Over/Under 6 Wins () vs Kansas State Wildcats ()Date : 09/01/2018
Time : First Game: South Dakota Coyotes @ Kansas State Wildcats 7:10 PM
Location : Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Over/Under 6 Wins vs Kansas State Wildcats
The face of the Kansas State football program has been Bill Snyder as he has led this team to years of success ever since he became the head guy back in 1993. Snyder has been one of the most consistent coaches in college football in terms of making the postseason as they will be seeking their 9th consecutive bowl appearance this upcoming season. Kansas State will test the abilities of Bill Snyder this season considering he has 9 starters to replace as well as coordinators on both sides of the ball. Snyder elected to hire his new offensive coordinator from within the program which is good in terms of chemistry but former wide receiver coach Andre Coleman will have to find the right pieces to plug in especially at the playmaker positions. Defensively the Wildcats will be feeling the departures in their front 7 as they lost a most of their starters to eligibility which will prompt Snyder to plug in some inexperienced guys in those positions. Nowadays recruits commit to schools based on their relationships with coaches and although Snyder is a great coach he has lacked landing the big-time recruits over the years. The Kansas State Wildcats 2018 recruiting class was weak compared to the rest of the Big 12 as they ranked 9th in the conference with 0 4-star recruits signed. Although having the top-notch recruits on your team makes life a little easier we have gone to seen Snyder coach the guys he recruits into a winning football team, expect the same this year.
Over/Under 6 Wins's Latest Performance :
Kansas State has been one of the most consistent teams in the Big 12 in terms of making the postseason and Bill Snyder was able to show the Big 12 some fight last season as he led the Wildcats to a 7-5 regular season and a bowl victory over UCLA in the Cactus Bowl. Kansas State is missing a ton of key pieces on the defensive side of the ball which could potentially be a problem in an offense-first conference but oddsmakers know Snyder has the winning recipe which is why the over/under is set at 6 wins.
Seeking 9 Straight
The Kansas State Wildcats will take the field in 2018 under new direction on both sides of the ball which could potentially be dangerous if they fail to catch their stride. Kansas State has the advantage of breaking their youth in against an FCS foe as they will welcome in South Dakota state to start the season off but things will get sloppy in week 2. Manhattan Kansas has always been a tough place to play for opposing teams and the Wildcats will need that hype in week 2 as they will host Mississippi State in what will be a tough battle. The Big 12 schedule will be no walk in the park either as the Wildcats will play West Virginia and Texas in consecutive weeks as well as the Oklahoma schools. Kansas State will get to host their in-state rival in the Kansas Jayhawks on 11/10 which should add to their win total given the state of that football program. The final two games could potentially decide the fate of the Wildcats as they will host Texas Tech and travel to Iowa State, two games the might need to win to become bowl eligible.
Kansas State Wildcats's Latest Performance :
Kansas State played quarterback musical chairs last season as they had 3 different guys take starting snaps and with 2 of those 3 returning for new offensive coordinator Andre Coleman he will need to make a decision before September 1st on who will get the starting nod. Skylar Thompson and Alex Delton both have made their case to start this season as Thompson is coming off a 689-yard and 5 touchdown season and Delton rushed for 500 yards and 8 touchdowns last year from the QB spot. Delton looks like he has the edge to be the starting quarterback for Coleman because he can air the ball out just as good as Thompson as well as add a ground game beside their already stacked backfield. The backfield is led by junior RB Alex Barnes who is coming off a good season where he rushed for 819 yards and 7 TDs as a power back. Barnes could be a candidate to crack 1,00 yards this upcoming season especially if he sees more than the 146 carries he had last season. The wide receiver position is what could hurt this team from making the postseason as they don’t have very much depth after the graduation of their go-to target in Bryon Pringle. The starting wide receivers will consist of Isaiah Zuber and Dalton Schoen who combined for 980 yards and 7 TDs last season but after this combination, there is not much experience at the position. Defensively the Wildcats will be looking to replace their top player in Jaryd Kirby who led the team in tackles with 99 and TFL with 11.5 and his partner at the LB spot in Trent Tanking who fell just short of 100 tackles with 97. Junior LB Elijah Sullivan is the lone experienced backer as he played in certain packages last year where he compiled 28 tackles, expect the Georgia native to step into a bigger role this season. The youth will also kick in on the defensive line after their sack leader from 2017 in Will Geary has graduated, this could be a spot where Texas State transfer Jordan Mittie steps in and fills the gap. The secondary was looking to be in good shape after D.J. Reed had 4 interceptions and 9 pass deflections in his junior campaign but the CB decided to take his talents to the NFL which leaves the secondary scrambling. Reed leaving Kansas State doesn’t only leave a void on the defensive side of the ball but also in the return game where he returned both a kickoff and a punt for a TD last season. Safety Kendall Adams will take over as the top guy in the secondary and he is coming off a good season where he contributed 61 tackles and 3 interceptions from the middle of the field.
Player To Watch
Dalvin Warmack, RB, Sr.
The Kansas State Wildcats are hurting at many positions and although running back is their strongest area they will still need some guys to fill behind Barnes as he has been banged up in years past. Warmack has been a Wildcat for 4 years now and he has yet to make his impact felt as he has only rushed for 527 yards but this season could be different for the senior as he could take on a new role. Reed and Pringle left a huge void in the return game and has left no definite answer on who will replace them but one guy that I like to fill on that spot is Warmack. Dalvin Warmack has shown flashes of speed in his time at Kansas State and if he can bring that explosiveness to the return game the Big 12 will have a problem on their hands. Expect Warmack to pick up 300 yards at the RB position but a ton of yards through the return game.
How Over/Under 6 Wins & Kansas State Wildcats Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Over 6 Wins -110
Under 6 Wins -110
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
9/1- South Dakota- W
9/8- Mississippi State- L
9/15- UTSA- W
9/22- @ West Virginia- L
9/29- Texas- L
10/6- @ Baylor- L
10/13- Oklahoma State- W
10/27- @ Oklahoma- L
11/3- @ TCU- L
11/10- Kansas- W
11/17- Texas Tech- W
11/24- Iowa State- L
Overall Record: 5-7
Against The Spread Selection: Under 6 Wins -110
My reason for the pick :
I had to question myself and take a double-take at it but Kansas State will miss the postseason and reside under the 6 win mark for the first time under Bill Snyder since 2005. Kansas State defensively are in a bad state of mind as they have little to no experience returning especially in their front 7. Given the slate of games that the Wildcats will have to face I just don’t see them stopping any of the explosive offenses like West Virginia, Oklahoma, and even Iowa state. The quarterback and running back positions will be strong for the Wildcats but once their offense becomes predictable towards the ground game they will have no wide receivers to throw at as there is no depth at the position. Kansas State will have to pull some upsets off if they want any shot of making the postseason and getting to the 7 win mark for bettors. Take Kansas State under the 6 win mark.