Washington Nationals (60-55) vs St. Louis Cardinals (59-56)Date : 08/13/2018
Time : 8:10 pm EST
Location : Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals
Game 1 of a 4-game set against the Washington nationals and the St. Louis Cardinals will take place at Busch Field in St. Louis, Missouri, beginning on Monday night at 8:10 pm EST. The Nationals are now in the 3rd place slot within the NL East division while the Cardinals occupy 3rd place within the NL Central division. In their last outing, the Nationals would drop game 1 of a 3-game road set at Wrigley Field against the Chicago Cubs on 8-10-2018 as the Cubs would cash in on the money line as favorites (-134) while the under was the play with runs being set at 8.5 runs for the game. Kyle Hendricks was a bit shaky earlier on as he allowed 2 runs on 8 hits and 5 punch outs for an ERA of 4.02 for the game while Jeremy Hellickson was solid as well yet would also get the no decision as he would last 5.2 innings while allowing 2 runs on no hits with 3 strikeouts for an ERA of 3.54. Jason Heyward would go 1-4 with 2 RBI’s in the win while Anthony Rizzo was 0-1 with an RBI. Daniel Murphy would go 3-4 while Juan Soto and Adam Eaton would each get a hit with an RBI in the loss. The loss was the 3rd in 4 games for the Nats.
The Cardinals would beat the Kansas City Royals by a 7-0 score in game 1 of a 3-game set on 8-10-2018 to where the Cards (-157) would cash in on the money line while the under was the play with runs being set at 9.5 runs for the game. St. Louis would have 12 hits for the game as Jose Martinez was 3-4 with 2 RBI’s while Yadier Molina and Harrison Bader would each have 2 hits apiece with Bader having 2 RBI’s in the win. Austin Gomber (2-0) would pick up yet another win for the Cards as he would pitch 5 innings while allowing no runs on 4 hits and 3 k’s with a 3.45 ERA. On the other hand, Burch Smith 1-4) would get the win for the Royals as he would last only 1.2 innings while giving up 5 runs on 6 hits and 2 homers with a 6.97 ERA in the loss. Lucas Duda and Brett Phillips were 2-4 each for the Royals in the loss. The win was the 3rd straight for the Cards.
Washington Nationals's Latest Performance :
The St. Louis Cardinals come into this matchup winners of 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 0-4-1. The Cardinals would not only win a 3-game road set versus the Pirates on 8-5-2018 while also getting a 3-game series win over the Marlins on 8-8-2018. Finally, this momentum would carry over once again into their next series as they were 7-0 road winners over the Royals on 8-10-2018.
For the season, St. Louis averages 4.47 runs per game (16th) with a team batting average of .249 (14th), 145 homers (13th) along with 46 stolen bases (21st). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.78 (7th) with 943 strikeouts (19th) along with 51 quality starts on the season (13th).
Tommy Pham (.248 BA on 351 AB), Jose Martinez (.298 BA on 373 AB), and Yadier Molina (.288 BA on 319 AB) have been the most consistent batters at the plate for St. Louis this season. Marcell Ozuna (.269 BA on 439 AB) has also been solid at the plate for the Cardinals this year.
Miles Mikolas (12-3) has pitched 144.1 innings and allowing 48 runs on 129 hits, 9 homers, 25 walks, and 98 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.74.
St. Louis Cardinals's Latest Performance :
The Washington Nationals have lost 3 of their last 5 contests to where the O/U has been 2-2-1. Recently, after losing a 5-game home set to the Cincinnati Reds 8-5-2018, the Nationals would go on to tie a 4-game home set versus the Atlanta Braves on 8-9-2018 by picking up the 6-3 win in the finale. Finally, the Nationals would fall by a 3-2 score against the Chicago Cubs on the road on 8-10-2018.
For the season, the Nationals are averaging 4.56 runs per game (13th) with a team batting average of .250 (12th), 138 homers, (14th) along with 84 stolen bases (4th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.82 (9th) with 1027 strikeouts (9th) along with 56 quality starts on the year (7th).
Trea Truner (.270 BA on 4687 AB), Bryce Harper (.235 BA on 392 AB), and Michael A. Taylor (.241 BA on 315 AB) have been the offensive leaders for this Washington Nationals squad thus far. Anthony Rendon (.289 BA on 360 AB) has also heated up lately for the Nats.
Max Scherzer (15-5, 161.2 IP, 45 R, 106 H, 17 HR, 39 BB, 216 SO, 2.28 ERA) and Gio Gonzales (7-8, 125 IP, 57 R, 125 H, 13 HR, 60 BB, 111 SO, 3.89 ERA) have been the most consistent on the pitching staff while Tanner Roark (6-12, 136.2 IP, 66 R, 131 H, 16 HR, 44 BB, 118 SO, 4.21 ERA) have also been solid on the mound for the Nationals this year.
How Washington Nationals & St. Louis Cardinals Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Nationals are 57-59 ATS while the O/U is 47-66-3. On the other hand, the Cardinals are 53-63 ATS while the O/U is 52-58-6.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This will certainly be an interesting matchup as both teams are certainly playing well at a critical time of year, however, both the Phillies and CArds have some ground to make up in their respective divisions before they are able to feel a bit more secure about their playoff chances. With that being said, I can certainly see this matchup as being one that is very competitive and, for the most part, low-scoring. It will also be worth watching to see both pitching staffs go at it as they have certainly been the tip of the spear in allowing both squads to pick up some wins recently.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: St. Louis Cardinals
My reason for the pick :
The Cardinals are beginning to play like a team once again and while the Washington Nationals have done well in climbing back into the thick of things within the NL East divison, I will have to back the St. Louis Cardinals to win this series as they certainly seek to put some more wins under their belt in an effort to extend their play well into the offeseason. Again, I simply do not trust the Nats away from home lately while the Cardinals are beginning to prove their worth at a critical time of year.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under
My reason for the prediction :
Both these teams rely on solid pitching while obtaining effective and timely hits at the plate in which to score runs. With that being said, with the talent possessed on the pitching side for both teams, I would rely on the under to be the play for much of this series. In other words, at this time of year, intensity at the plate and, most importantly, at the mound is very, very critical. It is for this reason that since the over has certainly become the norm for both teams recently, i happen to believe that those trends will continue.
Betting trends for Washington Nationals:
- The Nationals are 9-5 in last 14 games
- The Nationals are 6-8 in last 14 road games
- The Under is 9-6 in Nationals last 15 road games
Betting trends for St. Louis Cardinals:
- The Cardinals are 7-3 in last 10 games
- The Cardinals are 5-2 in last 7 home games
- The Over is 6-4 in Cardinals last 10 home games