Duke Blue Devils (2-0) vs Baylor Bears (2-0)Date : 09/15/2018
Time : 3:30 pm EST
Location : McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Duke Blue Devils vs Baylor Bears
The Duke Blue Devils will travel to McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas, to take on the Baylor Bears on Saturday afternoon beginning at 3:30 pm EST in week 3 college football action. The Blue Devils would get the win the last time these two teams met on September 16, 2017 by a 34-20 score as they would cash in as 10.5 home favorites while the under was the play with the total being set at 59.5 points for the game. Duke would pick up a huge 21-7 road win over the Northwestern Wildcats in week 2 as they would cover as 2.5-point road dogs while the under would be the play with the total being set at 47.5 points. The Baylor Bears would also pick up a 37-20 road win last Saturday over the Texas-San Antonio Road Runners as the spread would be a push (-17) while the over would be the result with the total being set at 55 points. Baylor will certainly be looking for a bit of payback in this matchup, however, the Blue Devils will look to extend their undefeated streak.
Duke Blue Devils's Latest Performance :
The Blue Devils and the Wildcats would score all their points in the first half as Duke would explode for 21 second quarter points as Danil Jones would have 193 yards on the day while connecting with T.J. Rahming, Jonathan Lloyd, and Davis Koppenhaver for touchdown passes of seven, nine, and 52 yards in the win. Jones would have loved to take their show on the road in which to try out a Baylor defense that has played well against the pass thus far in allowing 201.5 passing yards per game (55th), however, he would leave the game in week 2 with a sever collarbone injury, thus paving the way for Junior Quinten Harris to take the helm indefinitely. The Bears defense has been a bit softer against the run as they are ranked 89th overall in giving up 159 yards total to their opponents. With that being said, Deon Jackson (25 rushes, 75 yards, TD) and Brittan Brown (24 rushes, 109 yards, TD) will certainly need to step up in which to increase their overall run production to give the Blue Devils a chance to win.
Baylor Bears 's Latest Performance :
The Baylor Bears would outscore the Road Runners of UTSA 17-7 in the second half en route to a 37-20 road win last week thanks to 328 yards passing and 3 TD’s by Charlie Brewer. In addition, his main targets for this contest would be Jalen Hurd and Denzell Mims who would combine for 269 yards along with 2 touchdown passes. They look to continue this outstanding play against a Duke defense that allows its opponents 239.5 yards passing for the season. Baylor would only have 91 yards rushing against the Roadrunners and will likely to find much less room for their leading ball carrier, John Lovett, to run against a Blue Devil defense that is ranked 56th in the country in rushing defense at 133.5 yards per game. The Bears are averaging 46 points per game, good for 21st in the nation, while attempting to run roughshod over a defense that is only giving up a total of 10 points per game in Duke, which should make the matchup very interesting.
How Duke Blue Devils & Baylor Bears Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Baylor is 0-1-1 ATS while the O/U is 2-0
Duke is 2-0 ATS while the O/U is 1-1
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
I really feel the sorries for Duke in losing their signal caller, however, the season must go on. Enter Quinton Harris along with a pretty potent Duke offense that will be looking to duplicate the production that they have had thus far, only this time against an equally potent Baylor team on the road. In all, expect this to be a very competitive matchup as both teams will come in focused and ready to play. For Baylor, they will look to keep their record in tact, yet, Duke will have much more to play for, namely to prove to themselves that their season is far from over.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Baylor Bears -6.5
My reason for the pick :
This game went from a pickem game to almost a full touchdown in favor of the home team due to Duke’s quarterback not being available for this matchup. It is for this reason that I will jump on the bandwagon and back the Baylor Bears in this matchup as well. Duke will certainly struggle in this game from an offensive standpoint while its defense will have to step up to assists Harris who has been in the system for Duke since a Freshman, yet, has had very little time under center in real time. In all, the Bears will take control of this game over time as the Blue Devil defense will give out of gas as the playmakers on offense for Baylor will take center stage.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 49
My reason for the prediction :
As stated, the Blue Devils will not score many points in this game as they will be looking to acclimate their new QB to being under center. On the other hand, the Duke defense will also be stout for much of the game against a Baylor offense that tends to utilize the run to set up its dangerous passing attack. The problem is that the Duke defense has stuffed the run so far this season, which will leave the Bears searching for answers early on. In all, look for the home team to score just enough to cover the spread in this contest, however, the total will not go over its set mark of 49 points.
Betting trends for Duke Blue Devils:
- Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall
- Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Devils last 4 games in September.
Betting trends for Baylor Bears :
- Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games
- Bears are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games
- Under is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.