Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (2-1) vs Auburn Tigers (3-1)Date : 09/29/2018
Time : 4:00 pm EST
Location : Jordan Hare Stadium, Auburn, Alabama
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Auburn Tigers
The Golden Eagles of Southern Mississippi will travel to Jordan Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama, to battle the 10th ranked Auburn Tigers on Saturday at 4 pm EST. Their last meeting dates to September 6, 2008, as the Tigers would get the 27-13 home win as they would not cover the spread as 19-point home favorites while the under was the play with total points set at 48.5 for the game. In their last outing, the Golden Eagles would get the win versus the Rice Owls by a 40-22 score at home as they would cover the spread as 13.5-point home favorites while the over was the play with the total being set at 55 points for the game. The Tigers would destroy the Arkansas Razorbacks at home by a 34-3 score as they would also cover the spread with the total of 58 points being surpassed.
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles's Latest Performance :
Jack Abraham would have a game for the ages with 428 passing yards along with four touchdowns and one interception in the Golden Eagles’ 40-22 home win last Saturday. Quez Watkins along with Tim Jones combined for nine catches for 150 yards and two touchdowns while the rushing attack collected 138 yards as Steven Anderson led the way with eight rushes for 52 yards and a TD for an offense that put together 566 total yards for the day while its 29th ranked defense would allow only a total of 262 yards to the Owls. They now turn their focus to an Auburn team that is averaging 35 points per game along with 316 total yards on offense.
Auburn Tigers 's Latest Performance :
Auburn went up 24-0 before Arkansas would score on a Conner Limpert field goal late in the third quarter. For the game, the Tigers would put up only 91 rushing yards along with 134 for the passing game, however, they would get two rushing touchdowns from JaTarvious Whitlow along with a touchdown from Jarrett Stidham en route to a victory. The Tigers also would receive two field goals from Anderson Carlson while Noah Igbinoghene returned a 96-yard kickoff return directly after the Razorbacks would score their only points of the game. The defense allowed the Razorbacks 149 yards on the ground along with 141 passing yards in the contest; Nonetheless, the 23rd ranked defense in total yards allowed fell well under their average of 316 yards per game. Also, Auburn is allowing only 12 points per game to their opponents for a number three rank in the nation.
How Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles & Auburn Tigers Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Auburn is 2-2 ATS while the O/U is 1-3
Southern Mississippi is 2-1 ATS while the O/U is 2-1
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Both these teams have solid defenses as Auburn is ranked 3rd in the nation in points allowed with 12.3 while the Golden Eagles boasts the 21st ranked defense in points allowed with 16.7 per game. Their offense is averaging 38.3 points for Southern Miss while Auburn’s offense averages 34.8 points per game, overall. In other words, this game should be a battle as both teams are very similiar from a statistical standpoint. Auburn will be looking to establish themselves within the trenches to utilize their 46th ranked rushing attack while the Golden Eagles will look to exploit Auburn’s 64th ranked passing attack in which to put some points on the board and keep this game close. Nonetheless, look for this contrast in styles to make this contest even more interesting on Saturday.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Auburn Tigers -27
My reason for the pick :
While I feel that the Golden Eagles will certainly compete in this game, I will take Auburn with the points in that they have a much better defense that has played against much stiffer competition this season. And while it will be interesting to see exactly how this 8th ranked passing attack for the Golden Eagles will perform against the Big Boys in Auburn on the road, I believe that with no running game to speak of (101st in nation with 133 yards per game), they will indeed find it difficult to somehow beat Auburn in this contest.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 52.5
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the over in this contest as Auburn will certainly score points due to their ability to run the ball effectively versus the Golden Eagles while this will benefit them in the passing game as well. I also see Southern Miss scoring early as well, that is until the Tigers can acclimate themselves to their offensive game plan. With that being said, I feel that the total will be surpassed at some point in this contest, as 52.5 points will be a bit low for teams that are each averaging close to 35 points per game.
Betting trends for Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles:
- Over is 4-0 in Golden Eagles last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Golden Eagles last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1 in Golden Eagles last 7 games overall.
Betting trends for Auburn Tigers :
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
- Under is 8-1 in Tigers last 9 non-conference games