends that can impact future contests. With a willingness to research, construct, and relay information that any reader can understand, Filipa aims to provide the reader with interesting & indepth knowledge for upcoming sporting events.