Cincinnati Reds (55-69) vs Chicago Cubs (71-52)Date : 08/23/2018
Time : 8:05 pm EST
Location : Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs
Game 1 of a 4-game set against the Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs will take place at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois, on Thursday beginning at 8:05 pm EST. The Chicago Cubs continue to hold on to the number 1 slot within the NL Central division while the Reds continue to bring up the rear at 5th place. In their last outing, the Cubs would tie a 4-game road set versus the Pirates after a 2-1 loss on 8-20-2018 to where the Pirates would cash in on the money line (-117) while the under was the play with total runs being set at 8 for the game. James Taillon would get the no decision for the Pirates as he would pitch 6 solid innings while allowing 1 run on 5 hits and a homer along with 8 k’s with an ERA of 3.58 for the game while Jose Quintana would also get the ND as he would pitch 5 innings while allowing 1 run on 4 hits and 4 k’s with an ERA of 4.36. Kyle Schwarber would go 1-1 with an RBI while Javier Baez would go 2-5 for Chicago, who only had 8 hits for the game total. Corey Dickerson would go 2-5 for Pittsburgh while Gregor Polanco would end the night with 2 hits and an RBI in the victory for the Pirates, their 2nd straight. For the Cubs, it was their 2nd straight loss.
In their last outing, the Reds were 5-2 road losers to the Milwaukee Brewers on 8-20-2018 to where the Brewers cashed in on the money line while the under was the play with total runs being set at 9 for the game. Homer Bailey (1-11) would, once again, receive the loss for Cincy as he would pitch 6 innings, yet, allowing 3 runs on 8 hits along with 2 homers and 6 k’s with an ERA of 6.21 for the game while Chase Anderson (8-7) would pick up the win for the Brewers as he would last 6 innings while allowing 2 runs on 2 hits, 2 homer, and 6 k’s for an ERA of 3.92. Jesus Aguilar would go 3-5 for the game while Travis Shaw would go 1-3 with 2 RBI’s. Keon Broxton and Manny Pina would combine for 3 hits along with 2 RBI’s in the victory for the Brewers. The Reds had only 3 hits on the night with Philip Ervin going 1-3 with an RBI while Eugenio Suarez going 1-3 with an RBI. The Reds halted a 3-game winning streak with the loss.
Cincinnati Reds's Latest Performance :
The Reds have won 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 1-4. The Reds would be swept in a 3-game home set versus the Cleveland Indians on 8-15-2018 only to sweep the San Francisco Giants at home in a 3-game home set on 8-19-2018. In their following series, they would come out flat versus the Brewers and fall by a 5-2 score on the road on 8-20-2018.
Jesse Winker (.299 BA on 281 AB), Scooter Gennett (.309 BA on 447 AB), Tucker Barnhart (.247 BA on 352 AB), and Joey Votto (.284 BA on 408 AB) have been valuable to the offense this year. Jose Peraza (.287 BA on 487 AB) has also been a pivotal piece on offense for the Reds.
Luis Castillo (7-10) has pitched 133.1 innings while allowing 77 runs on 133 hits, 22 home runs, 40 walks, and 129 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.86 and Sal Romano (7-10, 5.31 ERA, 123.2 IP, 76 R, 132 H, 21 HR, 47 BB, and 88 SO) have been the most consistent on the mound for the Reds in 2018.
Chicago Cubs's Latest Performance :
The Cubs come into this game winners of 3 their last 5 games to where the O/U was 1-4. Recently, after winning a 3-game set versus the Washington Nationals at home on 8-12-2018 while tying a short, 2-game home set versus the Brewers on 8-15-2018, the Cubs would tie a 4-game road set versus division foe Pittsburgh Pirates after leading the series 2-0 after the first to contests.
For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.93 runs per game (4th) with a team batting average of .265 (2nd), 121 homers (21st) along with 49 stolen bases (19th). Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.83 (12th) with 945 strikeouts (20th) with 44 quality starts on the season, good for 21st in the MLB.
Kris Bryant (.276 BA on 304 AB), Kyle Schwarber (.244 BA on 332 AB), and Javier Baez (.295 BA on 424 AB) have spearheaded the Cubs offensive attack this year. Wilson Contreras has also been critical to the scoring attack with a batting average of .275 on 326 at bats. Anthony Rizzo (.265 BA on 400 AB) and Jason Heyward (.279 BA on 351 AB) have also been pivotal to the Cubs’ success.
Jon Lester (13-5) has been solid this year pitching 140.1 innings while allowing 65 runs on 133 hits, 22 homer, 52 walks, and 113 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.72 while Kyle Hendricks (9-9) has pitched 144.2 innings while allowing 69 runs on 141 hits, 20 homers, 36 walks, and 123 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.11 for the season. Jose Quintana (10-9) has pitched 130 innings while allowing 66 runs on 121 hits, 20 homers, 57 walks, and 114 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.36.
How Cincinnati Reds & Chicago Cubs Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
For the season, the Cubs are 62-61 ATS while the O/U is 55-66-2. On the other hand, the Reds are 70-55 ATS while the O/U is 65-55-5.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
No pitchers have been assigned for this matchup for either team, however, I expect both teams to really get after it in this series. The Reds, despite their horrible season, have won 7 of the last 12 games of this series and have won 3 straight games after losing 4-straight. The Cubs continue to hold down the number 1 slot in the division despite losing 2 straight. In all, they stand at 7-5 in their last 12 games. Finally, the Cubs can also enter this series with some confidence against this Reds team as they took 2 of 3 earlier in the year at Wrigley on 7-8-2018. In all, this will indeed be an interesting series and one that will certainly not be a cake walk for the Cubs.
Totals Selection: Pick: Games 1, 2, 3, & 4: Under
My reason for the prediction :
While the over has been the tilt in the last 11 meetings between these two squads (6 of last 11 games), I happen to feel that this will be a tightly contested series, altogether. In other words, this series will be 4 low-scoring and competitive matchups to where both teams will be focused on putting some wins under their belts in which to finish the season strong, or, to cushion themselves from the other teams within the division. The under has been the play in 3 of the last 4 for the Reds while it has been the result in 6 of the last 7 games for the Cubs plating only 16 runs during this time. Expect runs to remain under its set total in this matchup in that both teams are very familiar with each other and will certainly match up well.
Betting trends for Cincinnati Reds:
- The Reds are 7-11 in last 18 games
- The Reds are 2-7 in last 9 road games
- The Over is 9-5 in Reds last 14 road games
Betting trends for Chicago Cubs:
- The Cubs are 9-6 in last 15 games
- The Cubs are 7-4 in last 11 home games
- The Under is 8-5 in Cubs last 13 home games