Miami Marlins (62-50) vs Atlanta Braves (47-69)Date : 08/13/2018
Time : 1:35 pm EST
Location : SunTrust Park, Atlanta, Georgia
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
Game 1 of a 4-game set, which will include a doubleheader on Monday, between the Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves will take place at SunTrust Park in Atlanta, Georgia, beginning on Monday afternoon at 1:35 pm EST. The Marlins continue to occupy last place within the NL East division while the Braves have regained the top spot within the division. In their last outing, the Marlins drop game 1 of a 3-game home set versus the NY Mets on 8-10-2018 by a score of 6-2. The Mets would cash in on the money line as slight favorites (-122) while the over was the play with runs being set at 7.5 for the game. The Mets would get 13 hits for the game as Austin Jackson and Amed Rosario each having 3 hits apiece with a combined 3 RBI’s while Wilmer Flores and Todd Frazier would each have 2 hits in the win. Kevin Plawecki was 1-3 with 2 RBI’s for the Mets in the winning effort. Zack Wheeler (7-6) would pick up the win as he would pitch 7 innings while allowing 2 runs on 4 hits, a homer, and 8 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.82 while Jose Urena (3-12) would suffer yet another loss as he would last 5.1 innings while allowing 4 runs on 8 hits and 3 punch outs with an ERA of 4.74 for the game. Miguel Rojas was 1-3 with 2 RBI’s in the loss for the Marlins, their 3rd straight.
The Braves would pick up the game 1 win over the Brewers by a 10-1 score at home on 8-10-2018. The Braves would cash in on the money line (-110) while the over was the play with runs being set at 8.5 for the game. Atlanta would collect 13 hits for the game with Johan Camargo going 4-5 with 2 RBI’s while Ronald Ocuna Jr going 3-5 in the win. Nick Markakis would go 2-3 with 3 RBI’s while Ender Inciarte was 2-5 with 4 RBI’s for the Braves. Kevin Gauseman (1-1) would get the win as he would pitch 8 innings while allowing 1 run on 6 hits and 8 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.77 for the game while Freddie Peralta (5-3) would suffer the loss as he would last only 3 innings while surrendering 7 runs on 7 hits for a 4.47 ERA in the loss. Mike Moustakas would go 2-4 for the Brewers in the loss while Jesus Aguilar would go 1-1 with an RBI. The Braves have now won 3 of their last 4 with the win while the Brewers are now lost 4 of their last 5 games, overall.
Miami Marlins's Latest Performance :
The Braves come into this game winners of 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U is 3-1-1. Recently, the Braves would win a 4-game road set versus the Mets on 8-5-2018, yet, would tie a 4-game road set versus the Washington Nationals on 8-9-2018. They would come out on a winning not against the Brewers as they would pick up the 10-1 home win on 8-10-2018.
For the season, the Braves are averaging 4.81 runs per game (7th) with a team batting average of .260 (3rd), 125 homers (18th) along with 63 stolen bases (9th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.83 (11th) with 1000 strikeouts (13th) along with 47 quality starts on the season (18th).
Freddie Freeman (.318 BA on 440 AB), Nick Markakis (.326 BA on 442 AB), and Ozzie Albies (.275 BA on 464 AB) have been the offensive stars for the Braves all season. Dansby Swanson (.237 BA on 354 AB) and Ender Inciarte (.252 BA on 433 AB) have also been consistent at the plate for the Braves.
Mike Foltynewicz (9-7, 124 IP, 47 R, 97 H, 14 HR, 51 BB, 145 SO, 2.98 ERA) and Sean Newcomb (10-5, 125.2 IP, 47 R, 92 H, 13 HR, 59 BB, 116 SO, 3.15 ERA) have been bright spots on the mound for the Braves this year. Julio Teheran (8-7, 122 IP, 62 R, 93 H, 22 HR, 61 BB, 111 SO, 4.48 ERA has also been serviceable for Atlanta in 2018.
Atlanta Braves 's Latest Performance :
The Marlins come into this matchup losers of 4 of their last 5 games to there the O/U was 1-2-2. After being swept on the road versus the Philadelphia Phillies on 8-5-2018, the Marlins would go on to lose game 1 of a 3-game set versus the lowly Mets on 8-10-2018 by a 6-2 score.
For the season, the Marlins average 3.72 runs per game (29th) with a team batting average of .241 (23rd), 95 homers (29th) along with 30 stolen bases (29th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.81 (26th) with 931 strikeouts (22nd) along with 41 quality starts (26th).
Starlin Castro (.282 BA on 450 AB), Brian Anderson (.283 BA on 449 AB), and Justin Bour (.227 BA on 374 AB) have been the offensive superstars for the Marlins this year. Derek Dietrich (.279 BA on 390 AB) and Miguel Rojas (.257 BA on 370 AB) have also been critical components to the Miami offensive attack.
Jose Urena (3-12, 129 IP, 69 R, 128 H, 15 HR, 37 BB, 104 SO, 4.74 ERA) have pitched the most inning for the Marlins this year.
How Miami Marlins & Atlanta Braves Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Braves are 59-54 ATS while the O/U is 56-52-5. On the other hand, the Marlins are 59-58 ATS while the O/U is 59-54-4.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Both these teams find themselves trending in different directions as one has recently reclaimed the top spot in the division while the other continues to occupy the rear of the division, overall. The Braves have had their way against the Marlins and while the pitchers for this matchup have not been assigned yet, I will certainly say that it would certainly seem that the Braves certainly have the inside track on getting the win in this series. In all, it will be interesting to see exactly not how the Braves return from their long road trip in which to gear up for their 11-game home stand while it will also be intriguing to see where the focus will be for the Marlins after going through a tough skid.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Atlanta Braves
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Braves in this matchup not only because they have played more consistently of the two squads, but, that they also have a successful record against their division foe in recent matchups. Atlanta, again, has regained the top spot in the division from the slumping Phillies and I am sure will use this opportunity in which to play with more focus and confidence now that they have fought themselves back into the playoff hunt. In all, I expect the Braves to come out motivated in this series to separate themselves from the other teams within the division.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over
My reason for the prediction :
While the Braves have been able to pick up some wins recently, their pitching has not been as effective lately. This could very well be due to the offense for Atlanta finally being able to consistently put runs on the board, however, for the Braves to continue their recent winning streak, their pitching staff must be more dependable moving forward. Nonetheless, the Marlins staff has not been much better in recent outings, so, when combining both these facts, I expect the over as being the play in this matchup.
Betting trends for Miami Marlins:
- The Marlins are 3-8 in last 11 games versus Braves
- The Marlins are 1-4 in last 5 road games versus Braves
- The Marlins are 2-7 in last 9 road games
Betting trends for Atlanta Braves :
- The Braves are 8-3 in last 11 games
- The Braves are 3-1 in last 4 home games
- The Under is 7-2 in Braves last 9 home games