Tampa Bay Rays (57-56) vs Toronto Blue Jays (51-61)Date : 08/10/2018
Time : 7:07 pm EST
Location : Rodgers Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays
Game 1 of a 3-game AL East showdown between the visiting Tampa Bay Rays and the Toronto Blue Jays will take place on Friday night at Rodgers Centre in Toronto, Ontario, Canada, beginning at 7:07 pm EST. The Rays continue to hold down the 3rd spot within the division while the Jays are in the 4th place slot. In their last outing, the Blue Jays would lose game 1 of a 3-game home set versus the Boston Red Sox on 8-7-2018 by a 10-7 score. The Red Sox would cash in on the money line (-103) while the over was the play with total runs being set at 9.5 runs for the game. Marcus Stroman was solid on the mound in pitching 7 innings while allowing only 1 run on 2 hits and 4 strikeouts with a 5.20 ERA for the game, yet, suffered the no decision while Drew Pomeranz also picked up the no decision as he lasted only 4.2 innings while allowing 2 runs on 4 hits and a homer with a 6.41 ERA in the outing. Toronto had 13 hits for the game as Luke Maile, Yangervis Solarte, Randall Grichuk, and Justin Smoak having 2 hits apiece with Smoak and Maile having 2 RBI’s combined while Kevin Pillar was 1-5 with 2 RBI’s in the loss. Mitch Moreland and Jackie Bradley Jr. had a hit apiece, yet, combined for 6 RBI’s in the win for the Sox while J.D. Martinez was 3-5 with 4 RBI’s for the night. The loss was the 2nd straight for Toronto and 5th loss in their last 8 contests.
In their last outing, the Rays would snap a 3-game losing skid by beating the Baltimore Orioles at home on 8-7-2018 by a 4-3 final score. The Rays would cash in on the money line (-170) while the under was the play with total runs being set at 7.5 runs for the game. Willy Adams went 2-4 with an RBI on the night while Jake Bauers was 1-3 with an RBI in the win for the Rays. Tim Beckham, Mark Trumbo, and Trey Mancini each had an RBI for the Orioles in the loss. Alex Cobb received the no decision for Baltimore as he pitched 7 innings while allowing 1 run on 5 hits and 3 strikeouts for a 5.55 ERA for the game while Tyler Glasnow lasted 4 innings while allowing 1 run on 2 hits, 1 homer, and 9 punch outs with an ERA of 2.57 in the win. Despite the victory, the Rays have lost 6 of their last 9 games, overall.
Tampa Bay Rays's Latest Performance :
The Tampa Bay Rays have lost 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 1-4. Recently, after sweeping the Los Angeles Angels in a 3-game set on 8-2-2018, they would go on to be swept in yet another 3-game home set versus the Chicago White Sox on 8-5-2018. They would end their losing streak in game 1 of their next series at home against the Orioles by winning 4-3 on 8-7-2018.
The Rays are averaging 4.20 runs per game (21st) with a team batting average of .254 (8th), 104 homers (26th), along with 75 stolen bases on the year (6th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.89 (14th) with 981 strikeouts (12th) and 30 quality starts (30th).
Mallex Smith (.300 BA on 317 AB), Joey Wendle (.289 BA on 318 AB) Adeiny Hechavarria (.258 BA on 217 AB) spearhead the offensive attack from the plate for the O’s while C.J. Cron (.248 BA on 383 AB) and Matt Duffy (.303 BA on 370 AB) are also critical to the Baltimore offense.
Blake Snell (12-5) has pitched 123 innings this season and allowed 33 runs on 83 hits, 13 homers, 49 walks, and 137 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.27.
Toronto Blue Jays's Latest Performance :
The Blue Jays are losers of 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 4-1. After being swept by the red-hot Oakland Athletics in a 3-game road set on 8-1-2018, the Blue Jays would go on to win a 4-game road set versus the Mariners, despite losing the finale by a 6-3 score. Of course, they would lose game 1 of their following series against the Red Sox at home by a 10-7 score.
For the season, the Toronto Blue Jays are averaging 4.52 runs per game (14th) with a team batting average of .244 (19th), 152 homers (7th) along with 32 stolen bases (28th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.70 (25th) with 938 strikeouts (18th) along with 42 quality starts on the season (23rd).
Kevin Pillar (.248 BA on 359 AB), Justin Smoak (.255 BA on 373 AB), and Yangervis Solarte (.236 BA on 424 AB) have been the offensive spearheads for the Toronto Blue Jays this season.
Pitcher Sam Gaviglio (2-4, 78 IP, 46 R, 85 H, 14 HR, 27 BB, 74 SO with an ERA of 5.08) has been the most consistent pitcher for the Blue Jay’s bullpen this year.
How Tampa Bay Rays & Toronto Blue Jays Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Blue Jays are 51-61 ATS while the O/U is 58-48-6. On the other hand, the Tampa Bay Rays are 63-50 ATS while the O/U is 49-60-4.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Pitchers for this 3-game set have not been determined, however, it would be important to mention some stats that will most certainly be critical in this matchup. I will start by saying that the Rays have dominated this matchup in 2018 in winning 4 of the last 6 matchups while the under has been 3-1-2. Furthermore, the under has been the play in 3 of the last 4 games for the Rays while the Jays have trended towards the over lately as it has been the play in 5 of their last 7 outings. This, in large part, is because the Blue Jays have essentially become a team that could either be scoring runs and pitching well, or, are pitching horribly while the offense is nonexistent. Nonetheless, it will be interesting to see how both teams, who have each lost 6 of their last 10, respond to their current skid on Friday. On one hand, the Jays have seemingly called in their season some time ago while the Rays hope to somehow pick up some wins to challenge the top tier teams in their respective division (Boston, New York) to somehow fall into a wild-card slot at the end of the year. In all, I see this as being a very competitive and low-scoring series throughout, particularly when you consider how both offenses have been up and down lately. The good news is that the pitching staff for both teams have improved in recent matchups as the Rays are allowing only an average of 3.3 runs in their last 6 while the Jays have surrendered a total of 22 runs in their last 5 games, a far better result from the 54 runs the Jays gave up in their 7 games prior.
Totals Selection: Games 1, 2, & 3: Under
My reason for the prediction :
Again, I see the under as being the play throughout this series, as it has been the result in 3 of the last 6 matchups amongst these 2 division foes in 2018. Combine this with the fact that both offenses have struggled recently with their pitching staffs continue to pick up the slack as it relates to the fall off in offensive production, this series will certainly be one to where limited runs will be scored. It would be important to note that this will be the 1st meeting at Rodgers Centre this year for these two teams where the Jays are 29-23-4 on the under while the Rays are 30-26-1 on the under on the road in 2018.
Betting trends for Tampa Bay Rays:
- The Rays are 3-6 in last 9 games
- The Rays are 2-6 in last 8 road games
- The Over is 6-2 in Rays last 8 games
Betting trends for Toronto Blue Jays:
- The Blue Jays are 5-8 in last 13 games
- The Blue Jays are 4-8 in last 12 home games
- The Over is 5-3 in Blue Jays last 8 home games