Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-0) vs Maryland Terrapins (2-1)Date : 09/22/2018
Time : 12:00 pm EST
Location : Maryland Stadium, College Park, Maryland
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Maryland Terrapins
The Minnesota Golden Gophers will travel to Maryland Stadium in College Park, Maryland, for a Big Ten Saturday showdown versus the Maryland Terrapins beginning at 12 pm EST. The Golden Gophers are coming off a 26-3 home win over the Ball State Cardinals on last Saturday as they would cover the 14-point spread while the total of 46.5 points was not surpassed. On the other hand, the Terrapins would fall at home to the Temple Owls in week three as they would not cash in on the 15.5 point spread as favorites while the total of 56.5 points was also not surpassed. These two teams would meet twice in the last two years as the road team would get the victory in each game. Maryland would win at Minnesota last year on September 30th by a 31-24 score as they would cover the 13.5 point spread as road dogs while the total of 45 was surpassed.
Minnesota Golden Gophers's Latest Performance :
Minnesota would dominate on defense versus the RedHawks of Miami-Oh in week three as they would allow 108 passing yards alongside 91 yards on the ground. And while the Golden Gophers would rack up only a total of 295 yards for the game, they would obtain 118 yards on the ground thanks to Bryce Williams having 141 yards on 33 rushes. Furthermore, QB Zack Annexstad would have 142 yards along with two touchdowns in the win as he would have Tyler Johnson (9 rec, 133 yds, 3 TD’s) to throw to throughout the contest. The Gophers will certainly look to take advantage of a 77th ranked Terps defense that is allowing 223 yards per game this year. Williams will also look to have an even better day on the ground, yet, he will face off versus the run defense that is allowing only 107 yards per game thus far. It would be important to note that Annexstad is questionable for this game with an ankle injury while offensive lineman Conner Olson is also questionable with a leg injury.
Maryland Terrapins's Latest Performance :
Temple would go up 21-7 on the road versus the Terrapins at home last Saturday while also outscoring them 14-7 in the second half as the home team would not be able to stop their running attack that would put up a total of 165 yards total for the game. The Terps, on the other hand, would post 163 yards for the game led by Anthony McFarland with 107 on 11 rushes, yet, the passing attack was dismal in putting up only 63 yards in the contest as QB Kasim Hill would go only seven of 17 for the day with an interception in the loss. DJ Turner would lead the receiving corps with four catches for 38 yards total as the Terps would average just three yards per rush. Interestingly enough, Maryland has been stout in stopping the run thus far in 2018 as they are currently ranked 26th in the nation, so, their effort versus Temple is baffling. Their offense will now look to the face off versus the Golden Gophers whose defense is ranked in the top 50 in both pass (44th) and rush defense (6th). The strength of Maryland’s offensive attack is their running game which is putting up 240 yards per game compared to averaging 150 yards per game in the air. The Terps, however, have injuries on the offensive line as Terrance Davis, Derwin Gray, and Damian Prince are all questionable for Saturday’s game. Running back Jake Funk is out with a hand injury for this contest. Also, defensive back Chris Williamson is questionable for the Minnesota defense with an undisclosed injury.
How Minnesota Golden Gophers & Maryland Terrapins Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Minnesota is 3-0 ATS while the O/U is 1-2
Maryland is 2-1 ATS while the O/U is 1-2
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
To get back on track after a bad loss versus Temple, Maryland will have to go up against a stout defense in Minnesota on Saturday in their Big Ten matchup. They will have some issues on their offensive line due to injuries and will be pressured constantly throughout the game by a defense ranked in sixth in total yards allowed (256 yards) along with 7th in total points scored (9 points). On the other side, Minnesota’s offense was simply decent in their win over the RedHawks as the defense would take center stage in the win. Also, Annexstad is having injury issues and while he may play, may not be 100%. In all, this will be an intriguing game, yet, one where the defense will lead the way for each team in a victory.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Minnesota Golden Gophers +3
My reason for the pick :
I will assume that recent line movements which saw the Terps go from 1.5 favorites to three-point favorites is due to Annexstad’s injury. And while the RedHawks are a wholly different team from the Terps, it will be important to note that the defense for Minnesota is tough. It is for this reason that I believe that even with a less than healthy QB, the team can certainly pull out a victory over their opponent on Saturday. While Maryland will come out looking to avenge their most recent loss in week three, they will find it more difficult to get any momentum going on offense versus a Gopher defense that has been dominant up front. In all, I will back the home team with the plus points at home on the strength of the D as they will certainly keep this contest close.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 46.5
My reason for the prediction :
Again, I happen to like the defense for Minnesota as they will show and prove once again in their Big Ten matchup this weekend. Also, with Annexstad’s status, look for the Terps defense to also play better as they will be looking for a much better performance after a disastrous outing versus the Owls at home las week. In all, the total of 46.5 points will not be surpassed as this will be a defensive matchup throughout.
Betting trends for Minnesota Golden Gophers:
- Golden Gophers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games
- Under is 4-0 in Golden Gophers last 4 games following a straight up win
- Under is 4-0 in Golden Gophers last 4 games following an ATS win.
Betting trends for Maryland Terrapins:
- Over is 4-0 in Terrapins last 4 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game
- Terrapins are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home
- Over is 5-1 in Terrapins last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game