Baylor Bears (3-1) vs Mississippi Rebels (2-1)Date : 11/23/2018
Time : 9:30 am EST
Location : The Pavilion, Oxford Mississippi
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Baylor Bears vs Mississippi Rebels
The Baylor Bears will travel to The Pavilion In Oxford Mississippi, to battle the Mississippi Rebels on Friday night at 9:30 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. After beginning the season with a heartbreaking 72 – 69 home loss to Texas Southern, Baylor has cleaned up their act in winning three straight games with their last being a 81 – 54 win over the Nicholls State Colonels in their last outing on November 16th. While allowing Nicholls State to only shoot 32% from the floor, the Bears Shot 46% from the field for the contest while reserve Matthew Mayer led a balanced attack for Baylor with 18 points.
On the other hand, the Ole Miss Rebels have been up and down all season, however, were able to go over .500 for their 2018 campaign in picking up a 75 – 55 home win over the Colonels of Nicholls State on Tuesday night as the Colonels would once again struggled on offense in shooting 32% from the floor while allowing the Rebels to finish the game at 46% shooting for the night.
Baylor Bears's Latest Performance :
And stated, Baylor has won their last three games to where they have scored at least 80 points in each contest. On the other hand, the defense has allowed teams to score over 54 points only once this year in a 91 – 80 win at home versus Prairie View. Nonetheless, Baylor continues to play well at this point in the season as they continue to utilize a balanced scoring attack along with an aggressive defensive effort in which to pick up victories. In fact, the defense has been so solid lately that they allowed the Colonels to make only 19 – 55 shots for the game in the last outing while Nicholls State converted only 5 of 24 3-point attempts.
In all, the Bears have been not only stepping up their games on offense, but, they have also been rising their intensity level on the defensive end of the court as well. Look for them to utilize this type of philosophy versus a Mississippi team that seeks to remain on the winning track after going over .500 in their last matchup.
Mississippi Rebels 's Latest Performance :
The only loss for the Ole Miss Rebels in 2018 came on the road versus the Butler Bulldogs, which happens to be one of the better teams in the nation, in my opinion. Nonetheless, Ole Miss has worked their way back to being over .500 on the season with a huge, 20-point victory over the Nicholls State Colonels in their last outing on Wednesday night. Terrance Davis along with Bruce Stevens scored 14 and 13 points, respectively, for Ole Miss in the win as the team finished the game shooting 48% versus a dismal defensive effort for Nicholls State.
There was no such lack of effort for the Ole Miss Rebels as they allowed the Colonel’s to shoot only 33% for the night while allowing only 7 of 24 attempts from 3-point range. I happen to feel that Mississippi will certainly make some noise in the SEC this season, however, they must be able to continue winning on a consistent basis and a matchup with a Baylor Bears team that is currently brimming with confidence can be just the type of motivation that Ole Miss may need in which to accomplish their goal.
How Baylor Bears & Mississippi Rebels Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Baylor is 2 – 2 ATS while the OU is 1 – 2
Mississippi is 3-0 ATS while the OU is 2-1
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Look for this game to be one where both offenses will indeed struggle as they will be matched up against two defenses that are allowing teams to average 40% or under in shooting from the floor per outing. And while the offenses for both Baylor and Ole Miss have put some points on the board this year, expect both teams to come out looking to establish themselves on the defensive end early and often as they will certainly not want to allow either team to gain any type of confidence throughout.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Mississippi Rebels
My reason for the pick :
While the Baylor Bears have certainly stepped up their defensive presence this year while also putting more points on the board due to a balanced offensive attack, I will back the Mississippi rebels in this contest in that they are not only playing at home, but, they are seemingly the more battle-tested at this point in the season. In other words, while the Bears have played team such as Southern, Texas state, Prairie View, along with Nicholls State, the Bears have locked up against Butler and Western Michigan to begin the season while covering the spread in each of those games. Expect this matchup to be one where the home team will certainly pull away at some point as they will certainly make critical plays on both sides of the court in which to come out with the victory.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under
My reason for the prediction :
I will certainly pick the under in this matchup as both the Rebels and Bears, as stated, are not allowing teams to shoot well from the floor in 2018. It is for this reason that one should expect these teams to establish themselves on the defensive end to begin this game as they will certainly not want their counterparts on offense to begin to heat up. Again, both these teams are averaging a tad over 80 points per game as it will certainly take a solid defensive effort in which to ensure that the under remains a play. Nonetheless, I happen to believe that these defenses can certainly make this happen as the total will not surpass it set limit for this game.
Betting trends for Baylor Bears:
- The Bears are 3-5 ATS in last 8 games
- The over is 5-2 in Bears last 7 games
Betting trends for Mississippi Rebels :
- The rebels are 4-0 ATS in last 4 games
- The over is 5 – 1 in Rebels last six games