West Virginia Mountaineers (3-0) vs Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-1)Date : 09/29/2018
Time : 12:00 pm EST
Location : Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
West Virginia Mountaineers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
The 12th ranked West Virginia Mountaineers will travel to Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas, for a Big 12 showdown against the Texas Tech Red Raiders on Saturday at noon. In their last outing, the Mountaineers destroyed the Kansas State Wildcats at home by a 35-6 score as they outscored them 28-3 in the second and third quarters while holding them to a 21% third down conversion rate for the game. The Red Raiders also picked up a huge road win over 15th ranked Oklahoma State by a 44-17 score as they would hold the Cowboys scoreless in the second half after a 24-17 halftime lead. In their last meeting on October 14, 2017, the Mountaineers were 46-35 home winners as Will Grier threw for 352 total yards in the air with five touchdown passes as the home team covered the spread as 5.5-point favorites while the over was the play with 78.5 points being set for the game.
West Virginia Mountaineers's Latest Performance :
Texas Tech held the high-octane offense for Oklahoma State, that entered the game as the 9th ranked offense in total yards with 540 yards per game, to only 390 yards in their win last Saturday while allowing them to possess the ball for only 18:43 minutes for the game in a 44-17 home loss. The offense for the Red Raiders benefitted from the defensive effort as Texas Tech racked up 625 yards in total offense while having 228 yards on the ground, led by DeMarcus Felton with 121 yards along with two touchdowns, along with 397 yards passing with Alan Bowman going 35 for 46 with two touchdowns along with two picks in the game. Antoine Wesley and Ja’Deion High would combine for 15 catches for 177 yards in the win to lead the receiving corps. Felton and the offensive line for the Red Raiders would take control of this contest midway through the matchup as he scored two huge touchdowns in the second half to seal the huge road win for Texas Tech.
Texas Tech Red Raiders's Latest Performance :
Will Grier continued his stellar season in passing for 356 yards with five touchdown passes as West Virginia would rack up 466 total yards in their win versus Kansas State last Saturday. The home team went up 21-0 at the end of the second quarter as Grier threw his third TD pass of the night to David Stills V to put the Mountaineers up comfortably at the half. He would also find Stills V (10 rec, 73 yds, 3 TD’s) for a one-yard TD pass along with yet another one-yard pass that would put West Virginia up 35-3 at the midway point of the third quarter. Marcus Simms led the receiving corps with 136 yards on five receptions with a TD in the win for the Mountaineers while the running game, which generated 110 yards total in the game was led by Kennedy McCoy with 73 yards. The defense for West Virginia would hold the offense for the Wildcats to only 2.5 yards per rush in the game while its passing game would rack up 227 yards in the loss with Skylar Thompson throwing for only 145 yards total.
How West Virginia Mountaineers & Texas Tech Red Raiders Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
West Virginia is 2-0 ATS while the O/U is 1-1
Texas Tech is 2-1 ATS while the O/U is 3-0
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
I continue to be impressed by Grier and the Mountaineers. In fact, they have played well on both sides of the ball in 2018 and will now travel to Lubbock for a motivated Texas Tech squad that took out the Oklahoma State Cowboys in their last outing. I would say that WVU mirrors the Cowboys in many ways particularly on offense as they possess a bevy of playmakers; However, the Mountaineers have a more experienced QB in Grier that will certainly put his team in a great position to win this game on Saturday. In all, this will be an interesting matchup with the Red Raiders will be looking for a solid performance in front of their home crowd in hopes of cracking the top 25.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: West Virginia Mountaineers -3.5
My reason for the pick :
Both teams are ranked within the top 10 as it relates to total yards per game with the Red Raiders averaging 52 points per game; However, the Mountaineers are 18th in the nation in total defense in allowing only 318 yards per outing to their opponents. Also, with West Virginia only giving up 12.3 points per game on defense, this will certainly be an interesting matchup. Texas Tech gives up 28 points per game and ranked 106th in the country in total yards and will certainly have issues with Grier and West Virginia’s 3rd ranked passing attack that averages 373 yards in the air per contest. In all, I will take the Mountaineers on the road in this matchup as the certainly have the better defense that could keep this Red Raider offense in check during pivotal points in the game. Finally, the Mountaineers have won the last two games outright in Lubbock. Please check back for the spread along with totals for this contest.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 48.5
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the under in this contest as I happen to believe that West Virginia possesses the talent and experience on defense to contain Bowman and the passing game for the Red Raiders. Of course, this will be a tall order as Texas Tech will enter the matchup with loads of confidence after their performance on Saturday on the road; However, West Virginia is ranked in the top 50 in both pass and rush defense and will certainly give their offense opportunities to control the ball in this game. Also, with Texas Tech ranking 110th in the nation in stopping the pass, one can expect the Mountaineers to roll once again on the road while containing the high-powered offense for Texas Tech on Saturday.
Betting trends for West Virginia Mountaineers:
- Under is 6-1 in Mountaineers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
- Under is 4-1 in Mountaineers last 5 conference games.
Betting trends for Texas Tech Red Raiders:
- Over is 5-0 in Red Raiders last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Over is 7-0 in Red Raiders last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Raiders last 4 conference games