Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (2-2) vs UC Davis Aggies (1-6)Date : 11/29/2018
Time : 10:00 pm EST
Location : The Pavilion, Davis, California
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs UC Davis Aggies
The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks will travel to The Pavilion in Davis, California, to battle the UC Davis Aggies on Thursday night at 10 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. Northern Arizona has only played 4 games on the season and remain at .500 on the season after taking an 85-68 loss to the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors on November 18th as the Warriors went up by 16 points at the half while cruising to victory in the second in shooting 50% on the night.
On the other hand, the UC Davis Aggies were also losers as they fell to the Indiana Hoosiers by a 76 – 62 score on the road despite shooting 48% from the field along with 50% from 3 point range. It would be fair to note that the Aggies allowed Indiana to shoot 53% from the floor along with 55% from 3 point range for the night along with allowing them to go to the free throw line a combined 21 times compared to only four times for the Aggies.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks's Latest Performance :
Northern Arizona has been up and down on the season as their offense has struggled in their losses while shining in their wins. In their last outing, the team struggled mightily in shooting 41% from the night while going only three for 20 from 3-point range. Carlos Sainz led the team with 18 points on 7-13 shooting from the field while Jonathan Andre chipped in 14 points for the Lumberjacks in the 85-68 road lost to the Rainbow Warriors of Hawaii.
Defensively, Arizona allowed Hawaii to hit 10 three-pointers for the night while also shooting 56% from the floor as they were also heavily outrebounded by a 34 – 18 margin for the game. Again, Northern Arizona will only be playing his fifth game of the season and will certainly need to perform better on the defensive end as they are allowing over 80 points per game to their opponents; However, the Lumberjacks also have a need to improve on the offensive end as well as they lack the consistency, at times, to remain competitive in games thus far in 2018.
UC Davis Aggies's Latest Performance :
UC Davis has had a rough go of it lately in losing three straight games to where they failed to score over 62 points in either game. On the other hand, the defense is currently allowing opponents to score an average of 67 points during this time. In other words, while the defense has remained solid, for the most part, the offense for UC Davis has struggled mightily and will certainly need to improve if they are to take advantage of a Northern Arizona Lumberjacks squad that is allowing opponents to score 80 points per game in 2018.
In their last outing, the Aggies shot decent from the field while also going up by a slim 2 points at the half; However, Indiana outscored UC Davis 40 – 24 in the second half in which to take control of the game and seal the victory. UC Davis will certainly have to step up on both ends of the floor in this match up if they are to ink in another victory on the season.
How Northern Arizona Lumberjacks & UC Davis Aggies Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Northern Arizona is 2 – 2 ATS while the OU is 3 – 1
UC Davis is 1 – 6 ATS while the OU is 1 – 6
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Look for this to be an interesting game as you have two teams that are desperately looking for a win at this time of the season. Northern Arizona has the better offense in this contest, however has allowed teams to essentially score at will in 2018. On the other hand, UC Davis has been terrible on the offensive end while the defense has been much more solid, lately, due to their lack of the team’s offensive output. In all, expect for this to be a competitive show down throughout has both teams will bring their A-game in which to pick up the much-needed victory.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
My reason for the pick :
I have faith that the Lumberjacks will indeed pull out a win in this contest. And while their defense may not be the most stellar in the country at this point in the season, look for them to excel versus a dismal offense in UC Davis that has had trouble reaching the 60-point mark and three of the last four outings. Again, expect Northern Arizona to control the pace of this game throughout while picking up a huge victory in the meantime.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the over in this contest as I happen to see the home team actually putting some points on the board due to the lack of defensive prowess for Northern Arizona. On the other hand, the Lumberjacks will certainly put some points on the board in this matchup, despite the home team having a solid defensive unit, as a whole. With that being said, look for the total to surpass its limit for this matchup as both teams will benefit from going up against lackluster defenses that have a tendency to give up points in bunches.
Betting trends for Northern Arizona Lumberjacks:
- Under is 9-3 in Lumberjacks last 12 vs. Big West.
Over is 7-3 in lumberjacks last 10 road games.
Over is 7-3 in lumberjacks last 10 Thu. games.
Betting trends for UC Davis Aggies:
- Under is 8-1 in Aggies last 9 overall.
Under is 7-1 in Aggies last 8 non-conference games.
Under is 38-18 in Aggies last 56 home games.