Over/Under 10 Wins () vs Oklahoma Sooners ()Date : 09/01/2018
Time : First Game: Florida Atlantic Owls @ Oklahoma Sooners 12:00 PM
Location : Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Over/Under 10 Wins vs Oklahoma Sooners
Lincoln Riley was successful in maintaining the level of success that Bob Stoops left the Oklahoma Sooner program in as they were not only crowned Big 12 champions but made the postseason for an 18th consecutive season. The Oklahoma Sooners were a half away from making the national championship last season but eventually fell to the Georgia Bulldogs and although hopes are high in 2018 for a repeat performance it will have to be under a new signal caller. Lincoln Riley was able to produce the first Heisman trophy winner at Oklahoma since 2008 when Sam Bradford won the prestigious award but unfortunately Baker Mayfield has moved on as the #1 overall pick in the 2018 NFL draft. Lincoln Riley runs an offense that could benefit any quarterback as it is a downfield attack so expect them not to lose too much production at that position. The defense was often exposed last season but we didn’t pay too much attention to that considering the offense would put just as many points up but if the Sooners want to take the next step in contending for a national title they will need to sharpen up on that side of the ball. Being a college football powerhouse pays off in many ways but the impact we see directly is how the school recruits. Oklahoma is coming off a top-10 recruiting class in 2018 as they were able to lure in one 5-star and twelve 4-star recruits. With the graduation of their All-American OT Orlando Brown, the Sooners made it a priority to bring in a top recruit and that they did as they lured in the #1 JUCO OT as well as a 5-star OT from in-state.
Over/Under 10 Wins's Latest Performance :
The Oklahoma Sooners had one of it’s most successful years since 2004 when the Sooners went 12-0 in the regular season as they finished with an 11-1 regular season record and a Big 12 championship. The Sooners will take the field in 2018 with a new signal-caller as well as an inexperienced defense but given the talent that Lincoln Riley host on his roster they shouldn’t lose much stride which is why oddsmakers set the over/under at 10 wins.
Road To 12-0?
The Oklahoma Sooners have a great opportunity this season to top their production from last year as they have a very winnable schedule this season especially in Big 12 play. The Sooners on paper appear to have a tricky non-conference schedule as they will host the Lane Kiffin FAU Owls, a revamped UCLA program, and a dangerous Army ground attack. Although these games could make for some interesting games especially considering the state of the Oklahoma defense the Sooners should have no problem sweeping this portion of the schedule. The biggest benefit that the Sooners have on their schedule is the fact that they get to host their in-state rival in the Oklahoma State Cowboys. The road slate for Oklahoma isn’t too bad either as they will play road matchups at both TCU and West Virginia who should reside in the #3 and 4 spots in the Big 12. A game that could potentially push the Sooners to their brink is their neutral site matchup against the Texas Longhorns which will be played in the state of Texas but if the Sooners come to play they should win. Expect the Sooners to have no problem with their schedule as they could potentially push a perfect 12-0 season and another appearance in the college football playoff.
Oklahoma Sooners's Latest Performance :
The thing that scares Oklahoma Sooner fans is the fact that they have to replace Baker Mayfield who is coming off a 4,627-yard and 43 TD season which won him the prestigious Heisman trophy award. Lincoln Riley has the answer though as he has the former #2 QB in the nation on his bench in Kyler Murray who was originally the Texas A&M signal-caller. Murray was really effective in the few snaps he took last year in garbage time as he went 18 for 21 with 359 yards and 3 touchdowns through the air as well as an additional 142 yards on the ground. Murray might now have a Heisman worthy season like Mayfield but the former top-notch recruit should successfully step in and run the offense efficiently. Murray will have a solid running back to hand the ball off to as the Sooners return their top guy from 2017 in Rodney Anderson. Surprisingly Anderson was the backup until game #8 but he still cracked the 1,000-yard mark as he rushed for 1161 to go along with 13 TDs. The threat doesn’t stop on the ground as the Sooners have some solid deep ball pass catchers as they will return Marquise Brown and CeeDee Lamb. The duo combines for one of the most dangerous WR corps in college football as Brown had 1095 yards and 7 TDs while Lamb had 807 yards with 7 TDs. The defense will need to improve in 2018 as they were one of the worst out of all the Big 12 schools in YPG and although they return a lot of talent it will all be young inexperienced guys. Ogbonnia Okoronkwo leaves a huge void for the Sooners in both the run game and pass game as the former All-Big 12 selection had 17 TFL and 8 sacks in his final season at Oklahoma. Kenneth Murray was one of the best young linebackers in the nation last year as the sophomore had 68 tackles and 7 TFL in what was his first season in Norman, he is one of the lone experienced backers returning for the Sooners. Parnell Motley will lead a group of inexperienced DBs as the junior returns to Oklahoma after leading the team with 2 interceptions and 9 pass deflections last season. A name to watch for in the secondary is Brendan Radley-Hiles who comes to Oklahoma after weighing offers from Clemson, Florida State, Alabama, and USC. The defensive tackle spot is rich with depth and experience but freshmen may be called into action early at the defensive end spot especially Ronnie Perkins and Ron Tatum who were two of the top-ranked recruits in the nation.
Player To Watch
Tre Norwood, CB, Soph.
The Oklahoma Sooners defense got torn apart last season through the air as they ranked 87th in YPG but they do return some talent at the cornerback position who should grow with another year of experience. Norwood is one of those guys who should have a much better season this year considering he had an up and down year in what was his first season in Norman. The sophomore cornerback was best used at the nickel spot and he was effective when at his best as he had 7 pass deflections but he will move to the outside this season after the graduation of William Johnson. Expect Norwood to have a much better year in what is his second season.
How Over/Under 10 Wins & Oklahoma Sooners Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Over 10 Wins -110
Under 10 Wins -110
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
9/1- FAU- W
9/8- UCLA- W
9/15- @ Iowa State- W
9/22- Army- W
9/29- Baylor- W
10/6- Texas- L
10/20- @ TCU- W
10/27- Kansas State- W
11/3- @ Texas Tech- W
11/10- Oklahoma State- W
11/17- Kansas- W
11/23- @ West Virginia- W
Overall Record: 11-1
Against The Spread Selection: Over 10 Wins -110
My reason for the pick :
The Oklahoma Sooners are looking to make their second consecutive college football playoff appearance and luckily for them, they should be able to do that as they return some key players. The Sooners will get hurt once again on the defensive side of the ball but like always Lincoln Riley will be more focused on the offense and making sure that they outscore the opponents no matter what the score is. People are concerned about Kyler Murray but people also forget that he was one of the most sought out recruits back in 2016 and given the fact that he sat on the bench for 2 seasons now behind a Heisman trophy winner he should have no problem picking up where Mayfield left off. Oklahoma will have trouble with a solid all-around team like the Texas Longhorns especially since that game will be played in Texas but they will get them the second time around in what will be the Big 12 championship. The Sooners will push the 12 win mark which is why I have them over the 10 win total.