Over/Under 3 Wins () vs Kansas Jayhawks ()Date : 09/01/2018
Time : First Game: Nicholls State Colonels @ Kansas Jayhawks 7:00 PM
Location : David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Over/Under 3 Wins vs Kansas Jayhawks
The David Beaty experience has not gone as planned for the Kansas Jayhawk football program as he enters 2018 with 3 seasons under his belt but a 3-33 record with only 1 win against an FBS team. No coach may be on the hot seat more than David Beaty especially considering the University of Kansas just made some big moves by hiring a new athletic director. If there was any hope for this program this season the main reason behind that is because they bring back over 90% of their production from last season on both sides of the ball which is good enough for 2nd in the nation. This football team will need about 3 or 4 upsets this season if they want any hope of making the postseason for the first time since 2008. Unfortunately for David Beaty, he will need a miracle at the quarterback position for the 4th consecutive year as the Jayhawks fail to have an answer for their revolving door at the most important spot on the field. The best news for the Jayhawks this offseason was the fact that they return a potential first-round pick in Daniel Wise who was in the air about returning for his senior season. One of the main reasons that David Beaty was hired by the Jayhawks in the first place was due to his recruiting abilities he showed at his previous stop in the SEC. Beaty once again had a solid recruiting class for only winning 1 game in the Big 12 over 3 years as he had the 8th ranked recruiting class in the conference with two 4-star recruits signed from the state of Louisiana.
Over/Under 3 Wins's Latest Performance :
The Kansas Jayhawks won their first game of 2017 against FCS foe in Southeast Missouri State but followed that up with 11 straight losses, something that has become the norm in Lawrence. David Beaty is on the hot seat under the new AD but oddsmakers feel like this team might improve slightly with the talent they return on both sides of the ball which is why they set the over/under at 3 wins which would be more wins than the previous 3 seasons combined.
Winless Once Again
The Kansas Jayhawks football program is night and day compared to their basketball program who is a national championship contender every year. The Big 12 is filled with a bunch of talented teams and unfortunately for the Jayhawks, they will end winless in the conference for a 2nd consecutive year. The road schedule in the Big 12 consist of Baylor, West Virginia, Texas Tech, Kansas State, and Oklahoma which will be a tough slate of games. The lone win against an FBS team in the Beaty era came against Texas back in 2016 and he will have a crack at them again as they will host the Longhorns to close out the 2018 season. If Kansas wants any hope of potentially cracking the over 3 win mark they will have to sweep their non-conference schedule which consists of Nicholls State which is an FCS team and then Rutgers and Central Michigan. As much as you would like to believe that the Jayhawks would beat Central Michigan it is an unlikely task especially after they got blown out at home last season, 45-27.
Kansas Jayhawks's Latest Performance :
Something that may have prevented the Jayhawks from ever hitting their stride the last few years is the fact that they have failed to have an answer at the quarterback position, something that won’t be solved once again. David Beaty is hoping his former JUCO transfer in Peyton Bender improves in his second year after he broke even with 10 touchdowns and 10 interceptions during his senior season. If Bender can improve his consistency in 2018 it should improve the offense as a whole as they have some solid weapons at both the running back and wide receiver positions. Khalil Herbert failed to stay healthy for most of the season last year but he showed flashes in the games he played in as he rushed for over 663 yards and 4 TDs, expect him to push 1,000 yards in 2018 if he can play all 12 games. The Jayhawks may also have another weapon to deploy this season in the ground game as they signed the #9 RB in the nation this past offseason in Anthony Williams. The Jayhawks have a legitimate NFL prospect at the WR position as 5’10 senior Steven Sims has constantly put up good seasons despite the QB struggles. Sims was the best pass catcher for the Jayhawks this past seasons as he posted an 839-yard season with an additional 6 TDs and on top of that, he can return kicks. A potential name that Big 12 teams should look out for this season is senior TE Marvin Saunders who transferred to Kansas from Florida State this past offseason due to the lack of TE use in their new offense. The Jayhawks defensively return some key pieces at every level of the defense that could potentially snag a couple of wins against the lower-tier Big 12 teams. The heart and soul of the Kansas Jayhawks defense is senior LB Joe Dineen who was a 1-man show last season as he had a team-high 133 tackles as well 22 TFL, he should match those numbers once again. Up front, David Beaty’s defense will be led by NFL prospect Daniel Wise who was a problem for opposing offenses as he had 16 TFL and a team-high 5 sacks last season. Dineen and Wise are both All-Big 12 selections and if the seniors want any shot of making their first and only bowl game they will need to have a big season. Last season the Jayhawks failed to create turnovers as they only had 4 interceptions but on the positive side of things, they will return both Mike Lee and Hasan Defense who had 2 interceptions each. Lee and Defense will be joined by a top-notch recruit in Corione Harris who chose the Kansas Jayhawks over the likes of Auburn, Florida, and Texas.
Player To Watch
Daylon Charlot, WR, Jr.
The Kansas Jayhawks may be able to get by with just Sims at the wide receiver position but they won’t have to especially if they can shape Daylon Charlot into the guy he was supposed to be out of high school. Charlot was one of the best recruits in the 2016 recruiting class and he signed with the big bad Alabama Crimson Tide but the 6’0 pass catcher failed to ever gain his footing under Saban. Charlot only had 1 catch last season which prompted a temporary move to the defensive side of the ball but given his potential at the WR position he has now moved back over to where he is comfortable. If Charlot can play like the 4-star recruit he once was this makes this offense a little more dangerous given the weapons they return. Expect Beaty who was a WR coach in the SEC to shape Charlot into a solid 300-yard pass catcher for the Jayhawks.
How Over/Under 3 Wins & Kansas Jayhawks Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Over 3 Wins -110
Under 3 Wins -110
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
9/1- Nicholls- W
9/8- @ Central Michigan- L
9/15- Rutgers- L
9/22- @ Baylor- L
9/29- Oklahoma State- L
10/6- @ West Virginia- L
10/20- @ Texas Tech- L
10/27- TCU- L
11/3- Iowa State- L
11/10- @ Kansas State- L
11/17- @ Oklahoma- L
11/23- Texas- L
Overall Record: 1-11
Against The Spread Selection: Under 3 Wins -110
My reason for the pick :
The Kansas Jayhawks are most definitely in trouble as a program especially when they will be looking for a new coach once again as they will fail to beat an FBS team for a 2nd consecutive season. The David Beaty era will come to an end when the Jayhawks start to pick up consecutive losses which will put this team into turmoil even more as they will play under yet another coach midway through the season. Kansas has some solid playmakers who could start on a handful of the Big 12 powerhouses but unfortunately for the Jayhawks, this isn’t golf as you need all 22 starters to show up for you day in and day out. The Jayhawks will fail to crack the 3 win mark as they will only win 1 game.