Texas A&M Aggies (2-1) vs Alabama Crimson Tide (3-0)Date : 09/22/2018
Time : 3:30 pm EST
Location : Bryant Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Texas A&M Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide
The 22nd ranked Texas A&M Aggies will travel to Bryant Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, to battle the top ranked Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday afternoon at 3:30 pm EST. These two teams would last meet on October 7, 2017 as the Crimson Tide would get the 27-19 road win while the Aggies would cover the spread as 25-point home underdogs with the under being the play with the total being set at 56.5 points. Alabama would cover the spread in three of the last four games while the under would be the result in three of the last four contests. Finally, the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, overall. The Aggies are fresh off a 48-10 home win over the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks last Saturday as they would cover the 28-point spread as home favorites while the total of 66 points would not be surpassed. The Crimson Tide would get the 62-7 road win over SEC West foe Ole Miss as they would cover the 22.5 points as road favorites while the under was the play with the total being set at 71.5 points.
Texas A&M Aggies's Latest Performance :
Louisiana-Monroe would play the Aggies tight in the first half as they would go in down 24-10 at the break, however, the home team would break the game open in the second half in outscoring them 24-0 en route to the victory as Kellen Mond would have 210 yards passing along with a touchdown pass. Trayveon Williams (128 yards, TD) along with Mond would lead the rushing attack with 67 yards while Jhamon Ausbon and Quartney Davis would combine for eight catches for 112 yards total in the victory. In all, A&M would rack up 518 yards on offense with their rushing game having 281 for the game, which equates to their average thus far in 2018 of 285 yards per outing. They will now face a Crimson Tide team that is only allowing 105 rushing yards to opponents while also giving up 201 yards in the air. Texas A&M has decent playmakers and will certainly utilize their 25th ranked passing attack to challenge Alabama’s secondary in this matchup. Both teams average well over 40 points per game while only giving up a tad over 10 points to their opponents, so, expect something to give in this matchup versus two solid teams vying for positioning within the SEC.
Alabama Crimson Tide's Latest Performance :
The Crimson Tide would rack up over 500 yards of total offense versus Mississippi in week three while the home team would only have 248 yards as Alabama would cruise to the huge conference victory. They would play both Tua Tagovailoa (191 yards, 2 TD’s) along with Jalen Hurts (85 yards, 2 TD’s, INT) while Tagovailoa would scramble for 47 yards rushing for the game. Damien Harris would also have five rushes for 62 yards in the win for Bama while Jerry Jeudy would lead the receiving corps with 136 yards and two scores. The Alabama offense is ranked in the top 30 in passing and rushing yards per game while being first in scoring offense with 56.7 points per game. They will certainly be met with a bit of resistance as they face the Aggies on Saturday as they are only allowing 15 points per game to their opponents while only allowing 80 yards rushing, good for 9th in the country. Alabama has also dominated this series in the past, particularly at home, and will certainly look to challenge the defensive front for Texas A&M in that their running game is the staple of their offense as they put up an average of 237 yards per outing on their opponents.
How Texas A&M Aggies & Alabama Crimson Tide Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Alabama is3-0 ATS while the O/U is 2-1
Texas A&M is 3-0 ATS while the O/U is 2-1
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Again, with both teams clicking on all cylinders on both sides of the ball leading up to this matchup, expect the team that can consistently control the line of scrimmage to possess the edge throughout this contest. Both are coming off blowout losses and will certainly be focused on obtaining yet another big win as the conference schedule gets into full swing. Texas A&M could really improve their positioning in the rankings with a road win while the Crimson Tide can further solidify their spot as the most dominant team in the country once again. In all, expect this to be a hard-hitting matchup as both teams will not give an inch to the other either on the ground or in the air.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -26
My reason for the pick :
In all, Alabama will slowly begin to dominate in this game due to their physical running game along with the two-headed QB system that they continue to utilize on a weekly basis. Also, their defense will set the tone early in this matchup as they will look to make their mark on an A&M offense that has not been met with much resistance up until this point. I will back the home team in this instance with the points as they will prove, once again, that they are the most dominant and talented team in the nation.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 61
My reason for the prediction :
I expect this contest to be a statement game for the Tide. Of course, they will play well at home, however, with A&M running roughshod over their competition the past few weeks much like the Tide, Alabama will be looking to further distinguish itself from its SEC West competitors. With that being said, look for them to step up the pressure on the Aggies on Saturday in which to speed up Mond’s clock in the pocket. In all, expect a heavy dose of that talented, quick, and physical defensive line to be the tip of the spear in what will be an exciting matchup this weekend as the under will certainly be the play.
Betting trends for Texas A&M Aggies:
- Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall
- Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass
- Over is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Betting trends for Alabama Crimson Tide:
- Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September
- Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous games
- Over is 5-1 in Crimson Tide last 6 games in September.