Northern Illinois Huskies (1-2) vs Florida State Seminoles (1-2)Date : 09/22/2018
Time : 3:30 pm EST
Location : Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Florida
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Northern Illinois Huskies vs Florida State Seminoles
The Huskies of Northern Illinois will travel to Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Florida, to battle the Florida State Seminoles on Saturday in week four college football action beginning at 3:30 pm EST. The Seminoles would be blown out on the road at the hands of the Syracuse Orange in an ACC battle on last Saturday by a 30-7 score as they would not cover the spread as three-point home favorites while the under was the play with the total being set at 68 points. The Huskies would win their first game of the season with a 24-16 home win over the Central Michigan Chippewas in week three as they would not cover the 13.5 points as home favorites while the total of 48 points was not surpassed. The last time these two teams would meet would be on January 1, 2013 as the Noles would get the 31-10 win as they would be 14-point favorites while the Under would be the play with totals being set at 59 points.
Northern Illinois Huskies's Latest Performance :
The Northern Illinois Huskies would go up 14-3 at the half on the Chippewas of Central Michigan, however, would be outscored 13-10 in the second half as they were able to pull out the victory at home in week three thanks to Marcus Childers (109 yards) would throw three huge touchdown passes in the win. DJ Brown would lead the receiving corps with 4 receptions for 69 yards and a score while Spencer Tears and Dennis Robinson would combine for two receptions for 21 yards along with two scores for the Huskies in the victory as the offense would only have 284 yards total. The offense for the Huskies has struggled much like FSU, however, NIU ranked above 100 in both offensive categories while only averaging 12.3 points per game on only 241 yards per game. They will matchup up with a Seminole defense that is 43rd in rush yards allowed with 128 while their passing defense is the weak link in giving up 300 yards per outing. FSU is also allowing 26.7 points per game to their opponents while giving up 428 yards per as well. Linebackers Emmet Rice and Amari Gainer will both be questionable for the defense for the Noles on Saturday while DB Carlos Becker is also questionable with a lower back injury while Mitchell Brinkman will be questionable at tight end for the Huskies with an undisclosed injury.
Florida State Seminoles 's Latest Performance :
The Seminoles would only get a touchdown by Deondre Francois (178 yards, INT) in their week three matchup on the road versus the Orange last Saturday as the Noles would suffer the conference blowout loss. The offense would obtain only 240 total yards in the game as Cam Akers (10 rushes, 52 yards) would lead the rushing attack while Keith Gavin and Nyqwan Murray would combine for 9 catches for 109 yards total in the loss. The Noles have struggled in the rushing game this year in averaging only 97 yards per game while their passing game has been only a bit better as they are ranked 61st in passing with 244 yards per game. They will now match up versus an NIU defense that is allowing only 147 yards on the ground (64th) while also giving up 196 yards in the air (51st). for the year, the Huskies allow their opponents only 22 points per game while the Noles are putting up only 15.3 per outing, good for only 123rd in the nation. To make matter worse, offensive lineman Derrick Kelly II will be out of Saturday’s game due to an undisclosed injury.
How Northern Illinois Huskies & Florida State Seminoles Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
FSU is 0-3 ATS while the O/U is 1-2
NIU is 1-2 ATS while the O/U is 0-3
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This will be a pivotal game for both these teams on Saturday, particularly, FSU. They would fail to win their ACC matchup last Saturday after yet another lackluster outing from the rushing and passing attack. Also, their defense would struggle once again versus the Orange in giving up 30 points. In all, the home team needs more consistency on both sides of the ball to which they will intend to find versus a dismal Northern Illinois team that has not been able to move the ball either in 2018. Nonetheless, both will seek to exploit awful defenses in which to come out with a win this weekend.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: FSU Seminoles -10
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Noles in this game with the points at home in that, despite their awful play on both ends, are indeed the better team and will gain an edge in the running and passing attacks in which to cover the spread. I also expect them to get the running game going early as this is their best option due to their lackluster QB play while allowing their success to be a catalyst to getting the ball to their playmakers on the outside. There must be huge amounts of rumbling going on in Tallahassee this year concerning the play of their team, however, this game should serve to give the home team some much-needed momentum.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 45
My reason for the prediction :
I will pick the over in this contest as the Noles will be facing a team that is just as terrible on defense as they are. Nonetheless, with the way they have performed on the offensive end this year, I will hold my nose and back the over in this contest in that the offense will gain much more headway within the trenches versus a shaky defense for the Huskies. Furthermore, with both defenses giving up chunks of yardage this year along with allowing too many scoring opportunities for their opponents, the over will certainly be a strong call in this instance.
Betting trends for Northern Illinois Huskies:
- Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win
- Under is 7-1 in Huskies last 8 games in September
- Under is 6-1 in Huskies last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Betting trends for Florida State Seminoles :
- Seminoles are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
- Seminoles are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September
- Under is 7-1 in Seminoles last 8 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.