South Carolina Gamecocks (2-1) vs Kentucky Wildcats (4-0)Date : 09/29/2018
Time : 7:30 pm EST
Location : Kroger Field, Lexington, Kentucky
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
South Carolina Gamecocks vs Kentucky Wildcats
The South Carolina Gamecocks will take on 17th ranked SEC opponent Kentucky Wildcats at Kroger Field in Lexington, Kentucky, on Saturday night at 7:30 pm EST. Kentucky pulled out the 23-13 road win in their last meeting on September 16, 2017, as they would hold the Gamecocks to 64 rushing yards in the loss. In their last outing, the Gamecocks would pick up the 37-14 road win over the Vanderbilt Commodores while the Wildcats picked up the 28-7 home win over the Bulldogs of Mississippi State last Saturday to remain undefeated. The Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings while the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five, overall. Finally the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Kentucky.
South Carolina Gamecocks's Latest Performance :
The Gamecocks would put up 273 yards on the ground led by Rico Dowdle with 112 yards on 20 rushes along with a TD while Jake Bentley threw for 261 yards, a touchdown, along with an interception in the win over the Vanderbilt Commodores last Saturday. Shi Smith led the receiving corps with 119 yards and a touchdown for the Gamecocks as their offense would have 534 yards total for the game, yet, had two fumbles (two lost) for the game. The 24th ranked pass defense for USC allowed 192 yards passing to the Commodores while their 75th ranked rush defense only allowed 92 yards on the ground in the victory. Also, the defense allowed a total of 284 yards along with recovering a fumble in the contest.
Kentucky Wildcats 's Latest Performance :
After a 7-7 tie at the half, the Wildcats outscored the Bulldogs 21-0 in the second half thanks to three Benny Snell rushing touchdowns to pull out the victory for Kentucky in their last time out. Snell had four total touchdowns on the ground for the day as he rushed for 165 yards in the win for a rushing attack that accumulated 300 yards on the ground. The passing game for the Wildcats racked up only 71 yards with Terry Wilson going eight for 14 passing along with an interception. C.J. Conrad and Dorian Baker combined for three catches for 45 yards in the win as well. The 19th ranked rushing defense for Kentucky allowed only 56 yards on the ground to Mississippi State while the Bulldogs would only rack up 145 yards on the 32nd ranked pass defense in the loss. The South Carolina offense is ranked in the top 50 in passing and rushing this year, yet, their passing game is putting up 279 yards per outing while averaging 34 points per game. Kentucky is allowing only 13 points to their opponents, good for 8th in the country.
How South Carolina Gamecocks & Kentucky Wildcats Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Kentucky is 2-2 ATS while the O/U is 2-2
South Carolina is 2-1 ATS while the O/U is 2-1
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This will certainly be an interesting SEC matchup as you have the Gamecocks who are fresh off a road win over the Commodores and looking to pick up some much-needed momentum while the Wildcats find themselves getting some respect from the pollsters and are looking to extend their stellar offensive and defensive play in 2018. In all, look for the home team to control the trenches versus the Gamecocks in which to take advantage of their run defense while the Carolina defense will find it difficult to move the ball on a Kentucky defense that is ranked in the top 30 in pass and run defense while only allowing a total of 280 yards per game to their opponents.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Kentucky Wildcats -1.5
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Wildcats in this game as the Gamecocks have been inconsistent in both areas of their offense this season. And while Bentley and company will be looking to exploit Kentucky’s defensive secondary, the Wildcats allow only 173 yards in the air for the season, so, it will not be easy at all. Of course, the rushing attack has been solid for USC in averaging 198 yards per game, however, Kentucky is giving up only 106 yards to their opponents. In all, look for Kentucky to utilize their 11th ranked rushing attack to cruise to victory over a USC team that can be shaky up front on defense.
Totals Selection: Under 49.5
My reason for the prediction :
The under will be the strongest play in this instance in that both teams tend to struggle at times on the offensive end. And with both defenses looking to control the line of scrimmage from the start, expect a fight throughout this contest as both offenses will struggle to move the ball for the majority of the game. Again, both defenses are allowing teams an average of 18 points per game, overall, so, I happen to see this game as a defensive minded matchup to where Kentucky will come out with a slim victory.
Betting trends for South Carolina Gamecocks:
- Gamecocks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games
- Gamecocks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
- Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 road games.
Betting trends for Kentucky Wildcats :
- Over is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game
- Under is 6-0 in Wildcats last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
- Under is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.