Virginia Cavaliers (3-1) vs North Carolina State (3-0)Date : 09/29/2018
Time : 12:20 pm EST
Location : Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, North Carolina
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Virginia Cavaliers vs North Carolina State
An ACC matchup between the Virginia Cavaliers and the North Carolina State Wolfpack will take place at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina, on Saturday at 12:20 pm EST. In their last outing, the Cavaliers picked up the 27-3 home win over the Louisville Cardinals as they would cover the spread as 4.5 home favorites while the total of 51.5 points would not be surpassed while the Wolfpack would go on to beat the Marshall Thundering Herd at home by a 37-20 score in their last time out as they would cover the spread as six point road favorites while the over was the play with the total being set at 56.5 points for the game. The Cavaliers would have three interceptions along with two Wolfpack fumbles in a 33-6 road win on November 4, 2017, as they would cover the spread as 10.5-point underdogs while the under was the play with the total being set at 52.5 points for the game. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings amongst these two squads.
Virginia Cavaliers's Latest Performance :
Virginia would blow open their game versus Louisville in the second half as they scored 21 points after being ahead only 6-0 at the half thanks to two Bryce Perkins touchdown passes along with a Perkins run late in the fourth period to seal the victory last Saturday. Perkins ended the day with 197 yards passing along with an interception while rushing for 78 yards to lead the rushing attack. Joe Reed led the receiving corps with 52 yards along with a touchdown pass as the offense racked up 401 yards total with 204 of those being accounted to the rushing attack. UVA’s 26th ranked rush defense allowed only 66 yards to the Cardinals while it 43rd ranked pass defense allowed 148 yards for the game. Taming Finley and NC State will not be easy as the offense is averaging 34 points per game while the passing attack is 4th in the nation in putting up 371 yards per game.
North Carolina State 's Latest Performance :
The Wolfpack went up 23-7 at the half versus Marshall last Saturday while scoring two touchdowns in the second half thanks to a Ryan Finley touchdown pass to Emeka Emezie along with a Jarius Moorehead 57-yard interception return to seal the victory. Finley threw for 377 yards in the contest while the rushing attack would collect 125 yards against the Thundering Herd while holding the football for 34:40 minutes of the game. The rush defense for the Wolfpack, ranked 20th in the nation in allowing 108 yards per game, would allow only 54 yards to Marshall while the passing attack was able to put up 270 yards in the air on an NC State defense that has allowed 238 yards per game to their opponents in 2018. Next up for the Wolfpack will be a UVA squad that lives by their rushing attack in averaging 217 yards per outing on their opponents. Furthermore, the Cavaliers are averaging 33 points per game while the Wolfpack allow only 13 points per outing.
How Virginia Cavaliers & North Carolina State Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
NC State is 2-1 ATS while the O/U is 1-2
Virginia is 4-0 ATS while the O/U is 2-2
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
It will be interesting to see how a stout defense for Virginia challenges a high scoring passing attack in Finley and the Wolfpack this Saturday. UVA would get the win amongst these two teams in their last meeting, however, this may be a bit of payback for the Wolfpack as they are playing well and looking for even more respect on the season. The Cavaliers have also played well thus far in the season, yet, has not found that signature win that would put them on the radar. In all, this will be an offensive game to where both teams, despite solid defenses, will find ways to score while the Wolfpack will hold the advantage as home favorites.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: NC State -5.5
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Wolfpack in this contest as they are stout in their run defense which is important in this matchup since the Cavaliers will certainly look to pound the ball along with control the trenches. Also, while the Wolfpack may be a bit shaky within their defensive secondary, the Cavaliers are less than average as it relates to their passing game. In all, look for the Wolfpack to pull away late in this game while Finley and company will shine once again for an ACC win.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 53
My reason for the prediction :
While both teams are averaging over 30 points per game, their defenses are solid and do not give up many points to their opponents. Nonetheless, each of their opponents thus far has not been on the level of the offense that each will face on Saturday. With that being said, one will really get to see how potent both teams really are as they face off this weekend in what will be a tough ACC contest. In all, look for the Wolfpack offense along with the unit for the Cavaliers to put some points on the board as this contest will be a competitive, back and forth affair to where the scoreboard will light up early and often.
Betting trends for Virginia Cavaliers:
- Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall
- Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September
- Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Betting trends for North Carolina State :
- Under is 7-1 in Wolfpack last 8 games on grass
- Under is 5-1 in Wolfpack last 6 home games
- Under is 5-1 in Wolfpack last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.