Boston College Eagles (4-1) vs NC State Wolfpack (4-0)Date : 10/06/2018
Time : 12:30 pm EST
Location : Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, North Carolina
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Boston College Eagles vs NC State Wolfpack
The Boston College Eagles will travel to Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina, for an ACC matchup versus the NC State Wolfpack on Saturday afternoon at 12:30 pm EST. The Eagles are coming off a 45-35 home win over the Temple Owls as the rushing game took center stage in collecting 278 total yards en route to the win while the Wolfpack picked up the 35-21 victory at home as they went up 20-7 at the half while cruising in the second half for their fourth win of 2018. The last time these two teams met was on November 11, 2017 as the Wolfpack picked up the 17-14 road win as the spread was a push (-3) with NC State being favorites while the under is 54.5 was not surpassed. The road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings amongst these teams while the under is 4-0 in the last four meetings amongst these squads.
Boston College Eagles's Latest Performance :
Boston College, led by their rushing attack, got back into the win column in picking up a huge win over the Temple Owls in their last time out as they collected 278 yards in the contest with A.J. Dillion having 161 yards on 28 rushes along with two TD’s while Ben Glines ended with 120 yards on 23 attempts and a score on a Temple defense that allowed 423 yards total for the game. Anthony Brown threw for 139 yards and two touchdowns for BC while the offense converted ten of 22 third down conversions. The defense allowed eight of 16 third down conversions to the Owls while collecting three turnovers with two interceptions by QB Anthony Russo who would throw for 255 total yards. The 81st ranked rush defense for the Eagles allowed 191 yards to Temple for 5.6 yards per rush. Dillion may not suit up for this matchup after leaving the last outing for the Eagles due to injury.
NC State Wolfpack 's Latest Performance :
NC State got three touchdowns from Ryan Finley versus the Cavaliers while Kelvin Harman (6 rec, 94 yds, TD) along with Emeke Emize (5 rec, 90 yds, TD) led the receiving corps as the Wolfpack averaged eight yards per catch. The rushing attack for NC State was led by Ricky Pearson Jr with 108 yards for a ground attack that racked up 176 total yards. The defense collected two interceptions in the contest while the 18th ranked rush defense allowed 93 yards total in the win with Bryce Perkins threw for 258 yards, two touchdowns, and two picks for UVA. Furthermore, the Woolpack’s defense which allows 347 yards per game to opponents surrendered 351 yards per game while the Cavaliers converted four of 13 third down conversions.
How Boston College Eagles & NC State Wolfpack Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Boston College is 3-2 ATS while the O/U is 4-1
NC State is 3-1 ATs while the O/U is 2-2
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This game seems to be a huge mismatch for the home team as NC State not only continues to play very well, but, they have also had success versus this team in the past. Furthermore, Finley and the Wolfpack’s 9th ranked offense will certainly be looking forward to challenging the Eagles’ 63rd ranked pass defense. And while their rushing attack has not been stellar this year in averaging 125 yards per game, good for only 110th in the nation, they may indeed have success versus the BC rush defense as they have allowed 166 yards to their opponents per outing. BC’s rushing game may certainly suffer if Dillon does not suit up due to injury.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: NC State -4.5
My reason for the pick :
I will back the home team in this matchup as they have the better all-around team and will serve to illustrate this via their dangerous passing game on Saturday afternoon versus a BC squad that struggles in defending both the pass and the run. With that being said, the running game is the tip of the spear for the Eagles as they average 244 yards per game with Dillon at the helm; However, Dillon, as stated may be a no go for this game. The Wolfpack possesses the 18th rank rush defense in the country and will certainly serve as a challenge to the Eagles rushing attack, nonetheless. In all, the Wolfpack will control the trenches in this matchup while neutralizing the running game for the Eagles along with covering the spread due to the inability of Boston college to effectively move the ball as a result of their aggressive play.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 59.5
My reason for the prediction :
The over has been the result in the last two games for the Wolfpack while it has also been the play in four of the last five games for the Eagles. It is for this season, along with the stellar year Finley has had in the passing game for NC State, that I will chose the over as the strongest play in this matchup. Also, NC State is averaging over 40 points per outing while the Eagles put up 34 points per game. With that being said, look for the total to soar at some point in this game as both team will have their fair share of scoring opportunities to take advantage of.
Betting trends for Boston College Eagles:
- Over is 6-0-1 in Eagles last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Eagles are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Betting trends for NC State Wolfpack :
- Under is 4-0 in Wolfpack last 4 games in October.
- Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
- Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.